What is Alan Jones's strike rate?

Alan Jones has won 56 of 693 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.1% (as at 1 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Alan Jones do best at?

Plumpton by strike rate: 4 wins from 30 runners (13.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Alan Jones?

Tom O'Brien, with 87 runners since 2008 — 13% of the total. That pairing has won 11 (12.6%).

Is Alan Jones in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Alan Jones's Fair A/E?

1.05, from 693 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Alan Jones

693 runners in the lifetime window · 88 individual horses

As at 1 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 13 days ago 94% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

56–693

Wins / Runs

8.1%

Strike rate

n=693

159 (23%)

Placed

1.05

Fair A/E

n=693 · 0.90 incl. margin

−293.55

£1 level stake

n=693 at SP · −42.4%

£438k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

13.3%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 40 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 8% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.05). New recruits from other yards win at 11% first time out (46 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 693 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 1 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 9.1% 29.7% when favourite Tom O'Brien: 12.6% from 87 New recruits: 10.9% Claiming riders: 9.2% Sends off the favourite in 5% of races

The read

It is weakest at Cheltenham (0% over 37 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Debutants struggle at 2.9% (n=34, Fair A/E 0.60). Tom O'Brien rides 13% of the entries and edges the yard's average (12.6% vs 8.1%, A/E 1.41) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well in Chase races (13.7%, n=227) and over 2m1f – 2m4f (12.7%, n=322). The stable star of the record: Humbel Ben (IRE) — 6 wins from 44 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.1% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

9.1%+1.0

n=298 · A/E 1.22 · £1 −58.13

New recruits · first run for the yard

10.9%+2.8

n=46 · A/E 1.45 · £1 −14.00

Debutants · first career start

2.9%−5.2

n=34 · A/E 0.60 · £1 −29.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

3.6%−4.5

n=28 · A/E 0.59 · £1 −24.75

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

12%+3.9

n=25 · A/E 1.45 · £1 +4.75

When favourite

29.7%

n=37 · A/E 1.11 · £1 +0.58

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

9.2%+1.1

n=185 · A/E 1.14 · £1 −56.75

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−8.1

n=17 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −17.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

In Chase races 13.7% vs 8.1% · n=227

With William Kennedy 0% vs 8.1% · n=39

At Cheltenham 0% vs 8.1% · n=37

With James Best 16.2% vs 8.1% · n=37

With C&D winners 14.5% vs 8.1% · n=69

Over 2m1f – 2m4f 12.7% vs 8.1% · n=322

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 360 17 4.7% −234.88

Chase 227 31 13.7% −1.67

NH Flat 67 7 10.4% −25.00

Flat 39 1 2.6% −32.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 239 17 7.1% −105.50

Good to Soft 153 10 6.5% −79.25

Soft 150 16 10.7% −41.92

Heavy 72 9 12.5% −5.63

Good to Firm 61 4 6.6% −43.25

Standard (AW) 15 0 0% −15.00

Firm 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Newton Abbot 119 13 10.9% −22.25

Uttoxeter 57 7 12.3% −9.75

Wincanton 55 2 3.6% −39.25

Taunton 44 2 4.5% −32.00

Exeter 38 2 5.3% −21.00

Cheltenham 37 0 0% −37.00

Chepstow 35 4 11.4% +18.00

Bangor-on-Dee 33 4 12.1% −11.75

Plumpton 30 4 13.3% −14.25

Ffos Las 26 3 11.5% +13.00

Towcester 19 1 5.3% −12.50

Fontwell 18 1 5.6% −13.00

Cartmel 17 1 5.9% −12.50

Stratford 16 1 6.3% −11.00

Newbury 14 2 14.3% +0.33

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 270 24 8.9% −98.25

Class 5 235 20 8.5% −118.38

Class 3 80 4 5% −54.42

Class 6 48 3 6.3% −23.50

Class 2 38 5 13.2% +23.00

Class 1 22 0 0% −22.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 46 14 30.4% 1.16 +2.58

2nd–3rd fav 117 24 20.5% 1.32 +5.87

4th–6th fav 219 13 5.9% 0.84 −79.00

7th+ in betting 311 5 1.6% 0.64 −223.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

2m1f – 2m4f 322 41 12.7% −37.75

1m5f – 2m 224 9 4% −176.13

2m5f – 3m 95 5 5.3% −34.67

1m2f – 1m4f 22 0 0% −22.00

Over 3m 14 0 0% −14.00

1m – 1m1f 8 1 12.5% −1.00

6f – 7f 5 0 0% −5.00

Under 6f 3 0 0% −3.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 58 1 1.7% −46.00

2009 64 3 4.7% −47.00

2010 54 8 14.8% +10.08

2011 63 7 11.1% −33.00

2012 57 2 3.5% −48.75

2013 56 3 5.4% −33.50

2014 51 2 3.9% −15.00

2015 50 3 6% −35.50

2016 19 5 26.3% +28.00

2017 25 1 4% −21.00

2018 32 2 6.3% −18.00

2019 36 5 13.9% +8.00

2020 11 2 18.2% −1.25

2021 19 2 10.5% −8.00

2022 21 1 4.8% −14.00

2023 18 1 5.6% −14.88

2024 32 3 9.4% −6.50

2025 12 3 25% +10.50

2026 15 2 13.3% −7.75

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 436 45 10.3% −111.05

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 203 17 8.4% −73.25

11-13 runners 182 9 4.9% −100.67

5-7 runners 157 22 14% −26.00

14-16 runners 99 4 4% −65.25

17+ runners 29 2 6.9% −11.00

2-4 runners 23 2 8.7% −17.38

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

69.8% completed · 587 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 227 65.6% 8 14 54 0 2

Hurdle 360 72.5% 4 7 86 0 2

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Humbel Ben (IRE)from N F Glynn 44 6 11 10 Sep 17

Bobbits Way (GB) 27 2 5 2 Jan 17

Quincy Des Pictons (FR)from Graeme McPherson 26 5 9 17 Mar 16

Secret Dancer (IRE)from James Fanshawe · then John Flint 26 1 4 28 Dec 15

Tiquer (FR)from Philippe Le Geay · then Joe Ponting 21 5 8 9 Jan 21

Duhallow Lad (IRE)from L J Archdeacon 18 3 8 2 Jan 22

Supernoverre (IRE)from Liam Corcoran 16 1 6 4 Oct 15

Murfreesboro (GB)from Derek Shaw · then Raymond York 16 2 6 7 Oct 12

Vetoncall (IRE) 15 1 3 25 May 24

Ma'ire Rua (IRE) 15 0 1 15 Apr 17

Norisan (GB)from Richard Hannon Snr 15 2 2 28 Oct 12

Temple Place (IRE)from M S Tuck 15 2 6 7 Oct 12

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 88 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 4 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 39 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from M S Tuck (2) and N F Glynn (2); 21 had their first archived run for this yard.

18 have since run for another yard, most often for Joe Ponting (2) and John Flint (2); 42 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 1

Only 1 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

510956871859710

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderTom O'Brien

13% of all rides
12.6% SR · A/E 1.41

RiderRWSR£1

Tom O'Brien 87 11 12.6% −11.00

Nick Scholfield 44 3 6.8% −19.25

William Kennedy 39 0 0% −39.00

James Best 37 6 16.2% −6.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

Archived wins

£514k

Prize money

2005

Best season · 11 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Tiquer (FR) — 'The Smart Money's On Coral' Handicap Chase Chepstow · Dec 2019 · Class 2

£17,204

Quincy Des Pictons (FR) — Spiffing Crabbie's Alcoholic Ginger Beer Festival Handicap Chase (For The Kilmany Challenge Cup) Perth · Apr 2013 · Class 2

£16,245

Quincy Des Pictons (FR) — coral.co.uk Best Price Guaranteed On Horse Racing Handicap Chase Chepstow · Dec 2014 · Class 2

£14,621

Notable horses

Humbel Ben (IRE) Quincy Des Pictons (FR) Tiquer (FR) Hillsin (IRE) Duhallow Lad (IRE) Palawan Du Mazet (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Humbel (USA) 13.6% · 6–44

Progeny have won 7.1% of 562 runs since 2008 (63 horses). Strongest on Good going: 10.7% from 150. Weakest on Heavy going: 3.6% from 110. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 3.8% from 131.

Sadler's Wells (USA) 7.3% · 3–41

Progeny have won 11.3% of 4,636 runs since 2008 (370 horses). Strongest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 18.7% from 107.

Papal Bull (GB) 19.4% · 6–31

Progeny have won 7.4% of 1,584 runs since 2012 (131 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 3.5% from 172. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 3.3% from 122.

Overbury (IRE) 7.4% · 2–27

Progeny have won 10.7% of 4,657 runs since 2008 (423 horses).

Kadalko (FR) 19.2% · 5–26

Progeny have won 10.5% of 277 runs since 2008 (31 horses).

Presenting (GB) 4.5% · 1–22

Progeny have won 11% of 20,052 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 1 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 926 · newest first

The latest 50 of 926 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 19 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

19 Oct 26 Plumpton Kadex (FR)J: James Turner Back British Farming Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 20f · Good · 4 ran PU 20/1

21 Sep 26 Ffos Las Just Johnny (GB)J: Jack Nicholls Red Lion Llandyfaelog Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7.5f · Soft · 4 ran 2nd 33/1

22 Aug 26 Newton Abbot Hillsin (IRE)J: James Turner Torbay Weekly Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 18.5f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 9th 28/1

30 Jun 26 Ffos Las Just Johnny (GB)J: Taylor Fisher Town And Country Cakes Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 10f · Good · 7 ran 7th 150/1

12 Jun 26 Newton Abbot Let's Have A Drink (GB)J: Kielan Woods Racing To School Reaches 25 Years Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good · 6 ran 4th 28/1

12 Jun 26 Newton Abbot Bontessony Doll (GB)J: James Davies Alzheimer's Society Mares' Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good · 9 ran 4th 150/1

04 Jun 26 Uttoxeter Hillsin (IRE)J: James Turner Litholexal Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 20f · Good · 7 ran 7th 18/1

27 May 26 Newton Abbot Bontessony Doll (GB)J: James Davies Stock Exe Building Supplies Mares' 'National Hunt' Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good · 10 ran 4th 200/1

13 May 26 Newton Abbot Bontessony Doll (GB)J: Philip Armson Classic Car Show On 9th June Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good · 8 ran UR 100/1

06 May 26 Fontwell Hillsin (IRE)J: James Turner KSR Lighting, The Ultimate Lighting Solutions Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 21.5f · Good · 9 ran PU 18/1

24 Feb 26 Leicester Palawan Du Mazet (FR)J: James Davies Ladies Day 4th July Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 20f · Soft · 5 ran 1st 7/4F

07 Feb 26 Newbury Toss Of A Coin (IRE)J: Jay Tidball William Hill Cheltenham Non-Runner Money Back Novices' Limited Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 23.5f · Heavy · 10 ran PU 22/1

03 Feb 26 Taunton Palawan Du Mazet (FR)J: James Davies 24 March Behind The Scenes Raceday Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 18f · Heavy · 8 ran 1st 7/2

11 Jan 26 Fontwell Hillsin (IRE)J: James Turner tigerbet.co.uk Money Back Specials Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 19f · Soft · 14 ran PU 80/1

09 Jan 26 Exeter Toss Of A Coin (IRE)J: Jay Tidball PricedUp Daily Racing Boosts Novices' Limited Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 24f · Good To Soft · 6 ran UR 17/2

11 Dec 25 Taunton Palawan Du Mazet (FR)J: Shane Fenelon Sandals Resorts Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 18f · Good · 9 ran 5th 7/2

06 Dec 25 Chepstow Toss Of A Coin (IRE)J: Jay Tidball Dagem Power Novices' Limited Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 23.5f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 1st 10/1

25 Nov 25 Hereford Hillsin (IRE)J: James Turner Join The Hereford Racing Club 2026 Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 19.5f · Good · 12 ran 10th 7/1

21 Oct 25 Exeter Hillsin (IRE)J: Mr Edward Vaughan PricedUp.Bet Amateur Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 18.5f · Good To Firm · 5 ran 1st 3/1

18 Oct 25 Newton Abbot Peaky Girl (GB)J: Philip Armson Jodie Standing's Point-To-Point Recruits Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 5 · 17f · Good To Soft · 4 ran 4th 9/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 19 Oct 2026: top-rated on KTB Rating in 1 run (won 0) · to 19 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Alan Jones's strike rate?: Alan Jones has won 56 of 693 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.1% (as at 1 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Alan Jones do best at?: Plumpton by strike rate: 4 wins from 30 runners (13.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Alan Jones?: Tom O'Brien, with 87 runners since 2008 — 13% of the total. That pairing has won 11 (12.6%).
Is Alan Jones in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Alan Jones's Fair A/E?: 1.05, from 693 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.