What is Barry Murtagh's strike rate?

Barry Murtagh has won 69 of 1,494 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 4.6% (as at 3 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Barry Murtagh do best at?

Newcastle (AW) by strike rate: 4 wins from 38 runners (10.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Barry Murtagh?

Lorcan Murtagh, with 289 runners since 2008 — 19% of the total. That pairing has won 6 (2.1%).

What is Barry Murtagh's Fair A/E?

0.78, from 1,491 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Barry Murtagh

1,494 runners in the lifetime window · 151 individual horses

As at 3 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 137 days ago

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

69–1,494

Wins / Runs

4.6%

Strike rate

n=1,494

238 (16%)

Placed

0.78

Fair A/E

n=1,491 · 0.67 incl. margin

−715.92

£1 level stake

n=1,494 at SP · −47.9%

£471k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 80 runners a season, winning with 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.78). Horses with headgear back on after a bare run strike at 6% (81 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,494 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 3 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Apr–Jun 32.4% when favourite Lorcan Murtagh: 2.1% from 289 Claiming riders: 5.5% Sends off the favourite in 2% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Newcastle (AW) (10.5%, n=38) and Sedgefield (8.3%, n=168) — all clear of the yard's 4.6% baseline. New recruits from other stables on their first run struggle at 0% (n=93, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 2.6% strike, Fair A/E 0.70 and −159.00 to a £1 stake over 274 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Lorcan Murtagh rides 19% of the entries and sits below the yard's average (2.1% vs 4.6%, A/E 0.43). The record reads poorly in NH Flat races — 0% over 69 runners, 4.6pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: Baraboy (IRE) — 11 wins from 77 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Apr–Jun.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.6% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

2.6%−2.0

n=274 · A/E 0.70 · £1 −159.00

New recruits · first run for the yard

0%−4.6

n=93 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −93.00

Debutants · first career start

0%−4.6

n=45 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −45.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

2.4%−2.2

n=41 · A/E 0.67 · £1 −24.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

6.2%+1.6

n=81 · A/E 1.19 · £1 −15.00

When favourite

32.4%

n=34 · A/E 1.26 · £1 +7.75

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

5.5%+0.9

n=825 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −326.55

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 12.3% vs 4.6% · n=73

With Campbell Gillies 10.2% vs 4.6% · n=49

At Newcastle (AW) 10.5% vs 4.6% · n=38

With new recruits 0% vs 4.6% · n=93

In NH Flat races 0% vs 4.6% · n=69

At Sedgefield 8.3% vs 4.6% · n=168

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 773 37 4.8% −340.54

Chase 390 21 5.4% −186.50

Flat 262 11 4.2% −119.88

NH Flat 69 0 0% −69.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 505 21 4.2% −302.12

Good to Soft 331 17 5.1% −139.17

Soft 318 16 5% −123.13

Heavy 140 4 2.9% −96.75

Good to Firm 126 7 5.6% −26.25

Standard (AW) 73 4 5.5% −27.50

Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Carlisle 196 3 1.5% −177.25

Hexham 174 6 3.4% −110.50

Sedgefield 168 14 8.3% +27.08

Newcastle 111 4 3.6% −79.50

Catterick 108 2 1.9% −89.50

Ayr 101 5 5% −39.75

Cartmel 96 5 5.2% +0.50

Kelso 96 4 4.2% −72.75

Perth 83 6 7.2% −49.37

Musselburgh 66 4 6.1% −29.00

Wetherby 45 3 6.7% +19.00

Newcastle (AW) 38 4 10.5% +7.50

Uttoxeter 34 2 5.9% −24.00

Hamilton 34 2 5.9% −25.38

Wolverhampton (AW) 22 0 0% −22.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 644 32 5% −304.55

Class 4 564 27 4.8% −232.87

Class 6 203 7 3.4% −113.50

Class 3 68 2 2.9% −54.50

Class 2 12 1 8.3% −7.50

Class 7 3 0 0% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 48 13 27.1% 1.10 +0.50

2nd–3rd fav 143 17 11.9% 0.78 −43.92

4th–6th fav 467 25 5.4% 0.75 −215.50

7th+ in betting 836 14 1.7% 0.64 −457.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

1m5f – 2m 516 25 4.8% −301.87

2m1f – 2m4f 495 21 4.2% −250.17

2m5f – 3m 212 8 3.8% −144.50

1m – 1m1f 94 8 8.5% −6.88

1m2f – 1m4f 73 1 1.4% −61.00

Over 3m 58 4 6.9% +51.50

6f – 7f 39 2 5.1% +4.00

Under 6f 7 0 0% −7.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 93 2 2.2% −73.50

2009 129 11 8.5% −22.37

2010 86 3 3.5% −72.00

2011 132 10 7.6% −14.30

2012 114 8 7% −53.25

2013 129 8 6.2% −6.50

2014 122 3 2.5% −103.00

2015 107 7 6.5% −50.00

2016 102 3 2.9% −65.50

2017 79 4 5.1% −16.50

2018 62 2 3.2% −52.50

2019 61 3 4.9% +31.00

2020 46 1 2.2% −29.00

2021 47 2 4.3% −19.00

2022 44 1 2.3% −36.00

2023 49 1 2% −41.50

2024 31 0 0% −31.00

2025 52 0 0% −52.00

2026 9 0 0% −9.00

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 1,161 67 5.8% −470.42

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 532 23 4.3% −235.55

11-13 runners 438 20 4.6% −204.25

5-7 runners 275 12 4.4% −192.62

14-16 runners 202 8 4% −68.50

17+ runners 26 0 0% −26.00

2-4 runners 21 6 28.6% +11.00

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

76.6% completed · 1,163 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 390 71.5% 12 24 73 1 1

Hurdle 773 79.2% 11 5 143 1 1

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

King's Chorister (GB)from Gay Kelleway 83 5 21 18 May 17

Baraboy (IRE)from Tim Easterby 77 11 24 18 Jul 22

Carrietau (GB)from James Given 56 7 18 12 Oct 12

Pete (GB) 54 6 14 23 Aug 14

Stanley Bridge (GB)from Alan Berry 51 6 15 3 Aug 15

Emotive (GB)from Ian Wood 39 2 8 22 Mar 12

Jebulani (GB)from David O'Meara 38 1 3 8 Aug 17

Trouble In Paris (IRE) 36 0 9 22 Jul 17

Border Victor (GB) 35 2 11 18 Nov 21

Forestside (IRE)from J J Lambe 34 0 7 18 Sep 15

Symbolic Star (IRE)from Charlie Appleby 32 4 4 2 Aug 19

Elixer (IRE) 31 1 8 6 Dec 21

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 151 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 8 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 41 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Alan Berry (2) and Gay Kelleway (2); 19 had their first archived run for this yard.

4 have since run for another yard; 56 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

445876341246

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderLorcan Murtagh

19% of all rides
2.1% SR · A/E 0.43

RiderRWSR£1

Lorcan Murtagh 289 6 2.1% −164.00

Lucy Alexander 156 13 8.3% +15.08

Brian Harding 121 5 4.1% −76.00

Henry Brooke 64 2 3.1% −26.00

Craig Nichol 53 4 7.5% −5.50

Connor Murtagh 51 2 3.9% −16.00

Ryan Mania 50 4 8% −32.75

Campbell Gillies 49 5 10.2% −18.25

Brian Hughes 44 0 0% −44.00

Graham Watters 37 1 2.7% −24.00

Sean Quinlan 36 1 2.8% −32.00

Richie McGrath 32 1 3.1% −24.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

Archived wins

£555k

Prize money

2009

Best season · 11 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Kealigolane (IRE) — John Wade Waste Recycling Novices' Handicap Hurdle (John Wade Novices' Hurdle Series Final) Sedgefield · Apr 2012 · Class 2

£10,010

Hollows Mill (GB) — Haden Young Ltd Handicap Chase Hexham · Jun 2007 · Class 3

£6,506

Kealigolane (IRE) — Weatherbys Hamilton Insurance Novices' Chase Carlisle · Feb 2013 · Class 3

£6,498

Notable horses

Baraboy (IRE) Carrietau (GB) Hollows Mill (GB) Pete (GB) Stanley Bridge (GB) King's Chorister (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

King's Best (USA) 6% · 5–83

Progeny have won 9.9% of 7,763 runs since 2008 (574 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.8% from 249.

Barathea (IRE) 14.3% · 11–77

Progeny have won 8.5% of 4,143 runs since 2008 (315 horses).

Overbury (IRE) 9.7% · 6–62

Progeny have won 10.7% of 4,657 runs since 2008 (423 horses).

Key Of Luck (USA) 11.9% · 7–59

Progeny have won 9.1% of 2,326 runs since 2008 (171 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 5.1% from 136.

Avonbridge (GB) 11.8% · 6–51

Progeny have won 8.6% of 3,930 runs since 2009 (262 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 11.6% from 795.

Pursuit of Love (GB) 5.1% · 2–39

Progeny have won 6.7% of 929 runs since 2008 (74 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 3 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,782 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,782 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 10 January 2005 to 19 June 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

19 Jun 26 Ayr Livonian (GER)J: Cam Hardie Tennent's Lager Handicap (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 10f · Soft · 10 ran 10th 150/1

13 Jun 26 Hexham Chicago Storm (GB)J: Lorcan Murtagh Tileform Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 15.5f · Good · 6 ran PU 20/1

04 Jun 26 Wetherby Livonian (GER)J: Shane Gray Book Your Autumn Hospitality Packages Now HandicapClass 4 · 7f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 14th 200/1

20 May 26 Ayr Livonian (GER)J: Oisin Orr Schweppes Cherry Pepper HandicapClass 4 · 9f · Good To Firm · 11 ran 11th 66/1

02 May 26 Hexham Cloud Free (IRE)J: Lorcan Murtagh Bobby Roberts Memorial Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) (Div 1)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 9 ran PU 250/1

25 Mar 26 Hexham Iturgeon Du Breuil (FR)J: Lorcan Murtagh Holiday At Hexham Racecourse Caravan Park Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Soft · 10 ran PU 10/1

25 Jan 26 Sedgefield Iturgeon Du Breuil (FR)J: Charlie Maggs Michael & Fred Watson Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 26.5f · Good To Soft · 11 ran PU 12/1

21 Jan 26 Catterick Derracrin (GB)J: Shane Fenelon racingtv.com Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 25f · Soft · 12 ran 5th 40/1

06 Jan 26 Southwell (AW) Cloud Free (IRE)J: Paul Mulrennan Make The Move To Midnite Classified Stakes (Div 1)Class 6 · 11f · Standard · 11 ran 11th 25/1

28 Dec 25 Catterick Derracrin (GB)J: Shane Fenelon Sky Bet Club Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 25f · Good · 14 ran UR 40/1

14 Dec 25 Carlisle Boyneside (GB)J: Charlie Maggs Racing Blogger Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 17f · Soft · 10 ran 6th 7/2

05 Dec 25 Sedgefield Iturgeon Du Breuil (FR)J: Charlie Maggs BeatWright Beat The Wright Way Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 26.5f · Soft · 8 ran 4th 22/1

28 Nov 25 Musselburgh Derracrin (GB)J: Shane Fenelon Musselburgh Racecourse Premium Annual Membership Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 20.5f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 4th 11/1

24 Nov 25 Newcastle (AW) Cloud Free (IRE)J: Tom Eaves Midnite: Built For 2025 Not 2005 Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 12.5f · Standard · 9 ran 4th 50/1

18 Nov 25 Kelso Boyneside (GB)J: Shane Fenelon racingtv.com/freetrial Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 24.5f · Soft · 11 ran 5th 22/1

07 Nov 25 Hexham Iturgeon Du Breuil (FR)J: Shane Fenelon Old Rondo At 80 Conditional Jockeys' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 6th 8/1

04 Nov 25 Wolverhampton (AW) Cloud Free (IRE)J: Tom Kiely-Marshall Midnite A Next Generation Betting App Apprentice HandicapClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 12 ran 11th 28/1

30 Oct 25 Newcastle Iturgeon Du Breuil (FR)J: Peter Kavanagh Sky Sports Racing Virgin 519 Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 23.5f · Good · 6 ran 6th 15/2

09 Oct 25 Newcastle (AW) Team Endeavour (GB)J: David Egan Free Bets On attheraces.com HandicapClass 6 · 16.5f · Standard · 9 ran 5th 40/1

19 Sep 25 Newcastle (AW) Team Endeavour (GB)J: Tom Kiely-Marshall Ardor Bull Run HandicapClass 6 · 16.5f · Standard · 5 ran 2nd 28/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Barry Murtagh's strike rate?: Barry Murtagh has won 69 of 1,494 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 4.6% (as at 3 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Barry Murtagh do best at?: Newcastle (AW) by strike rate: 4 wins from 38 runners (10.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Barry Murtagh?: Lorcan Murtagh, with 289 runners since 2008 — 19% of the total. That pairing has won 6 (2.1%).
What is Barry Murtagh's Fair A/E?: 0.78, from 1,491 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.