What is Jamie Osborne's strike rate?

Jamie Osborne has won 665 of 6,004 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 11.1% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Jamie Osborne do best at?

Leicester by strike rate: 17 wins from 99 runners (17.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Jamie Osborne?

Saffie Osborne, with 940 runners since 2008 — 16% of the total. That pairing has won 113 (12%).

Is Jamie Osborne in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 2 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Jamie Osborne's Fair A/E?

1.00, from 5,965 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Jamie Osborne

6,004 runners in the lifetime window · 752 individual horses

As at 12 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 5.4% of 313 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 12 Nov 2026.

Last runner 10 days ago 99% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

665–6,004

Wins / Runs

11.1%

Strike rate

n=6,004

1,773 (30%)

Placed

1.00

Fair A/E

n=5,965 · 0.86 incl. margin

−1,156.45

£1 level stake

n=6,004 at SP · −19.3%

£6.34m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

11.5%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 320 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 11% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.00).

Deterministic profile computed from 6,004 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 12 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Jan–Feb 31.4% when favourite Saffie Osborne: 12% from 940 Claiming riders: 11.7% Sends off the favourite in 10% of races

The read

It is weakest at Newbury (2.1% over 96 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Debutants struggle at 3% (n=533, Fair A/E 0.60). A horse in first-time headgear are the standout value angle: 11.1% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.25 and +65.11 to a £1 stake over 244 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. The market has consistently overbet a horse having headgear put back on after a bare run: 7% strike, Fair A/E 0.70 and −83.21 to a £1 stake over 143 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Saffie Osborne rides 16% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (12%, A/E 1.09) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well off a 0-7-day break (18.6%, n=499). 5 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Bet With Ascot Challenge Cup at Ascot (Oct 2018, £112,050). The stable star of the record: Drawnfromthepast (IRE) — 12 wins from 53 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jan–Feb.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 11.1% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

9.9%−1.2

n=706 · A/E 1.12 · £1 −27.23

New recruits · first run for the yard

11%−0.1

n=200 · A/E 0.94 · £1 −31.19

Debutants · first career start

3%−8.1

n=533 · A/E 0.60 · £1 −253.50

First-time headgear · true-first definition

11.1%+0.0

n=244 · A/E 1.25 · £1 +65.11

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

7%−4.1

n=143 · A/E 0.70 · £1 −83.21

When favourite

31.4%

n=593 · A/E 0.98 · £1 −91.15

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

11.7%+0.6

n=937 · A/E 1.14 · £1 −167.15

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

4.5%−6.6

n=89 · A/E 0.61 · £1 −48.90

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 11.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 19.1% vs 11.1% · n=601

With debutants 3% vs 11.1% · n=533

With Jamie Spencer 20.8% vs 11.1% · n=144

Off a 0-7-day break 18.6% vs 11.1% · n=499

At Newbury 2.1% vs 11.1% · n=96

With Adam Kirby 18.5% vs 11.1% · n=178

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 5,970 661 11.1% −1,145.57

Hurdle 19 4 21.1% +4.12

NH Flat 14 0 0% −14.00

Chase 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 3,620 427 11.8% −653.32

Good to Firm 954 98 10.3% −162.28

Good 703 68 9.7% −106.03

Good to Soft 332 36 10.8% −39.88

Soft 229 22 9.6% −118.17

Firm 104 8 7.7% −61.77

Heavy 62 6 9.7% −15.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Wolverhampton (AW) 1,071 133 12.4% −232.31

Kempton 851 86 10.1% −190.79

Lingfield 759 86 11.3% −178.51

Chelmsford (AW) 499 59 11.8% −11.02

Southwell (AW) 343 47 13.7% −105.45

Windsor 242 26 10.7% −12.65

Bath 216 21 9.7% −79.42

Ascot 195 24 12.3% +60.25

Brighton 155 18 11.6% −52.75

Goodwood 143 6 4.2% −92.00

Lingfield 137 14 10.2% −60.79

Salisbury 122 6 4.9% +7.50

Sandown 113 15 13.3% −19.67

Leicester 99 17 17.2% +19.88

Newbury 96 2 2.1% −80.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 2,235 243 10.9% −642.44

Class 6 1,746 239 13.7% −220.72

Class 4 975 107 11% +42.35

Class 2 482 30 6.2% −141.67

Class 3 431 34 7.9% −141.50

Class 1 89 4 4.5% −48.90

Class 7 15 2 13.3% +1.80

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 696 211 30.3% 0.99 −99.02

2nd–3rd fav 1,410 223 15.8% 0.95 −270.53

4th–6th fav 1,916 162 8.5% 1.06 −282.00

7th+ in betting 1,982 69 3.5% 1.07 −504.90

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

6f – 7f 2,734 309 11.3% −295.94

1m – 1m1f 1,416 162 11.4% −342.44

1m2f – 1m4f 981 85 8.7% −363.74

Under 6f 573 69 12% −159.84

1m5f – 2m 264 39 14.8% +15.51

2m1f – 2m4f 33 1 3% −7.00

2m5f – 3m 3 0 0% −3.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 240 22 9.2% −110.82

2009 279 21 7.5% −127.17

2010 260 33 12.7% −13.38

2011 252 24 9.5% −89.10

2012 343 52 15.2% +6.60

2013 333 42 12.6% −58.09

2014 276 45 16.3% −24.17

2015 352 39 11.1% −157.37

2016 384 49 12.8% −63.20

2017 404 48 11.9% −18.20

2018 414 50 12.1% −89.91

2019 380 32 8.4% −164.89

2020 267 16 6% −130.62

2021 293 36 12.3% +77.26

2022 214 16 7.5% −71.60

2023 333 36 10.8% −22.00

2024 364 31 8.5% −130.12

2025 354 43 12.1% +31.06

2026 262 30 11.5% −0.73

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 3,675 409 11.1% −309.25

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 2,167 241 11.1% −327.22

11-13 runners 1,801 148 8.2% −526.47

5-7 runners 1,233 203 16.5% −171.10

14-16 runners 449 34 7.6% −49.25

17+ runners 225 11 4.9% −45.50

2-4 runners 129 28 21.7% −36.91

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Miss Sligo (IRE) 58 7 24 10 Sep 24

Oratorio's Joy (IRE)then Mark Loughnane 56 8 17 28 Mar 17

Outer Space (GB)from Richard Hannon Snr · then John Flint 53 4 14 3 Jan 18

Hierarchy (IRE)from Hugo Palmer 52 5 19 14 Sep 26

Hashtagmetoo (USA) 49 5 20 31 Mar 24

Drawnfromthepast (IRE)then Luke Dace 48 10 18 21 Aug 13

Raising Sand (GB)from Roger Varian 47 8 15 4 Nov 23

Cliffs Of Capri (GB)from Simon Crisford 45 3 14 11 Nov 23

Russian Bullet (GB)then Leo Braem 40 5 14 1 Jul 13

Mr David (USA)from Brian Meehan 39 5 12 31 Jan 14

The Dandy Yank (IRE) 38 5 11 18 Jun 15

Amadeus Wolfe Tone (IRE)then Leo Braem 38 8 12 30 Mar 15

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 752 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 16 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 26 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Sir Michael Stoute (3) and Brian Meehan (2); 34 had their first archived run for this yard.

29 have since run for another yard, most often for Leo Braem (2) and Steph Hollinshead (2); 31 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 2

Only 2 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

1414121310811913101011

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderSaffie Osborne

16% of all rides
12% SR · A/E 1.09

RiderRWSR£1

Saffie Osborne 940 113 12% −62.05

Fergus Sweeney 562 56 10% −163.19

Nicola Currie 553 52 9.4% −145.94

Dougie Costello 491 42 8.6% −144.32

Shane Kelly 387 24 6.2% −115.85

William Carver 318 28 8.8% −8.87

William Carson 260 33 12.7% −54.89

Timmy Murphy 218 22 10.1% −64.12

Adam Kirby 178 33 18.5% −3.81

Jamie Spencer 144 30 20.8% −5.23

Sophie Doyle 137 19 13.9% −14.47

Tom Queally 115 17 14.8% −23.32

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

790

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£7.41m

Prize money

2007

Best season · 61 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Raising Sand (GB) — Bet With Ascot Challenge Cup (Heritage Handicap) Ascot · Oct 2018 · Class 2

£112,050

Field Of Dream (GB) — Royal Hunt Cup (Heritage Handicap) (Str) Ascot · Jun 2014 · Class 2

£108,938

Never Can Tell (IRE) — Betfred Cesarewitch (Heritage Handicap) Newmarket · Oct 2011 · Class 2

£99,600

Notable horses

Drawnfromthepast (IRE) Oratorio's Joy (IRE) Raising Sand (GB) Amadeus Wolfe Tone (IRE) Brains (IRE) Miss Sligo (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Kodiac (GB) 10.3% · 20–195

Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,604 runs since 2010 (1,666 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 254.

Dandy Man (IRE) 13.5% · 25–185

Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,990 runs since 2013 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 171.

Acclamation (GB) 8.4% · 14–166

Progeny have won 10% of 19,719 runs since 2008 (1,327 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15.2% from 151. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.7% from 195.

Oasis Dream (GB) 13.3% · 21–158

Progeny have won 11.8% of 18,051 runs since 2008 (1,511 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 17.3% from 150. Weakest on Heavy going: 8.5% from 485. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.1% from 792.

Royal Applause (GB) 9.9% · 14–141

Progeny have won 8.6% of 12,434 runs since 2008 (774 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 3.4% from 323.

Dark Angel (IRE) 11.4% · 14–123

Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,957 runs since 2011 (1,596 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 12 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 6,967 · newest first

The latest 50 of 6,967 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 5 January 2005 to 2 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

02 Nov 26 Chelmsford (AW) Knock Three Times (IRE)J: William Carver AWC Finals Day At Newcastle 26th March Nursery Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 9 ran 8th 16/1

31 Oct 26 Newmarket White Birch (GB)J: William Carver German Group One Racecourses James Seymour Stakes (Listed Race)Class 1 · 10f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 6th 11/4F

29 Oct 26 Bath Zulu Chieftain (GB)J: William Carver David Cole Memorial EBF Novice Stakes (Div I) (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 8f · Soft · 12 ran 8th 50/1

28 Oct 26 Nottingham Room Service (IRE)J: William Carver Robin Hood Stakes (Listed Race) (Formerly Known As The Ben Marshall Stakes)Class 1 · 8.5f · Soft · 8 ran 4th 14/1

24 Oct 26 Doncaster Big Hitter (IRE)J: P. J. McDonald William Hill Remembering Sue Wright Prospect Stakes (registered As The Doncaster Stakes) (Listed Race)Class 1 · 6f · Heavy · 7 ran 7th 28/1

23 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Epictetus (IRE)J: William Carver Midnite A Next Generation Betting App Handicap StakesClass 4 · 9.5f · Standard · 12 ran 9th 28/1

22 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Em Four (GB)J: William Carver Make The Move To Midnite Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 4 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 3rd 20/1

22 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Decalogue (USA)J: William Carver AWC Finals Day At Newcastle 26th March Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 11 ran 5th 7/1

19 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Golden Performance (USA)J: George Wood bettingsites.co.uk Best Betting Offers EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 3 · 7f · Standard · 14 ran 6th 80/1

19 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Hello You Ten (IRE)J: William Carver Download The At The Races App Nursery Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 7th 14/1

19 Oct 26 Bath Knock Three Times (IRE)J: Saffie Osborne Mj Church Nursery Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 4th 7/1

17 Oct 26 Ascot Hickory (IRE)J: Saffie Osborne Balmoral Handicap Stakes (sponsored By Qatar Racing)Class 2 · 8f · Good · 20 ran 7th 11/2

17 Oct 26 Ascot Room Service (IRE)J: William Carver Balmoral Handicap Stakes (sponsored By Qatar Racing)Class 2 · 8f · Good · 20 ran 6th 125/1

16 Oct 26 Haydock Jungle Drums (IRE)J: William Carver Weatherbys Stallion Book Handicap StakesClass 3 · 5f · Heavy · 14 ran 7th 10/1

15 Oct 26 Brighton Storm Force Ten (IRE)J: Saffie Osborne Each Way Extra At bet365 EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 6f · Good · 6 ran 5th 11/2

13 Oct 26 Leicester One Smack Mac (IRE)J: William Carver Happy 80th Reg Ling Handicap StakesClass 3 · 7f · Good To Soft · 17 ran 15th 66/1

11 Oct 26 Goodwood Jungle Drums (IRE)J: William Carver Virgin Bet Daily Extra Places Handicap StakesClass 3 · 6f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 4th 25/1

08 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Hello You Ten (IRE)J: Saffie Osborne Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Nursery Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 8f · Standard · 11 ran 2nd 100/30

08 Oct 26 Bath Grapple (GB)J: William Carver Seat Unique EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 8f · Good · 13 ran 7th 14/1

07 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Coroneta (USA)J: William Carver Unibet Interactive Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race)Class 3 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 12 ran 8th 100/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 16 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 3 runs (won 0) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 1 run (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 0) · to 2 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Jamie Osborne's strike rate?: Jamie Osborne has won 665 of 6,004 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 11.1% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Jamie Osborne do best at?: Leicester by strike rate: 17 wins from 99 runners (17.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Jamie Osborne?: Saffie Osborne, with 940 runners since 2008 — 16% of the total. That pairing has won 113 (12%).
Is Jamie Osborne in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 2 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Jamie Osborne's Fair A/E?: 1.00, from 5,965 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.