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Trainer profile

Liam McAteer

853 runners in the lifetime window · 84 individual horses
As at 2 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 13 days ago
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
40–853
Wins / Runs
4.7%
Strike rate
n=853
136 (16%)
Placed
0.89
Fair A/E
n=853 · 0.68 incl. margin
−438.50
£1 level stake
n=853 at SP · −51.4%
£602k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
7.7%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 40 runners a season, winning with 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.89).

Deterministic profile computed from 853 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 2 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Jul–Aug Ben Curtis: 7.3% from 96
The read

It is weakest at Leopardstown (0% over 46 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Debutants struggle at 0% (n=50, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 1.3% strike, Fair A/E 0.33 and −133.00 to a £1 stake over 152 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Ben Curtis rides 11% of the entries and edges the yard's average (7.3% vs 4.7%, A/E 1.26) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well at trips under 6f (8.8%, n=125). The record reads poorly off a break of 180+ days — 0% over 59 runners, 4.7pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard over 1m – 1m1f: Fair A/E 0.20 across 124 runners (0.8% strike, −118.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Irish Stallion Farms Joe McGrath European Breeders Fund Handicap at Curragh (Sep 2010, £34,450). The stable star of the record: Thats A Fret (IRE) — 9 wins from 67 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jul–Aug.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.7% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
1.3%−3.4
n=152 · A/E 0.33 · £1 −133.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−4.7
n=21 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −21.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−4.7
n=50 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −50.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
3.7%−1.0
n=27 · A/E 0.78 · £1 −14.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−4.7
n=38 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −38.00
When favourite
17.4%
n=23 · A/E 0.79 · £1 −12.33
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
4.2%−0.5
n=427 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −233.79
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
3.7%−1.0
n=27 · A/E 0.57 · £1 −21.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
At trips under 6f 8.8% vs 4.7% · n=125
Off a break of 180+ days 0% vs 4.7% · n=59
Over 1m – 1m1f 0.8% vs 4.7% · n=124
With debutants 0% vs 4.7% · n=50
At Leopardstown 0% vs 4.7% · n=46
With headgear back on 0% vs 4.7% · n=38
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 676 34 5% −336.62
Hurdle 113 3 2.7% −63.21
Chase 57 2 3.5% −36.00
NH Flat 7 1 14.3% −2.67

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 215 7 3.3% −134.50
Standard (AW) 156 7 4.5% −58.00
Good 152 6 3.9% −99.50
Heavy 152 10 6.6% −46.38
Good to Firm 111 6 5.4% −71.12
Good to Soft 57 4 7% −19.00
Firm 10 0 0% −10.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW) 148 7 4.7% −50.00
Curragh 119 5 4.2% −56.00
Navan 72 3 4.2% −59.50
Fairyhouse 61 2 3.3% −42.00
Naas 50 1 2% −43.00
Bellewstown 47 3 6.4% −25.00
Leopardstown 46 0 0% −46.00
Down Royal 34 2 5.9% −19.50
Cork 28 1 3.6% −7.00
Galway 27 3 11.1% +10.00
Gowran Park 27 1 3.7% −19.50
Sligo 20 1 5% −15.67
Clonmel 20 1 5% −12.00
Roscommon 17 1 5.9% −11.50
Punchestown 16 2 12.5% +38.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 27 1 3.7% −21.00
Class 5 7 2 28.6% +3.88
Class 2 6 1 16.7% +3.00
Class 6 6 0 0% −6.00
Class 4 5 1 20% −1.00
Class 3 4 0 0% −4.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 26 4 15.4% 0.73 −15.33
2nd–3rd fav 72 17 23.6% 1.94 +40.83
4th–6th fav 162 10 6.2% 0.84 −55.00
7th+ in betting 593 9 1.5% 0.48 −409.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Thats A Fret (IRE)then P J Hassett 67 9 22 9 Jul 14
Nans Best (IRE) 39 2 12 29 Jul 11
Croisultan (IRE)then D K Weld 37 4 11 9 Oct 11
Yellow Dandy (IRE) 33 2 5 28 Apr 14
Amazing Emma (IRE) 30 2 10 20 Aug 22
Grigorovitch (IRE)from Ian Semple 28 2 4 10 Feb 12
Peculiar Prince (IRE) 28 1 4 22 Aug 10
Tellelle (IRE) 27 3 9 1 May 11
College Scholar (GER)from Ed Dunlop 26 1 4 25 Sep 10
What's In Front (IRE)then Michael Mulvany 24 1 6 6 May 10
Tasman (IRE)from D K Weld 23 2 7 29 Dec 11
Bang Po (IRE)from Ross O'Sullivan 22 1 1 20 Oct 26
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 84 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 3 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 20 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Ed Dunlop (2) and Mark Johnston (2); 40 had their first archived run for this yard.

17 have since run for another yard, most often for Michael Mulvany (2) and P J Hassett (2); 43 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 1
Only 1 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
634251884623
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderBen Curtis
11% of all rides
7.3% SR · A/E 1.26
RiderRWSR£1
Ben Curtis 96 7 7.3% −36.00
Michael Hussey 63 3 4.8% −28.00
A E Lynch 55 3 5.5% +0.29
N G McCullagh 44 3 6.8% −8.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
57
Archived wins
2
Pattern / graded wins
£1.00m
Prize money
2009
Best season · 12 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Thats A Fret (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms Joe McGrath European Breeders Fund Handicap Curragh · Sep 2010
£34,450
Majestic Times (IRE) — Abergwaun Stakes (Listed) Cork · Oct 2005 · Listed
£32,550
Croisultan (IRE) — Belgrave Stakes (Listed) Fairyhouse · Jul 2010 · Listed
£27,625
Notable horses
Thats A Fret (IRE) Peculiar Prince (IRE) Snap (GB) Croisultan (IRE) Nans Best (IRE) Tellelle (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Choisir (AUS) 12.5% · 10–80
Progeny have won 10.7% of 5,779 runs since 2008 (392 horses).
Dr Fong (USA) 6.4% · 3–47
Progeny have won 9.4% of 4,593 runs since 2008 (350 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 5.1% from 158.
Rock Of Gibraltar (IRE) 5.1% · 2–39
Progeny have won 9.8% of 11,566 runs since 2008 (872 horses).
Refuse To Bend (IRE) 10.8% · 4–37
Progeny have won 9.8% of 4,868 runs since 2008 (320 horses).
Celtic Swing (GB) 2.9% · 1–34
Progeny have won 9.3% of 2,248 runs since 2008 (160 horses).
Fasliyev (USA) 5.9% · 2–34
Progeny have won 8.3% of 4,140 runs since 2008 (273 horses). Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 12.1% from 124.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 2 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,330 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,330 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 20 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
20 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Bang Po (IRE)J: Terry Casey Always Gambling Responsibly With 1xBet.ie Handicap8f · Yielding · 23 ran 22nd 40/1
08 Sep 26 Galway (IRE) Bang Po (IRE)J: Rory Mulligan Racing In The City Of Tribes Handicap7f · Soft · 11 ran 1st 18/1
05 Sep 26 Navan (IRE) Bang Po (IRE)J: Rory Mulligan Return Of The Jumps At Navan Racecourse September 19th Handicap (Div I)10f · Good · 21 ran 5th 50/1
25 Aug 26 Bellewstown (IRE) Bang Po (IRE)J: Jack Cleary Ploughman Bar & Grill Handicap (Div I)8f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran 11th 40/1
22 Jul 26 Naas (IRE) Quarry Stone (IRE)J: Adam Browne-Souza O'Neill & Co. Apprentice Handicap8f · Good · 18 ran 18th 66/1
09 Jul 26 Leopardstown Quarry Stone (IRE)J: Jimmy Dalton Mervue Equine Handicap (0-60)9f · Good · 22 ran 21st 50/1
02 Jul 26 Bellewstown Bang Po (IRE)J: Jimmy Dalton McNallys Pharmacy Apprentice Handicap (0-60)14.5f · Good · 12 ran 10th 22/1
07 Jun 26 Navan Bang Po (IRE)J: Jack Cleary Cusack Hotel Group Family Raceday July 11th Handicap (0-60) (Div 1)13f · Good · 16 ran 6th 50/1
15 May 26 Leopardstown Bang Po (IRE)J: Wesley Joyce Mervue Equine Supplements Handicap (0-60)13f · Good · 19 ran 11th 66/1
05 May 26 Gowran Park Bang Po (IRE)J: Wesley Joyce Save 33% Buying Tickets Online Handicap (0-60)8f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran 12th 66/1
23 Apr 26 Dundalk (AW) Bang Po (IRE)J: Shane Foley View Restaurant At Dundalk Stadium Handicap (0-60)8f · Standard · 10 ran 9th 33/1
06 Feb 26 Dundalk (AW) Bang Po (IRE)J: Jack Cleary Dundalkstadium.com Apprentice Handicap (0-60)8f · Standard · 14 ran 14th 100/1
30 Jan 26 Dundalk (AW) Bang Po (IRE)J: Robyn Donaghue-Leahy Follow Us On X At DundalkStadium Handicap (0-60) (Div 1)10.5f · Standard · 13 ran 11th 28/1
08 Oct 25 Navan Bang Po (IRE)J: Terry Casey Racing Again 22nd October Handicap (0-60) (Div 2)10f · Yielding · 17 ran 8th 25/1
04 Oct 25 Curragh Bang Po (IRE)J: Terry Casey Final Furlong Podcast With 1xbet.ie Handicap8f · Soft To Heavy · 18 ran 13th 80/1
01 Oct 25 Bellewstown Bang Po (IRE)J: J M Sheridan BOYLE Sports Home Of The Early Payout Handicap (0-60)8f · Soft · 15 ran 15th 22/1
20 Sep 25 Gowran Park Bang Po (IRE)J: Nicola Burns BOYLE Sports Home Of Early Payout Handicap (0-60) (Div 1)8f · Heavy · 15 ran 8th 12/1
06 Nov 24 Dundalk (AW) Quarry Stone (IRE)J: Robert Whearty Book Online At DundalkStadium.com Nursery Handicap6f · Standard · 14 ran 8th 80/1
23 Oct 24 Navan Quarry Stone (IRE)J: Gavin Ryan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Median Auction Maiden6f · Yielding · 19 ran 14th 150/1
21 Oct 24 Gowran Park Bang Po (IRE)J: N G McCullagh Racing Club Membership Handicap (47-65) (Div 2)8.5f · Soft To Heavy · 15 ran 10th 16/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Liam McAteer's strike rate?
Liam McAteer has won 40 of 853 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 4.7% (as at 2 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Liam McAteer do best at?
Bellewstown by strike rate: 3 wins from 47 runners (6.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Liam McAteer?
Ben Curtis, with 96 runners since 2008 — 11% of the total. That pairing has won 7 (7.3%).
Is Liam McAteer in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Liam McAteer's Fair A/E?
0.89, from 853 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 2 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).