What is Mark Hoad's strike rate?

Mark Hoad has won 45 of 951 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 4.7% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Mark Hoad do best at?

Windsor by strike rate: 3 wins from 36 runners (8.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Mark Hoad?

Robert Havlin, with 97 runners since 2008 — 10% of the total. That pairing has won 5 (5.2%).

Is Mark Hoad in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Mark Hoad's Fair A/E?

0.85, from 949 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Mark Hoad

951 runners in the lifetime window · 108 individual horses

As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 8 days ago

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

45–951

Wins / Runs

4.7%

Strike rate

n=951

159 (17%)

Placed

0.85

Fair A/E

n=949 · 0.72 incl. margin

−448.05

£1 level stake

n=951 at SP · −47.1%

£287k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

11.1%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 50 runners a season, winning with 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.85). With a claiming rider up the record reads 7% (301 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 951 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 20 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Feb–Apr Robert Havlin: 5.2% from 97 Claiming riders: 7%

The read

Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 1.3% (n=157, Fair A/E 0.39). Robert Havlin rides 10% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (5.2%, A/E 0.85). The yard also reads well off a 8-14-day break (9.9%, n=203) and at trips under 6f (9.4%, n=106). The record reads poorly in Class 4 — 0% over 91 runners, 4.7pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: Hey Ho Let's Go (GB) — 7 wins from 56 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Feb–Apr.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.7% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

1.3%−3.4

n=157 · A/E 0.39 · £1 −125.00

New recruits · first run for the yard

4%−0.7

n=75 · A/E 1.01 · £1 −36.50

Debutants · first career start

0%−4.7

n=29 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −29.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

0%−4.7

n=24 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −24.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

2.1%−2.6

n=48 · A/E 0.62 · £1 −31.00

When favourite

46.7%

n=15 · A/E 1.72 · £1 +10.20

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

7%+2.3

n=301 · A/E 1.24 · £1 −38.75

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 17% vs 4.7% · n=47

Off a 8-14-day break 9.9% vs 4.7% · n=203

With Aidan Keeley 11.1% vs 4.7% · n=36

At trips under 6f 9.4% vs 4.7% · n=106

In Class 4 0% vs 4.7% · n=91

With horses switching code 0% vs 4.7% · n=88

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 790 41 5.2% −346.55

Hurdle 138 4 2.9% −78.50

Chase 12 0 0% −12.00

NH Flat 11 0 0% −11.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 551 30 5.4% −252.80

Good 135 2 1.5% −112.25

Good to Firm 116 7 6% +0.00

Soft 68 2 2.9% −56.50

Good to Soft 46 2 4.3% −7.00

Heavy 24 2 8.3% −8.50

Firm 11 0 0% −11.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Lingfield (AW) 286 16 5.6% −102.80

Kempton (AW) 171 5 2.9% −122.00

Brighton 68 0 0% −68.00

Lingfield 65 4 6.2% −8.75

Chelmsford (AW) 51 4 7.8% −24.00

Fontwell 46 2 4.3% −25.00

Plumpton 46 0 0% −46.00

Windsor 36 3 8.3% +15.00

Wolverhampton (AW) 23 4 17.4% +5.00

Folkestone 20 0 0% −20.00

Southwell (AW) 20 1 5% −9.00

Sandown 12 0 0% −12.00

Huntingdon 11 1 9.1% +23.00

Bath 9 0 0% −9.00

Towcester 9 0 0% −9.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 550 26 4.7% −217.80

Class 5 247 15 6.1% −110.75

Class 4 91 0 0% −91.00

Class 3 22 2 9.1% −1.50

Class 2 21 1 4.8% −15.50

Class 7 20 1 5% −11.50

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 23 7 30.4% 1.27 +2.20

2nd–3rd fav 96 14 14.6% 1.05 −17.25

4th–6th fav 274 14 5.1% 0.72 −126.00

7th+ in betting 558 10 1.8% 0.67 −307.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

1m2f – 1m4f 236 8 3.4% −167.00

6f – 7f 219 10 4.6% −124.50

1m – 1m1f 175 11 6.3% +5.50

1m5f – 2m 108 3 2.8% −65.30

Under 6f 106 10 9.4% −15.25

2m1f – 2m4f 79 3 3.8% −53.50

2m5f – 3m 21 0 0% −21.00

Over 3m 7 0 0% −7.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 75 3 4% −57.00

2009 65 5 7.7% −8.00

2010 62 5 8.1% +8.50

2011 57 1 1.8% −52.50

2012 57 1 1.8% −36.00

2013 50 3 6% +17.00

2014 61 2 3.3% −43.00

2015 85 3 3.5% −69.00

2016 61 1 1.6% −51.00

2017 64 3 4.7% −41.50

2018 42 2 4.8% −20.00

2019 38 2 5.3% −29.80

2020 46 1 2.2% −27.00

2021 22 2 9.1% −13.00

2022 39 4 10.3% −6.25

2023 43 2 4.7% −23.00

2024 40 2 5% −6.00

2025 26 1 3.8% +15.00

2026 18 2 11.1% −5.50

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 720 38 5.3% −305.05

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 363 24 6.6% −96.00

11-13 runners 321 9 2.8% −226.50

5-7 runners 148 9 6.1% −70.75

14-16 runners 102 2 2% −39.00

2-4 runners 9 1 11.1% −7.80

17+ runners 8 0 0% −8.00

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Hey Ho Let's Go (GB)from Clive Cox 56 7 14 13 May 24

Doctor Hilary (GB)from Andrew Haynes 55 3 14 9 Apr 15

Hurricane Alert (GB)from Natalie Lloyd-Beavis · then Frank Bishop 45 4 16 9 Aug 19

C'Mon You Irons (IRE)from Bryan Smart 42 5 11 7 Sep 12

Mafeking (UAE) 31 3 13 19 Feb 11

Sebs Sensei (IRE)from Richard Hannon Snr · then Daniel Steele 29 0 3 15 Jun 17

Sea's Aria (IRE)from Denis Gerard Hogan 28 1 5 18 Aug 20

Total Obsession (GB)from Edward Creighton 28 1 3 4 Jun 16

Crazy Maisie (IRE)from Ivan Furtado 26 1 4 15 May 25

Mafi (IRE)from Edward Lynam 25 3 9 13 Jan 14

Shake On It (GB)from M J Gingell 25 2 7 6 Jun 10

Santadelacruze (GB)from Gary Moore · then John E Long 24 0 12 8 Mar 17

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 108 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 4 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 45 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Gary Moore (3) and Chris Dwyer (2); 15 had their first archived run for this yard.

16 have since run for another yard, most often for Gary Moore (3) and Adam West (2); 44 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 1

Only 1 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

388745532137

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderRobert Havlin

10% of all rides
5.2% SR · A/E 0.85

RiderRWSR£1

Robert Havlin 97 5 5.2% −60.50

William Carson 43 2 4.7% −17.50

Chris Catlin 36 2 5.6% +1.50

Aidan Keeley 36 4 11.1% −3.25

Shane Kelly 33 1 3% −29.50

Adam Beschizza 30 0 0% −30.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

Archived wins

£323k

Prize money

2010

Best season · 5 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Mafeking (UAE) — Lingfield Park For Parties Handicap Lingfield (AW) · Jan 2008 · Class 2

£9,971

Mafeking (UAE) — Weatherbys Printing Handicap Wolverhampton (AW) · Mar 2010 · Class 3

£6,939

Mafeking (UAE) — totetrifecta Flexi Betting Handicap Lingfield (AW) · Dec 2010 · Class 3

£5,505

Notable horses

Hey Ho Let's Go (GB) Mafeking (UAE) C'Mon You Irons (IRE) Hurricane Alert (GB) Doctor Hilary (GB) Mafi (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Mujahid (USA) 4.8% · 4–83

Progeny have won 9.7% of 2,375 runs since 2008 (131 horses). Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 6.3% from 333.

Dream Ahead (USA) 12.5% · 7–56

Progeny have won 9.1% of 5,679 runs since 2008 (528 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 6% from 184.

Showcasing (GB) 8.9% · 4–45

Progeny have won 10.1% of 11,580 runs since 2008 (996 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.6% from 108.

Orpen (USA) 11.9% · 5–42

Progeny have won 9% of 4,037 runs since 2008 (381 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 4.4% from 113.

Jade Robbery (USA) 9.7% · 3–31

Progeny have won 11.4% of 404 runs since 2008 (27 horses).

Art Connoisseur (IRE) 0% · 0–29

Progeny have won 7% of 1,171 runs since 2008 (75 horses). Weakest on Good going: 3.3% from 212. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 11.2% from 169.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,088 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,088 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 12 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

12 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Henry Tudor (GB)J: Kieran O'Neill Unibet More Extra Place Races Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard / Slow · 10 ran 3rd 10/1

12 Sep 26 Lingfield (AW) Henry Tudor (GB)J: Luke Morris Follow @attheraces On X Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 3rd 15/2

10 Sep 26 Epsom Bobacious (GB)J: Liam Wright Chigwell Group - The Trade's Front Runner Handicap StakesClass 5 · 10f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 6th 12/1

24 Aug 26 Brighton Bobacious (GB)J: Liam Wright Ian Carnaby 30 Years Of Sponsorship Handicap StakesClass 6 · 10f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 7th 9/2

18 Aug 26 Lingfield (AW) Henry Tudor (GB)J: Callum Hutchinson Download The At The Races App Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 6f · Standard · 8 ran 4th 12/1

08 Aug 26 Lingfield (AW) Henry Tudor (GB)J: Luke Morris Rodney Bay Classified StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 3rd 16/1

30 Jul 26 Epsom Bobacious (GB)J: Liam Wright Spillers Future Champions Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 5 · 10f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 1st 4/1

16 Jul 26 Epsom Bobacious (GB)J: Mason Paetel Steve Donoghue Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8.5f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 5th 6/1

14 Jul 26 Leicester Henry Tudor (GB)J: Ashley Lewis Private Boxes For Best View @leicesterraces Classified StakesClass 6 · 6f · Good To Firm · 11 ran 7th 11/2

01 Jul 26 Epsom Downs Bobacious (GB)J: Mason Paetel Betfred 'Bet Builder' Apprentice HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Good · 9 ran 6th 6/1

30 Jun 26 Brighton Henry Tudor (GB)J: Ashley Lewis fairplaybet.co.uk Bet 20 Get 20 Free Bets HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Good To Firm · 11 ran 8th 50/1

06 Jun 26 Lingfield Bobacious (GB)J: Mason Paetel attheraces.com/marketmovers HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Soft · 6 ran 4th 7/1

29 May 26 Brighton Henry Tudor (GB)J: Jason Watson fairplaybet.co.uk Bet 20 Get 20 Free Bets HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Good To Firm · 13 ran 9th 25/1

18 May 26 Lingfield Bobacious (GB)J: Ashley Lewis Sporting Times HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Good · 8 ran 3rd 16/1

11 Mar 26 Southwell (AW) Henry Tudor (GB)J: Donagh Murphy Midnite, Building The Future Of Betting HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 11 ran 9th 16/1

26 Feb 26 Chelmsford City (AW) Henry Tudor (GB)J: Ashley Lewis Easter Festival On Sale Now Classified StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 1st 13/2

29 Jan 26 Lingfield (AW) Henry Tudor (GB)J: Charles Bishop Read Meg Nicholls' Blog At betmgm.co.uk Classified StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 9th 40/1

07 Jan 26 Lingfield (AW) Henry Tudor (GB)J: Robert Havlin Best Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 7 ran 4th 18/1

22 Dec 25 Lingfield (AW) Henry Tudor (GB)J: Robert Havlin Midnite Are Upping The Betting Game HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 11 ran 6th 28/1

15 Dec 25 Lingfield (AW) Henry Tudor (GB)J: Liam Wright Join The Midnite Movement HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 10 ran 9th 33/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Mark Hoad's strike rate?: Mark Hoad has won 45 of 951 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 4.7% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Mark Hoad do best at?: Windsor by strike rate: 3 wins from 36 runners (8.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Mark Hoad?: Robert Havlin, with 97 runners since 2008 — 10% of the total. That pairing has won 5 (5.2%).
Is Mark Hoad in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Mark Hoad's Fair A/E?: 0.85, from 949 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.