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Trainer profile

Robyn Brisland

1,761 runners in the lifetime window · 217 individual horses
As at 10 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Jan 2024 99% of runners on the flat
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
150–1,761
Wins / Runs
8.5%
Strike rate
n=1,761
421 (24%)
Placed
1.00
n=1,749 · 0.86 incl. margin
−399.83
£1 level stake
n=1,761 at SP · −22.7%
£1.23m
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 90 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 9% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.00).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,761 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 10 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Mar–Apr 32.4% when favourite Kieran O'Neill: 10.6% from 207 New recruits: 9.7% Sends off the favourite in 6% of races
The read

The record is strongest at Leicester (15.2%, n=46) and Bath (13.7%, n=73) — all clear of the yard's 8.5% baseline. A horse in first-time headgear has been a poor signal at 3.9% (n=51, Fair A/E 0.60). Debutants are the standout value angle: 5.6% strikes only just below baseline, but Fair A/E 1.51 and +40.50 to a £1 stake over 126 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Kieran O'Neill rides 12% of the entries and edges the yard's average (10.6% vs 8.5%, A/E 1.32) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well off a 0-7-day break (21.4%, n=126). The stable star of the record: Compass Point (GB) — 6 wins from 49 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Mar–Apr.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.5% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
7.3%−1.2
n=302 · A/E 1.19 · £1 −91.77
New recruits · first run for the yard
9.7%+1.2
n=93 · A/E 1.44 · £1 +3.21
Debutants · first career start
5.6%−2.9
n=126 · A/E 1.51 · £1 +40.50
First-time headgear · true-first definition
3.9%−4.6
n=51 · A/E 0.60 · £1 −33.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
9.3%+0.8
n=75 · A/E 1.03 · £1 −30.62
When favourite
32.4%
n=108 · A/E 1.13 · £1 −8.11
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
7.2%−1.3
n=373 · A/E 0.86 · £1 −109.97
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−8.5
n=12 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −12.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Off a 0-7-day break 21.4% vs 8.5% · n=126
On last-time-out winners 17.1% vs 8.5% · n=146
With Martin Harley 17% vs 8.5% · n=53
At Leicester 15.2% vs 8.5% · n=46
At Bath 13.7% vs 8.5% · n=73
With C&D winners 12.3% vs 8.5% · n=277
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 1,752 150 8.6% −390.83
NH Flat 7 0 0% −7.00
Hurdle 2 0 0% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 1,170 97 8.3% −372.71
Good to Firm 203 19 9.4% −17.18
Good 159 13 8.2% −17.25
Good to Soft 99 8 8.1% −2.25
Soft 83 7 8.4% −27.60
Heavy 25 2 8% +37.00
Firm 22 4 18.2% +0.16

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Lingfield (AW) 274 21 7.7% −60.92
Southwell (AW) 228 22 9.6% −13.77
Chelmsford (AW) 227 21 9.3% −56.55
Wolverhampton (AW) 215 20 9.3% −85.30
Kempton (AW) 204 11 5.4% −141.67
Brighton 75 7 9.3% +25.50
Bath 73 10 13.7% +19.66
Leicester 46 7 15.2% +54.82
Chepstow 44 2 4.5% −27.50
Nottingham 37 3 8.1% +3.75
Windsor 35 3 8.6% −11.00
Lingfield 33 3 9.1% −5.50
Yarmouth 28 2 7.1% −9.00
Goodwood 25 0 0% −25.00
Newcastle (AW) 22 2 9.1% −14.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 876 83 9.5% −227.09
Class 5 570 37 6.5% −216.67
Class 4 199 17 8.5% +56.00
Class 3 51 6 11.8% −9.47
Class 2 43 4 9.3% +2.00
Class 1 12 0 0% −12.00
Class 7 9 2 22.2% +0.50

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 128 40 31.3% 1.13 −10.36
2nd–3rd fav 302 43 14.2% 0.89 −66.87
4th–6th fav 623 49 7.9% 1.08 −59.60
7th+ in betting 708 18 2.5% 0.88 −263.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Compass Point (GB)from Laura Mongan 49 6 12 3 Jan 23
Cold Harbour (GB) 46 6 18 29 Jan 22
Nick Vedder (GB)from Michael Wigham 41 3 10 4 Feb 23
Evasive Power (USA)from P Twomey · then Alice Haynes 40 5 7 16 Dec 23
Blue Collar Lad (GB)then Alice Haynes 38 4 14 29 Jan 24
Apache Blaze (GB)from Michael Appleby 34 1 10 19 Oct 20
Therehegoes (GB)then Gary Harrison 32 3 10 7 Jan 24
Big Impact (GB)from Luke McJannet · then Deborah Faulkner 32 3 9 29 Jun 23
Navajo Star (IRE)from Michael Appleby 31 5 11 23 Nov 20
Alba Del Sole (IRE)from Charlie Wallis 29 3 8 7 Jun 22
Essgee Nics (IRE)from Paul George 29 3 5 17 Feb 22
Navajo Dawn (IRE) 26 2 6 15 Aug 21
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 217 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 8 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 31 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Michael Appleby (5) and Laura Mongan (2); 29 had their first archived run for this yard.

25 have since run for another yard, most often for Alice Haynes (3) and Deborah Faulkner (3); 35 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
1161011961298759
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderKieran O'Neill
12% of all rides
10.6% SR · A/E 1.32
RiderRWSR£1
Kieran O'Neill 207 22 10.6% −9.67
Darragh Keenan 104 10 9.6% +33.50
William Carson 95 10 10.5% −28.80
Kieran Shoemark 95 12 12.6% +10.35
David Probert 83 5 6% −51.67
Luke Morris 77 6 7.8% −29.75
Martin Harley 53 9 17% −20.97
Ryan Tate 41 2 4.9% −21.67
Tom Marquand 41 3 7.3% −13.12
David Egan 37 5 13.5% −3.17
Billy Loughnane 33 4 12.1% −1.50
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2016→
150
Archived wins
£1.23m
Prize money
2021
Best season · 37 wins
Magnus Maximus (GB) — Bibendum Wine Ltd Handicap Ascot · Sep 2016 · Class 2
£18,675
Doddie's Impact (GB) — Pertemps Network EBF Brocklesby Stakes (Novice Stakes) (GBB Race) Doncaster · Apr 2023 · Class 2
£18,039
Magnus Maximus (GB) — toteswinger Handicap Chelmsford (AW) · Aug 2016 · Class 3
£16,173

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Dandy Man (IRE) 10.1% · 10–99
Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,989 runs since 2013 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 171.
Helmet (AUS) 9.9% · 7–71
Progeny have won 9.4% of 4,852 runs since 2016 (351 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 12.8% from 148.
Bungle Inthejungle (GB) 10.7% · 6–56
Progeny have won 8.8% of 4,248 runs since 2018 (353 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 2.4% from 123. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 2.4% from 124.
North Light (IRE) 15.4% · 8–52
Progeny have won 9.5% of 242 runs since 2009 (24 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 19.4% from 103.
Adaay (IRE) 4.3% · 2–46
Progeny have won 9.1% of 2,968 runs since 2020 (192 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 6% from 499.
Mastercraftsman (IRE) 11.6% · 5–43
Progeny have won 10.6% of 11,644 runs since 2013 (842 horses). Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 13.7% from 329.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 10 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,761 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,761 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2016 to 29 January 2024.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
06 Nov 23 Kempton (AW) Evasive Power (USA)J: Kieran Shoemark Racing TV HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard To Slow · 11 ran 9th 33/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Robyn Brisland's strike rate?
Robyn Brisland has won 150 of 1,761 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.5% (as at 10 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Robyn Brisland do best at?
Leicester by strike rate: 7 wins from 46 runners (15.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Robyn Brisland?
Kieran O'Neill, with 207 runners since 2008 — 12% of the total. That pairing has won 22 (10.6%).
What is Robyn Brisland's Fair A/E?
1.00, from 1,749 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 10 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).