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Trainer profile

Stella Barclay

1,545 runners in the lifetime window · 127 individual horses
As at 4 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 306 days ago
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2018→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
106–1,545
Wins / Runs
6.9%
Strike rate
n=1,545
329 (21%)
Placed
0.99
Fair A/E
n=1,532 · 0.84 incl. margin
−381.77
£1 level stake
n=1,545 at SP · −24.7%
£809k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 80 runners a season, winning with 7% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.99).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,545 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 4 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Mar–May 34.4% when favourite Faye McManoman: 3.3% from 121 Sends off the favourite in 4% of races
The read

Debutants struggle at 0% (n=39, Fair A/E 0.00). Faye McManoman rides 8% of the entries and sits below the yard's average (3.3% vs 6.9%, A/E 0.59). The yard also reads well off a 0-7-day break (15.8%, n=101). The record reads poorly off a break of 180+ days — 0% over 83 runners, 6.9pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: Basholo (IRE) — 8 wins from 48 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Mar–May.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.9% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
3.1%−3.8
n=224 · A/E 0.95 · £1 −83.38
New recruits · first run for the yard
3.4%−3.5
n=89 · A/E 1.04 · £1 −3.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−6.9
n=39 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −39.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−6.9
n=34 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −34.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
6.5%−0.4
n=62 · A/E 1.06 · £1 −6.50
When favourite
34.4%
n=61 · A/E 1.16 · £1 −0.34
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
6.1%−0.8
n=462 · A/E 0.87 · £1 −180.06
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−6.9
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On last-time-out winners 20.6% vs 6.9% · n=107
With Jason Hart 22.2% vs 6.9% · n=63
With Joanna Mason 20% vs 6.9% · n=30
Off a 0-7-day break 15.8% vs 6.9% · n=101
With Jonny Peate 16.3% vs 6.9% · n=43
Off a break of 180+ days 0% vs 6.9% · n=83
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 1,348 95 7% −304.60
Hurdle 126 3 2.4% −77.00
Chase 58 8 13.8% +12.83
NH Flat 13 0 0% −13.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 865 62 7.2% −328.09
Good 257 19 7.4% −33.68
Good to Soft 139 10 7.2% +127.00
Soft 138 5 3.6% −81.00
Good to Firm 108 9 8.3% −35.00
Heavy 37 1 2.7% −30.00
Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Newcastle (AW) 361 31 8.6% −41.68
Wolverhampton (AW) 355 21 5.9% −194.95
Southwell (AW) 124 10 8.1% −66.46
Carlisle 66 6 9.1% −4.25
Hamilton 63 6 9.5% +123.66
Haydock 57 2 3.5% −45.00
Catterick 47 4 8.5% +11.83
Musselburgh 41 2 4.9% +0.00
Doncaster 34 1 2.9% −27.00
Ayr 34 0 0% −34.00
Redcar 30 3 10% −11.67
Thirsk 30 3 10% +1.50
Uttoxeter 30 1 3.3% −13.00
Beverley 25 2 8% −9.50
Nottingham 25 3 12% +21.25

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 964 75 7.8% −155.85
Class 5 372 22 5.9% −131.17
Class 4 171 8 4.7% −61.75
Class 3 16 0 0% −16.00
Class 7 12 1 8.3% −7.00
Class 2 9 0 0% −9.00
Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 74 23 31.1% 1.13 −3.34
2nd–3rd fav 212 30 14.2% 0.95 −42.43
4th–6th fav 423 33 7.8% 1.02 −91.00
7th+ in betting 836 20 2.4% 0.89 −245.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Sharrabang (GB) 70 6 21 17 Oct 23
Mansfield (GB)from Michael Wigham 62 3 21 29 Jun 22
Sir Benedict (IRE)from Charlie Fellowes · then Tony Culhane & Stella Barclay 58 5 18 13 Dec 25
Glorious Rio (IRE)from Charles Hills 57 7 16 24 Jun 24
Ghostly (GB)from Mick Channon 49 7 16 7 Mar 24
Basholo (IRE)from Brian Meehan · then Tony Culhane & Stella Barclay 48 8 21 2 Jan 26
Balqaa (GB)from Ivan Furtado · then Tony Culhane & Stella Barclay 42 3 14 1 Aug 25
Danzart (IRE)from Mick Channon 38 4 10 9 Oct 25
Cloch Nua (GB)from George Scott · then Tony Culhane & Stella Barclay 35 6 13 29 Dec 25
Lancashire Life (GB) 35 1 7 17 May 24
Deolali (GB)from David Loughnane 33 5 8 24 Mar 23
Bossy Parker (IRE)from J P Murtagh · then Tony Culhane & Stella Barclay 30 2 5 22 Nov 25
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 127 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 7 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 45 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Mick Channon (6) and Mike Hammond (4); 15 had their first archived run for this yard.

18 have since run for another yard, most often for Tony Culhane & Stella Barclay (9) and Ewan Whillans (2); 42 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
10499848105754
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderFaye McManoman
8% of all rides
3.3% SR · A/E 0.59
RiderRWSR£1
Faye McManoman 121 4 3.3% −66.50
Cam Hardie 119 6 5% −41.00
Shane Gray 115 8 7% +68.83
Callum Shepherd 65 8 12.3% −3.02
Jason Hart 63 14 22.2% +18.13
Paul Mulrennan 56 5 8.9% −17.75
Zak Wheatley 56 4 7.1% −2.75
Callum Rodriguez 54 5 9.3% −16.80
Jonny Peate 43 7 16.3% −14.35
Sam James 35 2 5.7% −12.00
Alex Jary 33 3 9.1% −19.17
Henry Brooke 32 2 6.3% −24.50
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2018→
106
Archived wins
£809k
Prize money
2025
Best season · 22 wins
Papa Cocktail (IRE) — Penrith Handicap Carlisle · May 2023 · Class 4
£6,543
The Nu Form Way (FR) — Roman Day Community Zone Handicap Chester · May 2023 · Class 4
£6,185
Bossy Parker (IRE) — BetMGM: It's Showtime Handicap Wolverhampton (AW) · Feb 2024 · Class 6
£5,757
Notable horses
Basholo (IRE) Glorious Rio (IRE) Ghostly (GB) Sharrabang (GB) Cloch Nua (GB) Sir Benedict (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Coach House (IRE) 7% · 15–213
Progeny have won 8.6% of 2,479 runs since 2018 (145 horses).
Exceed and Excel (AUS) 8.4% · 9–107
Progeny have won 11.8% of 16,034 runs since 2008 (1,161 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 20.7% from 198. Weakest on Soft going: 7.9% from 1,194.
Dandy Man (IRE) 8.7% · 9–104
Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,968 runs since 2013 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 170.
Outstrip (GB) 11.1% · 8–72
Progeny have won 8.8% of 3,287 runs since 2019 (240 horses). Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 12.8% from 634. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.7% from 264.
Gutaifan (IRE) 12.3% · 7–57
Progeny have won 8.9% of 3,762 runs since 2019 (302 horses).
Caravaggio (USA) 16.7% · 8–48
Progeny have won 11.8% of 1,776 runs since 2021 (201 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 16.3% from 166.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 4 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,545 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,545 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 4 May 2018 to 2 January 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
02 Jan 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Basholo (IRE)J: Zak Wheatley Midnite Are Upping The Betting Game HandicapClass 5 · 5f · Standard · 8 ran 5th 33/1
29 Dec 25 Newcastle (AW) Cloch Nua (GB)J: Zak Wheatley Best Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 4th 9/1
28 Dec 25 Catterick Rostello (FR)J: Luke Scott Sky Bet Club Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 25f · Good · 14 ran 11th 66/1
20 Dec 25 Wolverhampton (AW) Skycutter (FR)J: Stevie Donohoe Midnite, Building The Future Of Betting Handicap (Div 1)Class 5 · 12f · Standard · 10 ran 9th 22/1
19 Dec 25 Southwell (AW) Spirit Of Bowland (GB)J: Billy Garritty Read Meg Nicholls' Blog At betmgm.co.uk Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 8f · Standard · 10 ran 4th 25/1
13 Dec 25 Wolverhampton (AW) Cloch Nua (GB)J: Stevie Donohoe Always Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM HandicapClass 6 · 8.5f · Standard · 12 ran 10th 40/1
13 Dec 25 Wolverhampton (AW) Sir Benedict (IRE)J: Stevie Donohoe Midnite A Next Generation Betting App HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 10 ran 6th 10/1
01 Dec 25 Wolverhampton (AW) Sir Benedict (IRE)J: Stevie Donohoe Midnite A Next Generation Betting App HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 11 ran 2nd 20/1
27 Nov 25 Newcastle (AW) Wolf Of Badenoch (GB)J: Stevie Donohoe Always Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM HandicapClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 7 ran 7th 15/2
27 Nov 25 Newcastle (AW) Platoon (IRE)J: Paul Mulrennan Win 250,000 With BetMGM's Golden Goals HandicapClass 3 · 8f · Standard · 12 ran 11th 100/1
25 Nov 25 Wolverhampton (AW) Skycutter (FR)J: Stevie Donohoe Ministry Of Sound Concert 31st August HandicapClass 5 · 12f · Standard · 9 ran 6th 40/1
24 Nov 25 Wolverhampton (AW) Basholo (IRE)J: Zak Wheatley Midnite A Next Generation Betting App HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 7 ran 1st 28/1
24 Nov 25 Wolverhampton (AW) Cloch Nua (GB)J: Stevie Donohoe Win 250,000 With BetMGM's Golden Goals Handicap (Div 2)Class 5 · 8.5f · Standard · 8 ran 6th 50/1
22 Nov 25 Newcastle (AW) Bossy Parker (IRE)J: Zak Wheatley Use Safer Gambling Tools At BetMGM HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 12 ran 5th 40/1
22 Nov 25 Newcastle (AW) Present Times (GB)J: Zak Wheatley Midnite A Next Generation Betting App Apprentice HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Standard · 11 ran 9th 33/1
20 Nov 25 Newcastle (AW) Ada's Day (FR)J: Barry McHugh Midnite: Built For 2025 Not 2005 Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 10f · Standard · 10 ran 10th 250/1
08 Nov 25 Doncaster Platoon (IRE)J: Robert Havlin Virgin Bet November Handicap (GBBPlus Race)Class 2 · 12f · Heavy · 22 ran 18th 150/1
07 Nov 25 Newcastle (AW) Basholo (IRE)J: Zak Wheatley Make The Move To Midnite HandicapClass 5 · 5f · Standard · 14 ran 13th 33/1
07 Nov 25 Newcastle (AW) Skycutter (FR)J: Rowan Scott Midnite A Next Generation Betting App Handicap (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 12.5f · Standard · 10 ran 7th 100/1
05 Nov 25 Musselburgh Sir Benedict (IRE)J: Joe Fanning Happy 70th Birthday John Grossick HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Soft · 12 ran 5th 8/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Stella Barclay's strike rate?
Stella Barclay has won 106 of 1,545 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.9% (as at 4 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Stella Barclay do best at?
Redcar by strike rate: 3 wins from 30 runners (10%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Stella Barclay?
Faye McManoman, with 121 runners since 2008 — 8% of the total. That pairing has won 4 (3.3%).
What is Stella Barclay's Fair A/E?
0.99, from 1,532 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 4 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).