What is Tom Tate's strike rate?

Tom Tate has won 163 of 1,697 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 9.6% (as at 30 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Tom Tate do best at?

Newcastle (AW) by strike rate: 19 wins from 138 runners (13.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Tom Tate?

Micky Fenton, with 412 runners since 2008 — 24% of the total. That pairing has won 40 (9.7%).

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Tom Tate's Fair A/E?

0.95, from 1,690 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Tom Tate

1,697 runners in the lifetime window · 155 individual horses

As at 30 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner yesterday 93% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

163–1,697

Wins / Runs

9.6%

Strike rate

n=1,697

478 (28%)

Placed

0.95

Fair A/E

n=1,690 · 0.81 incl. margin

−319.99

£1 level stake

n=1,697 at SP · −18.9%

£2.07m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

10.7%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 90 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 10% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.95).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,697 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 30 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Oct–Dec 35.7% when favourite Micky Fenton: 9.7% from 412 Sends off the favourite in 8% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Newmarket (17.6%, n=34), clear of the yard's 9.6% baseline. Debutants struggle at 5.1% (n=117, Fair A/E 0.69). Micky Fenton rides 24% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (9.7%, A/E 0.91). The yard also reads well in Hurdle races (15.8%, n=76). 7 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Betfred Cambridgeshire at Newmarket (Sep 2011, £99,600). The stable star of the record: Equiano Springs (GB) — 13 wins from 71 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Oct–Dec.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9.6% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

8.6%−1.0

n=279 · A/E 0.91 · £1 −105.84

New recruits · first run for the yard

0%−9.6

n=22 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −22.00

Debutants · first career start

5.1%−4.5

n=117 · A/E 0.69 · £1 −71.38

First-time headgear · true-first definition

5%−4.6

n=20 · A/E 0.60 · £1 −12.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

7.1%−2.5

n=14 · A/E 1.03 · £1 −10.00

When favourite

35.7%

n=129 · A/E 1.16 · £1 +3.18

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

5.9%−3.7

n=68 · A/E 0.76 · £1 +10.00

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

6%−3.6

n=67 · A/E 0.62 · £1 −46.75

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Keith Mercer 23.9% vs 9.6% · n=46

At Newmarket 17.6% vs 9.6% · n=34

With Tom Eaves 2.2% vs 9.6% · n=45

In Hurdle races 15.8% vs 9.6% · n=76

With Andrew Mullen 14.7% vs 9.6% · n=143

With Jamie Spencer 15.1% vs 9.6% · n=93

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 1,579 146 9.2% −313.78

Hurdle 76 12 15.8% +3.00

NH Flat 28 3 10.7% −3.50

Chase 14 2 14.3% −5.71

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good to Firm 477 47 9.9% −88.55

Good 418 35 8.4% −104.05

Standard (AW) 316 37 11.7% +38.58

Good to Soft 223 18 8.1% −53.51

Soft 177 16 9% −63.97

Heavy 77 10 13% −39.49

Firm 9 0 0% −9.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Doncaster 155 8 5.2% −78.17

Haydock 144 13 9% +4.85

Newcastle (AW) 138 19 13.8% +86.67

York 134 8 6% −53.25

Ripon 120 16 13.3% −33.92

Redcar 107 8 7.5% −56.88

Southwell (AW) 86 7 8.1% −40.00

Pontefract 79 9 11.4% +18.00

Beverley 67 5 7.5% −38.50

Newcastle 66 3 4.5% −51.50

Nottingham 65 6 9.2% −19.25

Thirsk 64 4 6.3% −35.63

Wolverhampton (AW) 63 6 9.5% −8.17

Chester 40 4 10% +1.50

Catterick 39 5 12.8% −7.13

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 525 47 9% −190.15

Class 4 427 46 10.8% −110.82

Class 6 248 23 9.3% −24.25

Class 3 213 25 11.7% −7.85

Class 2 208 17 8.2% +53.83

Class 1 76 5 6.6% −40.75

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 158 49 31% 1.10 −11.32

2nd–3rd fav 382 47 12.3% 0.77 −135.17

4th–6th fav 517 44 8.5% 1.05 −47.50

7th+ in betting 640 23 3.6% 0.98 −126.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

6f – 7f 503 37 7.4% −240.23

1m2f – 1m4f 451 46 10.2% −119.68

1m – 1m1f 353 38 10.8% +45.01

1m5f – 2m 180 21 11.7% +53.91

Under 6f 164 16 9.8% −46.00

2m1f – 2m4f 31 2 6.5% −11.50

2m5f – 3m 12 1 8.3% −8.75

Over 3m 3 2 66.7% +7.25

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 197 25 12.7% −31.39

2009 239 22 9.2% −18.47

2010 203 22 10.8% −62.00

2011 144 18 12.5% +1.38

2012 81 5 6.2% −47.21

2013 74 5 6.8% −24.50

2014 70 5 7.1% −19.38

2015 45 5 11.1% −0.50

2016 52 3 5.8% −21.00

2017 87 14 16.1% +32.67

2018 77 5 6.5% −12.00

2019 99 9 9.1% −20.50

2020 52 6 11.5% +3.00

2021 57 4 7% +53.50

2022 53 3 5.7% −39.67

2023 57 4 7% −38.17

2024 46 3 6.5% −33.25

2025 36 2 5.6% −23.50

2026 28 3 10.7% −19.00

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 1,195 110 9.2% −90.47

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

11-13 runners 526 44 8.4% −25.69

8-10 runners 523 48 9.2% −221.18

5-7 runners 243 38 15.6% −24.98

14-16 runners 239 18 7.5% −38.87

17+ runners 136 7 5.1% −9.00

2-4 runners 30 8 26.7% −0.27

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Equiano Springs (GB) 71 13 25 8 Aug 25

Young Tiger (GB) 63 7 19 22 Aug 22

Empress Ali (IRE) 42 6 17 16 Aug 19

Destroyer (GB)from William Muir 41 3 10 24 Jul 22

Prince Of Johanne (IRE)from Jeremy Noseda 40 6 13 14 Oct 16

Kudu Country (IRE)then Evan Williams 40 6 15 20 Oct 14

Suits Me (GB)from John Quinn · then David Barron 40 6 21 26 Mar 11

Celtic Sultan (IRE)then Paul Midgley 38 4 10 25 Oct 11

First Dance (IRE)from James Tate 37 4 11 12 Aug 22

Eagle Rock (IRE) 37 5 18 25 Oct 14

Bayraat (GB) 36 2 12 14 Aug 26

Groupie (GB)from Richard Hannon 35 1 4 27 Jul 21

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 155 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 9 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 9 arrived from another yard in our archive; 51 had their first archived run for this yard.

31 have since run for another yard, most often for David Barron (2) and Evan Williams (2); 29 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 1

Only 1 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

1015812711979111514

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderMicky Fenton

24% of all rides
9.7% SR · A/E 0.91

RiderRWSR£1

Micky Fenton 412 40 9.7% −118.56

James Sullivan 210 16 7.6% +21.42

Andrew Mullen 143 21 14.7% +60.75

Andrew Elliott 99 7 7.1% −47.88

Jamie Spencer 93 14 15.1% −28.32

Graham Lee 51 2 3.9% −27.00

Keith Mercer 46 11 23.9% +25.12

Tom Eaves 45 1 2.2% −42.75

Franny Norton 32 5 15.6% +12.00

Robert Winston 31 2 6.5% −24.09

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

216

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£2.69m

Prize money

2008

Best season · 25 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Prince Of Johanne (IRE) — Betfred Cambridgeshire (Heritage Handicap) Newmarket · Sep 2011 · Class 2

£99,600

Prince Of Johanne (IRE) — Royal Hunt Cup (Heritage Handicap) (Str) Ascot · Jun 2012 · Class 2

£77,813

Welsh Emperor (IRE) — Sportsman Newspaper Hungerford Stakes (Group 2) Newbury · Aug 2006 · Group 2

£51,102

Notable horses

Equiano Springs (GB) Suits Me (GB) Young Tiger (GB) Welsh Emperor (IRE) Celtic Sultan (IRE) Empress Ali (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Captain Gerrard (IRE) 9.3% · 7–75

Progeny have won 8.3% of 3,054 runs since 2008 (175 horses).

Captain Rio (GB) 12% · 9–75

Progeny have won 9.5% of 6,912 runs since 2008 (423 horses).

Royal Applause (GB) 5.4% · 4–74

Progeny have won 8.6% of 12,434 runs since 2008 (774 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 3.4% from 323.

Equiano (FR) 18.3% · 13–71

Progeny have won 9.1% of 7,539 runs since 2008 (549 horses).

Cape Cross (IRE) 8.5% · 5–59

Progeny have won 13.3% of 12,754 runs since 2008 (988 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 8.4% from 477. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.8% from 230.

Rock Of Gibraltar (IRE) 19.6% · 9–46

Progeny have won 9.8% of 11,565 runs since 2008 (871 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 30 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,056 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,056 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 17 January 2005 to 29 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

29 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Have You A Minute (GB)J: John Egan All-Weather Championship Is Back Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 13 ran 9th 16/1

08 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Have You A Minute (GB)J: Saffie Osborne Download The Raceday Ready App Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 12 ran 4th 9/2

02 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Cable Beach (GB)J: Andrew Elliott Armah Switchgear Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 13 ran 4th 7/1

15 Sep 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Have You A Minute (GB)J: Josephine Gordon Cavani Style & Speed Handicap StakesClass 6 · 9.5f · Standard · 12 ran 3rd 16/1

27 Aug 26 Southwell (AW) Cable Beach (GB)J: Clifford Lee Download The Raceday Ready App Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 2nd 3/1

16 Aug 26 Southwell (AW) Have You A Minute (GB)J: Hector Crouch Fraser Plus Designer Outlet East Midlands Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 13 ran 2nd 11/1

14 Aug 26 Newmarket (July) Bayraat (GB)J: Rob Hornby Maritime Cargo Sts Container Storage Solutions Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 9th 18/1

25 Jul 26 York Bayraat (GB)J: Caoilin Quinn Sky Bet "Jump Jockeys' Nunthorpe" Handicap Stakes (To Be Ridden By Professional Jump Jockeys)Class 4 · 5f · Good To Firm · 17 ran 12th 16/1

09 Jul 26 Doncaster Bayraat (GB)J: Mr Eireann Cagney Betfred Follow Us On X Amateur Jockeys' HandicapClass 5 · 5.5f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 2nd 4/1J

25 Jun 26 Newcastle (AW) Cable Beach (GB)J: Robert Havlin Fly From Newcastle Airport HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard To Slow · 13 ran 4th 11/2

25 Jun 26 Newcastle (AW) Contorno (GB)J: Joanna Mason JenningsBet In Allerdene HandicapClass 5 · 5f · Standard To Slow · 12 ran 10th 12/1

16 Jun 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Have You A Minute (GB)J: Sean D Bowen Cavani Modern Gentleman HandicapClass 5 · 9.5f · Standard · 11 ran 9th 40/1

15 Jun 26 Wetherby Bayraat (GB)J: Clifford Lee William Hill Extra Places Every Day Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 5.5f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 1st 9/4

02 Jun 26 Newcastle (AW) Cable Beach (GB)J: Paul Mulrennan Penny Hotels HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 13 ran 7th 17/2

26 May 26 Redcar Bayraat (GB)J: Mr Eireann Cagney Watch Race Replays On Racing TV Amateur Jockeys' HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 2nd 10/3F

18 May 26 Redcar Maybe Soon (IRE)J: Andrew Elliott racingtv.com Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 7f · Good · 9 ran 8th 6/1

09 May 26 Nottingham Contorno (GB)J: Paul Mulrennan 9 Racedays At Nottingham Racecourse HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Good · 9 ran 8th 12/1

07 May 26 Redcar Bayraat (GB)J: Daniel Tudhope Download The Raceday Ready App Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 6f · Good · 11 ran 2nd 9/2

25 Apr 26 Ripon Contorno (GB)J: Sean D Bowen Watch Sky Sports Racing In HD HandicapClass 5 · 6f · Good · 10 ran 9th 20/1

08 Apr 26 Catterick Contorno (GB)J: Daniel Tudhope Download The Raceday Ready App HandicapClass 5 · 5f · Good · 10 ran 5th 6/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Tom Tate's strike rate?: Tom Tate has won 163 of 1,697 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 9.6% (as at 30 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Tom Tate do best at?: Newcastle (AW) by strike rate: 19 wins from 138 runners (13.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Tom Tate?: Micky Fenton, with 412 runners since 2008 — 24% of the total. That pairing has won 40 (9.7%).
Is Tom Tate in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Tom Tate's Fair A/E?: 0.95, from 1,690 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.