What is Deborah Faulkner's strike rate?

Deborah Faulkner has won 21 of 369 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 5.7% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Deborah Faulkner do best at?

Chepstow by strike rate: 10 wins from 97 runners (10.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

What is Deborah Faulkner's Fair A/E?

0.77, from 364 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Deborah Faulkner

369 runners in the lifetime window · 65 individual horses

As at 12 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Jul 2024

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2016→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

21–369

Wins / Runs

5.7%

Strike rate

n=369

75 (20%)

Placed

0.77

Fair A/E

n=364 · 0.67 incl. margin

−57.55

£1 level stake

n=369 at SP · −15.6%

£240k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

4.2%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 20 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.77).

Deterministic profile computed from 369 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 12 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 6.2%

The read

The record is strongest at Chepstow (10.3%, n=97), clear of the yard's 5.7% baseline. The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 5.4% strike, Fair A/E 0.74 and −48.09 to a £1 stake over 149 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. The yard also reads well at trips under 6f (11.6%, n=43) and on Soft going (9.8%, n=41). The record reads poorly in Class 4 — 1.1% over 93 runners, 4.6pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard on Good to Soft going: Fair A/E 0.26 across 54 runners (1.9% strike, −48.50 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.7% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

6.2%+0.5

n=97 · A/E 1.75 · £1 +119.00

New recruits · first run for the yard

5.7%+0.0

n=53 · A/E 1.35 · £1 +92.00

Debutants · first career start

0%−5.7

n=12 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −12.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

0%−5.7

n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

13.3%+7.6

n=15 · A/E 2.79 · £1 +1.50

When favourite

22.2%

n=18 · A/E 0.62 · £1 −9.05

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

5.4%−0.3

n=149 · A/E 0.74 · £1 −48.09

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At trips under 6f 11.6% vs 5.7% · n=43

At Chepstow 10.3% vs 5.7% · n=97

In Class 4 1.1% vs 5.7% · n=93

On Soft going 9.8% vs 5.7% · n=41

On Good to Soft going 1.9% vs 5.7% · n=54

Over 2m1f – 2m4f 2% vs 5.7% · n=49

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 209 15 7.2% −67.55

Hurdle 111 3 2.7% +41.00

Chase 36 3 8.3% −18.00

NH Flat 13 0 0% −13.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 117 6 5.1% −60.34

Good 110 6 5.5% +64.50

Good to Soft 54 1 1.9% −48.50

Soft 41 4 9.8% −20.59

Good to Firm 34 3 8.8% +15.38

Heavy 13 1 7.7% −8.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Chepstow 97 10 10.3% −5.21

Wolverhampton (AW) 75 3 4% −59.25

Ffos Las 25 0 0% −25.00

Worcester 24 0 0% −24.00

Kempton (AW) 17 2 11.8% +22.00

Hereford 16 1 6.3% +18.00

Bath 14 0 0% −14.00

Newton Abbot 11 1 9.1% +90.00

Southwell (AW) 9 0 0% −9.00

Ludlow 8 0 0% −8.00

Taunton 8 1 12.5% −2.00

Chelmsford City (AW) 7 0 0% −7.00

Stratford 6 0 0% −6.00

Lingfield (AW) 5 1 20% −3.09

Brighton 5 0 0% −5.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 153 13 8.5% −27.05

Class 5 107 6 5.6% +34.50

Class 4 93 1 1.1% −59.00

Class 3 13 1 7.7% −3.00

Class 2 3 0 0% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 20 4 20% 0.58 −11.05

2nd–3rd fav 57 5 8.8% 0.58 −32.50

4th–6th fav 115 6 5.2% 0.77 −65.00

7th+ in betting 177 6 3.4% 1.35 +51.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Prince Ali (GB)from Phillip Makin · then Thomas Faulkner 27 1 9 17 Jul 24

Fossos (IRE)from Tim Easterby · then Thomas Faulkner 26 4 9 16 Sep 23

Baileys Warrior (GB)from Mark Johnston · then Thomas Faulkner 22 1 9 10 Jul 24

Beallandendall (IRE)from Matt Sheppard 21 2 6 24 May 19

Louis Treize (IRE)from James Evans · then Thomas Faulkner 20 2 6 17 Jul 24

Courtinthemiddle (IRE) 14 1 2 31 Oct 22

Flagman (GB)then Thomas Faulkner 13 1 2 23 Sep 23

Brave Display (IRE)from Phil McEntee · then Thomas Faulkner 12 0 5 10 Feb 24

Borak (IRE)from Bernard Llewellyn 11 1 1 30 Dec 22

Thomas Crown (IRE)from Roger Fell 10 0 0 5 Jul 19

Howzak (GB)from Robyn Brisland · then Liam Bailey 9 1 5 18 Jul 24

Gerrots (FR)from John Wainwright 9 1 2 9 May 24

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 65 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 50 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Bernard Llewellyn (3) and Robyn Brisland (3); 10 had their first archived run for this yard.

27 have since run for another yard, most often for Thomas Faulkner (22) and Adrian Wintle (2); 33 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

09163765414333

Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderNick Scholfield

10% of all rides
7.9% SR · A/E 1.54

RiderRWSR£1

Nick Scholfield 38 3 7.9% +75.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2016→

Archived wins

£240k

Prize money

2023

Best season · 8 wins

Golden Rules (GB) — Read Nicky Henderson's Cheltenham Blog At UnibetRacing Handicap Kempton (AW) · Mar 2023 · Class 3

£7,731

Mickydee (GB) — Boo La Croux Miss Drag UK Juvenile Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) Hereford · Mar 2022 · Class 4

£6,045

Baileys Warrior (GB) — Build Your Acca With BetUK Handicap Lingfield (AW) · Feb 2024 · Class 6

£4,527

Notable horses

Fossos (IRE) Beallandendall (IRE) Louis Treize (IRE) Prince Ali (GB) Baileys Warrior (GB) Courtinthemiddle (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Twilight Son (GB) 6.3% · 2–32

Progeny have won 9.6% of 3,669 runs since 2020 (284 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 12.9% from 621.

Dandy Man (IRE) 14.3% · 4–28

Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,990 runs since 2013 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 171.

The Gurkha (IRE) 4.5% · 1–22

Progeny have won 9.7% of 2,031 runs since 2020 (127 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 13.7% from 183. Weakest on Heavy going: 2.9% from 105. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.3% from 112.

Beneficial (GB) 9.5% · 2–21

Progeny have won 10.4% of 17,047 runs since 2008 (1,155 horses).

Slade Power (IRE) 10% · 2–20

Progeny have won 9.5% of 2,942 runs since 2018 (208 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.3% from 127.

Kodiac (GB) 5.9% · 1–17

Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,604 runs since 2010 (1,666 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 254.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 12 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 369 · newest first

The latest 50 of 369 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 17 August 2016 to 18 July 2024.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

18 Jul 24 Chepstow Micks Dream (GB)J: Gina Mangan Peter Villars Sport Ground Maintenance HandicapClass 6 · 10f · Good · 13 ran 8th 25/1

18 Jul 24 Chepstow Howzak (GB)J: Saffie Osborne Johns Electrics Stakes 2024 HandicapClass 5 · 6f · Good · 9 ran 3rd 5/2F

18 Jul 24 Chepstow Porterinthejungle (IRE)J: Saffie Osborne Blackmores Building Contractors HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Good · 7 ran 3rd 5/1

17 Jul 24 Ffos Las Prince Ali (GB)J: Connor Brace Bet 20 Get 20 With DragonBet 'Confined' HandicapClass 6 · 10f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 8th 33/1

17 Jul 24 Ffos Las Louis Treize (IRE)J: Billy Loughnane Best Odds Guaranteed dragonbet.co.uk Classified StakesClass 6 · 5f · Good To Soft · 4 ran 3rd 4/1

13 Jul 24 Chester V Power (GB)J: Ethan Jones Soul Sunset Racing Apprentice HandicapClass 5 · 12.5f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 4th 20/1

12 Jul 24 Chepstow Indication Court (IRE)J: Taylor Fisher PTL HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 11th 6/1

12 Jul 24 Chepstow Porterinthejungle (IRE)J: William Cox Cruise Control HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 6th 50/1

12 Jul 24 Chepstow Howzak (GB)J: William Cox Cruises Chase HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 5th 6/4F

10 Jul 24 Kempton (AW) Bella Veneta (GB)J: Robert Havlin Try Unibet's Improved Bet Builder Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 8f · Standard To Slow · 7 ran 4th 25/1

10 Jul 24 Ffos Las Baileys Warrior (GB)J: Oisin Murphy Welsh Cottage Cakes HandicapClass 6 · 14f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 5th 11/4F

08 Jul 24 Wolverhampton (AW) Big Impact (GB)J: Rob Hornby Download The Raceday Ready App Classified StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 13 ran 10th 11/1

08 Jul 24 Wolverhampton (AW) Barneys Gift (FR)J: Rob Hornby Free Digital Racecard At raceday-ready.com Classified StakesClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 10 ran 7th 25/1

02 Jul 24 Brighton Porterinthejungle (IRE)J: Rob Hornby Gateley: Ambitious For Success HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 8th 11/1

02 Jul 24 Brighton Micks Dream (GB)J: Rob Hornby Download The Raceday Ready App HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 5th 7/1

01 Jul 24 Wolverhampton (AW) Baileys Warrior (GB)J: Robert Havlin Get The Inside Track With raceday-ready.com HandicapClass 6 · 14f · Standard · 10 ran 2nd 9/2

29 Jun 24 Windsor Louis Treize (IRE)J: John Fahy Aitch Sea Jays Memorial HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 6th 10/1

29 Jun 24 Newcastle (AW) Golden Flame (IRE)J: Duran Fentiman JenningsBet Northumberland Plate Handicap (Heritage Handicap)Class 2 · 16.5f · Standard To Slow · 20 ran 14th 100/1

26 Jun 24 Kempton (AW) Home And Dry (IRE)J: Oisin Murphy Kempton Park Supporting Racing Staff Week HandicapClass 6 · 16f · Standard To Slow · 13 ran 6th 5/2F

24 Jun 24 Chepstow Louis Treize (IRE)J: Zoe Lewis Gamble Responsibly With Yeeehaaa.Bet HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 7th 5/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Deborah Faulkner's strike rate?: Deborah Faulkner has won 21 of 369 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 5.7% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Deborah Faulkner do best at?: Chepstow by strike rate: 10 wins from 97 runners (10.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is Deborah Faulkner's Fair A/E?: 0.77, from 364 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.