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Trainer profile

Joe Ponting

449 runners in the lifetime window · 65 individual horses
As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 114 days ago
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2021→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
15–449
Wins / Runs
3.3%
Strike rate
n=449
67 (15%)
Placed
0.63
Fair A/E
n=449 · 0.54 incl. margin
−161.12
£1 level stake
n=449 at SP · −35.9%
£172k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 20 runners a season, winning with 3% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.63).

Deterministic profile computed from 449 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Kieran O'Neill: 4.6% from 65
The read

Kieran O'Neill rides 14% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (4.6%, A/E 0.78). The market has consistently overbet the yard over 6f – 7f: Fair A/E 0.26 across 83 runners (1.2% strike, −71.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 3.3% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
1.3%−2.0
n=76 · A/E 0.42 · £1 −55.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
2.2%−1.1
n=46 · A/E 0.95 · £1 −25.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−3.3
n=20 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −20.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−3.3
n=20 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −20.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−3.3
n=28 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −28.00
When favourite
14.3%
n=7 · A/E 0.56 · £1 −4.12
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
1.9%−1.4
n=53 · A/E 0.39 · £1 −19.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 3.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Off a 15-30-day break 5.9% vs 3.3% · n=136
With Charlie Hammond 0% vs 3.3% · n=30
With horses switching code 0% vs 3.3% · n=30
Over 1m2f – 1m4f 5.6% vs 3.3% · n=72
Over 6f – 7f 1.2% vs 3.3% · n=83
At Wolverhampton (AW) 4.9% vs 3.3% · n=123 · A/E 0.80
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 340 12 3.5% −115.00
Hurdle 78 2 2.6% −41.12
NH Flat 17 0 0% −17.00
Chase 14 1 7.1% +12.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 197 7 3.6% −108.50
Good 104 5 4.8% +50.88
Good to Soft 44 1 2.3% −37.50
Firm 39 1 2.6% −24.00
Good to Firm 29 1 3.4% −6.00
Soft 26 0 0% −26.00
Heavy 10 0 0% −10.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Wolverhampton (AW) 123 6 4.9% −55.50
Bath 110 4 3.6% +20.00
Chepstow 25 0 0% −25.00
Lingfield (AW) 22 0 0% −22.00
Southwell (AW) 21 1 4.8% +0.00
Kempton (AW) 21 0 0% −21.00
Taunton 15 0 0% −15.00
Worcester 14 0 0% −14.00
Ffos Las 11 1 9.1% −4.50
Newton Abbot 11 0 0% −11.00
Chelmsford City (AW) 10 0 0% −10.00
Windsor 7 0 0% −7.00
Hereford 6 0 0% −6.00
Stratford 5 0 0% −5.00
Fontwell 5 0 0% −5.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 298 12 4% −73.00
Class 5 81 2 2.5% −44.12
Class 4 60 1 1.7% −34.00
Class 3 8 0 0% −8.00
Class 2 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 10 1 10% 0.41 −7.12
2nd–3rd fav 50 3 6% 0.41 −25.50
4th–6th fav 120 4 3.3% 0.51 −60.50
7th+ in betting 269 7 2.6% 1.09 −68.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Colors Of Freedom (GB)from Archie Watson 44 3 15 1 Jun 26
Endofastorm (IRE)from David C Griffiths 36 3 11 15 Jul 26
Alyara (GB)from John & Rhys Flint 30 1 4 21 May 26
Midnight Flame (IRE)from John Quinn 26 0 7 23 May 25
Olympic Quest (GB)from Clive Cox 24 1 2 20 Oct 25
Gavin (GB)from Rod Millman · then Peter Bowen 19 2 5 9 May 23
Radiant Angel (IRE)from George Boughey 18 1 4 2 Sep 25
Fighting Queen (GB)then John & Rhys Flint 14 1 2 13 Jun 26
Susanbequick (IRE)from Archie Watson 14 0 1 2 Aug 24
Archie Macdart (GB) 12 0 2 9 Apr 25
Kraken Filly (IRE)from Keith Dalgleish 12 1 2 3 Jul 24
Codebook (GB)from Mark Johnston 10 0 0 11 Jun 22
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 65 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 42 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Alan Jones (2) and Archie Watson (2); 18 had their first archived run for this yard.

6 have since run for another yard; 54 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
330062039287
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderKieran O'Neill
14% of all rides
4.6% SR · A/E 0.78
RiderRWSR£1
Kieran O'Neill 65 3 4.6% +20.00
Charles Bishop 47 2 4.3% −29.50
Charlie Hammond 30 0 0% −30.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2021→
15
Archived wins
£172k
Prize money
2024
Best season · 6 wins
Gavin (GB) — Snellings Selling Handicap Hurdle Fakenham · May 2023 · Class 5
£5,281
Colors Of Freedom (GB) — Thank You Ian Smyth Handicap Wolverhampton (AW) · Jun 2025 · Class 6
£4,711
Radiant Angel (IRE) — Gamble Responsibly At BetUK Handicap Wolverhampton (AW) · Feb 2025 · Class 6
£4,711
Notable horses
Colors Of Freedom (GB) Endofastorm (IRE) Gavin (GB) Alyara (GB) Olympic Quest (GB) Radiant Angel (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Mayson (GB) 6.8% · 3–44
Progeny have won 10.7% of 7,391 runs since 2016 (442 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.7% from 1,731. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 2.8% from 106.
Galileo Gold (GB) 8.3% · 3–36
Progeny have won 10.6% of 2,039 runs since 2021 (174 horses).
Australia (GB) 3.2% · 1–31
Progeny have won 11.2% of 5,676 runs since 2018 (566 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.5% from 108.
Cable Bay (IRE) 3.3% · 1–30
Progeny have won 9.9% of 3,727 runs since 2019 (243 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.8% from 645. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.5% from 290.
Dark Angel (IRE) 0% · 0–26
Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,941 runs since 2011 (1,596 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.
Bated Breath (GB) 10.5% · 2–19
Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,173 runs since 2016 (670 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 7.6% from 855.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 449 · newest first

The latest 50 of 449 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 May 2021 to 15 July 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
15 Jul 26 Bath Endofastorm (IRE)J: Kieran O'Neill Novacast Don't Come Last Handicap Stakes (Bath Summer Stayers' Series Qualifier)Class 6 · 14f · Firm · 5 ran 2nd 5/1
13 Jul 26 Lingfield (AW) Launceston (IRE)J: Rossa Ryan Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 Classified Stakes (Div 2)Class 6 · 8f · Standard · 9 ran 4th 18/1
13 Jun 26 Bath Fighting Queen (GB)J: Nicola Currie Best Football Betting Offers At freebets.com Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 8f · Good · 11 ran 11th 28/1
13 Jun 26 Bath Endofastorm (IRE)J: George Bass Support Ben Saunders Foundation HandicapClass 6 · 11.5f · Good · 13 ran 2nd 11/2
01 Jun 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Colors Of Freedom (GB)J: Jack Doughty Free Digital Racecard At raceday-ready.com Classified StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 11 ran 5th 6/1
01 Jun 26 Windsor Launceston (IRE)J: George Bass Don & Low Champions Cup 2026 HandicapClass 6 · 11.5f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 7th 125/1
29 May 26 Chepstow Endofastorm (IRE)J: Millie Wonnacott LSL Racing Horse Sales Syndication Leasing Apprentice HandicapClass 6 · 12f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 4th 13/2
23 May 26 Windsor Fighting Queen (GB)J: Paddy Bradley Chloe's Still A Filly At Forty HandicapClass 6 · 10f · Good To Firm · 15 ran 14th 14/1
21 May 26 Chepstow Alyara (GB)J: George Bass Get Raceday Ready With Lucas Bookies HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 9th 50/1
20 May 26 Yarmouth Charming Fellow (GB)J: Dylan Hogan Download The At The Races App HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Good · 10 ran 10th 80/1
17 May 26 Stratford Law Of The Jungle (FR)J: James Best Family Day On Sunday 12th July Open Maiden NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16.5f · Good To Firm · 5 ran 3rd 80/1
13 May 26 Bath Grand Harbour (GB)J: Joe Leavy Download The Fairplay App HandicapClass 6 · 10f · Firm · 7 ran 7th 28/1
13 May 26 Bath Endofastorm (IRE)J: Millie Wonnacott Best Cleaning Supporting MentalHealthAwarenessWeek HandicapClass 6 · 11.5f · Firm · 6 ran 5th 7/2
13 May 26 Bath Alyara (GB)J: Joe Leavy Visit fairplaybet.co.uk HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Firm · 7 ran 6th 11/1
12 May 26 Bath Purple Sky (IRE)J: Charles Bishop Download The Fairplay App Now HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Firm · 10 ran 4th 16/1
12 May 26 Hereford Launceston (IRE)J: James Best First Past The Post At CopyBet Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 19.5f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 6th 100/1
05 May 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Colors Of Freedom (GB)J: Hollie Doyle Tips For Every Race At raceday-ready.com HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 8 ran 7th 15/2
03 May 26 Salisbury Alyara (GB)J: Mr Jack Loughnane Find Us At fitzdares.com Amateur Jockeys' HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 7th 18/1
29 Apr 26 Bath Grand Harbour (GB)J: Rob Hornby Watch Live Racing On fairplaybet.co.uk Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 8f · Firm · 8 ran 7th 28/1
29 Apr 26 Bath Frontpagemoos (GB)J: Charles Bishop Watch Live Racing On fairplaybet.co.uk Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 8f · Firm · 9 ran 9th 80/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Joe Ponting's strike rate?
Joe Ponting has won 15 of 449 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 3.3% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Joe Ponting do best at?
Wolverhampton (AW) by strike rate: 6 wins from 123 runners (4.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Joe Ponting?
Kieran O'Neill, with 65 runners since 2008 — 14% of the total. That pairing has won 3 (4.6%).
What is Joe Ponting's Fair A/E?
0.63, from 449 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 6 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).