What is R. Mike Smith's strike rate?

R. Mike Smith has won 173 of 2,663 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.5% (as at 4 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does R. Mike Smith do best at?

Wetherby by strike rate: 3 wins from 37 runners (8.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for R. Mike Smith?

Paddy Mathers, with 264 runners since 2008 — 10% of the total. That pairing has won 22 (8.3%).

Is R. Mike Smith in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 8 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is R. Mike Smith's Fair A/E?

0.88, from 2,653 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

R. Mike Smith

2,663 runners in the lifetime window · 254 individual horses

As at 4 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 7.0% of 287 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 4 Nov 2026.

Last runner 4 days ago

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

173–2,663

Wins / Runs

6.5%

Strike rate

n=2,663

551 (21%)

Placed

0.88

Fair A/E

n=2,653 · 0.77 incl. margin

−1,130.37

£1 level stake

n=2,663 at SP · −42.4%

£1.70m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

5.3%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 140 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.88).

Deterministic profile computed from 2,663 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 4 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance 27.5% when favourite Paddy Mathers: 8.3% from 264 Sends off the favourite in 5% of races

The read

Debutants struggle at 0% (n=120, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 4.2% strike, Fair A/E 0.74 and −218.25 to a £1 stake over 402 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Paddy Mathers rides 10% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (8.3%, A/E 1.03) — the market has that partnership priced right. The record reads poorly in NH Flat races — 0% over 86 runners, 6.5pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: Glasses Up (USA) — 13 wins from 112 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.5% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

4.2%−2.3

n=402 · A/E 0.74 · £1 −218.25

New recruits · first run for the yard

4.4%−2.1

n=136 · A/E 0.93 · £1 −70.42

Debutants · first career start

0%−6.5

n=120 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −120.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

1.4%−5.1

n=71 · A/E 0.32 · £1 −66.67

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

3.3%−3.2

n=90 · A/E 0.50 · £1 −76.25

When favourite

27.5%

n=120 · A/E 1.07 · £1 −6.86

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

6.5%+0.0

n=1,004 · A/E 0.95 · £1 −334.19

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−6.5

n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 15.2% vs 6.5% · n=184

With P J McDonald 13.6% vs 6.5% · n=88

With debutants 0% vs 6.5% · n=120

In NH Flat races 0% vs 6.5% · n=86

With William Shanahan 0% vs 6.5% · n=85

With C&D winners 10.5% vs 6.5% · n=532

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 1,356 103 7.6% −465.75

Hurdle 890 41 4.6% −467.51

Chase 331 29 8.8% −111.11

NH Flat 86 0 0% −86.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 912 65 7.1% −411.21

Good to Soft 601 37 6.2% −331.74

Soft 557 31 5.6% −252.42

Good to Firm 296 28 9.5% −7.50

Heavy 188 9 4.8% −115.50

Standard (AW) 109 3 2.8% −12.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Ayr 1,048 81 7.7% −343.77

Perth 387 25 6.5% −218.96

Musselburgh 337 20 5.9% −184.17

Hamilton 200 13 6.5% −106.75

Kelso 111 5 4.5% −49.55

Carlisle 105 7 6.7% −35.75

Newcastle (AW) 94 3 3.2% +3.00

Hexham 70 5 7.1% −28.75

Newcastle 49 1 2% −39.00

Cartmel 44 3 6.8% −23.67

Wetherby 37 3 8.1% −17.50

Catterick 35 1 2.9% −30.50

Sedgefield 26 0 0% −26.00

Redcar 18 0 0% −18.00

Haydock 18 2 11.1% −8.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 883 62 7% −350.08

Class 4 881 43 4.9% −518.12

Class 6 684 52 7.6% −205.75

Class 3 154 14 9.1% −69.42

Class 2 54 1 1.9% −31.00

Class 1 5 0 0% −5.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 155 34 21.9% 0.89 −37.36

2nd–3rd fav 371 62 16.7% 1.05 −12.01

4th–6th fav 858 58 6.8% 0.90 −253.00

7th+ in betting 1,279 19 1.5% 0.55 −828.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

1m5f – 2m 687 38 5.5% −346.19

2m1f – 2m4f 507 27 5.3% −234.89

1m2f – 1m4f 379 36 9.5% −123.25

1m – 1m1f 379 28 7.4% −98.25

6f – 7f 322 14 4.3% −160.50

2m5f – 3m 212 13 6.1% −100.04

Under 6f 148 14 9.5% −61.50

Over 3m 29 3 10.3% −5.75

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 5 0 0% −5.00

2009 8 0 0% −8.00

2010 12 1 8.3% +3.00

2011 22 2 9.1% −13.50

2012 23 0 0% −23.00

2013 53 4 7.5% −21.00

2014 45 6 13.3% +18.00

2015 84 8 9.5% +19.33

2016 123 3 2.4% −98.25

2017 181 17 9.4% −54.75

2018 222 19 8.6% +14.50

2019 195 8 4.1% −142.77

2020 188 15 8% −72.75

2021 217 11 5.1% −148.17

2022 216 15 6.9% −90.00

2023 295 12 4.1% −223.09

2024 270 15 5.6% −150.75

2025 258 24 9.3% +11.20

2026 246 13 5.3% −145.37

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 2,047 161 7.9% −712.12

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 1,088 64 5.9% −455.97

11-13 runners 749 37 4.9% −404.42

5-7 runners 533 58 10.9% −160.48

14-16 runners 222 11 5% −124.50

17+ runners 38 1 2.6% +13.00

2-4 runners 33 2 6.1% +2.00

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Glasses Up (USA) 112 13 32 10 Aug 26

Gworn (GB)from Ed Dunlop 59 5 13 14 Dec 19

Golden Valour (GB)from Robyn Brisland 56 3 12 8 Aug 26

Black Friday (GB)from Karen McLintock 54 6 14 6 Nov 24

Tilsitt (FR)from Ivan Furtado 52 4 18 23 Nov 24

Haymarket (GB)from Michael Bell 51 4 13 15 Oct 19

Ski Angel (GB)from John Quinn 49 6 15 27 Oct 26

Royal Countess (GB)from Lucy Normile 44 3 9 9 Oct 25

Earn Your Stripes (GB) 44 2 6 29 Oct 24

Las Tunas (FR)from P Chevillard 43 6 13 6 Jun 21

Euchan Falls (IRE) 42 2 9 13 Apr 26

Eilean Mor (GB)from Bryan Smart 41 4 12 20 Jul 15

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 254 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 13 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 34 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Lucy Normile (3) and John Quinn (2); 26 had their first archived run for this yard.

6 have since run for another yard; 54 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 8

Only 8 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

35951071075612

Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderPaddy Mathers

10% of all rides
8.3% SR · A/E 1.03

RiderRWSR£1

Paddy Mathers 264 22 8.3% −78.12

Ryan Mania 154 12 7.8% −50.42

Ben Smith 147 13 8.8% −3.00

Callum Bewley 123 7 5.7% −30.50

Richie McLernon 109 5 4.6% −87.25

Stephen Mulqueen 94 4 4.3% −65.27

Andrew Breslin 89 9 10.1% +1.75

P J McDonald 88 12 13.6% −2.75

James Sullivan 85 4 4.7% −39.50

William Shanahan 85 0 0% −85.00

Rhys Elliott 76 4 5.3% −44.00

Dale Irving 67 4 6% −35.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2006→

174

Archived wins

£1.70m

Prize money

2025

Best season · 24 wins

This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Buy Some Time (IRE) — Albert Bartlett Triple Crown Series Final Handicap Hurdle Punchestown · Apr 2025

£59,000

Scotch Warrior (GB) — Hillhouse Quarry Handicap Chase Ayr · Apr 2014 · Class 2

£15,640

Glasses Up (USA) — Sky Bet Sunday Series Stayers Handicap Musselburgh · Jul 2021 · Class 4

£15,462

Notable horses

Glasses Up (USA) Flying Moon (GER) Scotch Warrior (GB) Black Friday (GB) Ski Angel (GB) Las Tunas (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

English Channel (USA) 11.6% · 13–112

Progeny have won 10.6% of 530 runs since 2011 (35 horses). Strongest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 14.3% from 105. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 6.6% from 106.

Aussie Rules (USA) 6.9% · 5–72

Progeny have won 9.8% of 4,515 runs since 2010 (297 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 5.6% from 177.

Leading Light (IRE) 10% · 6–60

Progeny have won 8.2% of 2,209 runs since 2018 (225 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 4.6% from 241.

Orientor (GB) 1.8% · 1–57

Progeny have won 10% of 1,454 runs since 2011 (57 horses).

Equiano (FR) 10.7% · 6–56

Progeny have won 9.1% of 7,541 runs since 2014 (549 horses).

Kingman (GB) 5.4% · 3–56

Progeny have won 14.5% of 7,516 runs since 2018 (778 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 11.1% from 968. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 9% from 122.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 4 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,667 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,667 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 24 May 2006 to 31 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

31 Oct 26 Ayr Run Baby Run (IRE)J: Toby Wynne Hogmanay Ball At Western House Hotel Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 24.5f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 5th 40/1

31 Oct 26 Ayr Ck O'mara (IRE)J: Ben Smith Hogmanay Ball At Western House Hotel Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 24.5f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 2nd 5/2F

31 Oct 26 Ayr Jolyjump (FR)J: Ben Smith '3b Crane Hire Trick Or Trot' Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Sea Pigeon Series Qualifier)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 7th 66/1

31 Oct 26 Ayr Midnight Moonshine (IRE)J: Ben Smith Bsb Structural Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Good To Soft · 11 ran UR 11/1

30 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Lanarra (IRE)J: James Sullivan Aw Trials Day - Lingfield 2nd Jan 2027 Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 5th 8/1

27 Oct 26 Catterick Gentle George (GB)J: Clifford Lee Every Race Live On Racing TV Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Soft · 15 ran 8th 18/1

27 Oct 26 Catterick Ski Angel (GB)J: Clifford Lee Celebrating Helen Mackinnon's LX Years Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 6f · Soft · 10 ran 7th 10/1

24 Oct 26 Kelso Burgundy Man (FR)J: Megan Bevan Racingtv/freetrial Conditional Jockeys' Training Series Handicap Hurdle Race (go North Brindisi Breeze Series Qualifier) (Part Of The Racing Excellence Series)Class 4 · 22.5f · Good · 9 ran 5th 11/1

16 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Falcon Queen (IRE)J: James Sullivan Quaff Box Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 10 ran 6th 10/1

16 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Lanarra (IRE)J: James Sullivan Central Employment & Training Partnership Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 8 ran 2nd 6/5F

15 Oct 26 Perth Follow Charlie (IRE)J: Ryan Mania Racingtv, Home Of Live Racing Handicap Steeple Chase (Div II) (gbb Race)Class 4 · 20f · Soft · 7 ran PU 9/4

15 Oct 26 Perth Zebra Star (IRE)J: Ben Smith Racing TV Profits Returned To Racing Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Soft · 9 ran 9th 300/1

12 Oct 26 Musselburgh Whiskey Kisses (IRE)J: Shay Farmer Watch On Racing TV Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 9th 15/2

12 Oct 26 Musselburgh Royal Duke (GB)J: Lauren Young Watch On Racing TV Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 6th 9/2J

12 Oct 26 Musselburgh Ski Angel (GB)J: Zak Wheatley Watch On Racing TV Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 5th 12/1

12 Oct 26 Musselburgh Possessive (GB)J: Clifford Lee Kick Start Your Career With The SRA Selling StakesClass 4 · 7f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 8th 9/2

12 Oct 26 Musselburgh Sneakin Pete (GB)J: Greg Fairley British EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 3 · 7f · Good To Soft · 4 ran 4th 150/1

08 Oct 26 Ayr Cisco Disco (IRE)J: Cian Horgan San Miguel Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Heavy · 10 ran 4th 20/1

08 Oct 26 Ayr Gentle George (GB)J: David Nolan Tennent's Lager Handicap StakesClass 4 · 6f · Heavy · 11 ran 7th 50/1

08 Oct 26 Ayr Sophiesticate (IRE)J: Kyle McHugh Stella Artois Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 5 · 10f · Heavy · 12 ran 12th 125/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 8 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 2 runs (won 0) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 2 runs (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 4 runs (won 0) · to 31 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is R. Mike Smith's strike rate?: R. Mike Smith has won 173 of 2,663 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.5% (as at 4 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does R. Mike Smith do best at?: Wetherby by strike rate: 3 wins from 37 runners (8.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for R. Mike Smith?: Paddy Mathers, with 264 runners since 2008 — 10% of the total. That pairing has won 22 (8.3%).
Is R. Mike Smith in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 8 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is R. Mike Smith's Fair A/E?: 0.88, from 2,653 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.