What is Simon Hodgson's strike rate?

Simon Hodgson has won 77 of 1,004 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.7% (as at 2 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Simon Hodgson do best at?

Salisbury by strike rate: 5 wins from 37 runners (13.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Simon Hodgson?

William Carver, with 199 runners since 2008 — 20% of the total. That pairing has won 13 (6.5%).

Is Simon Hodgson in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 7 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Simon Hodgson's Fair A/E?

0.98, from 995 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Simon Hodgson

1,004 runners in the lifetime window · 120 individual horses

As at 2 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 4 days ago

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2012→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

77–1,004

Wins / Runs

7.7%

Strike rate

n=1,004

207 (21%)

Placed

0.98

Fair A/E

n=995 · 0.87 incl. margin

−352.63

£1 level stake

n=1,004 at SP · −35.1%

£640k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 50 runners a season, winning with 8% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.98).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,004 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 2 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Nov–Mar 28.3% when favourite William Carver: 6.5% from 199 New recruits: 8.5% Sends off the favourite in 5% of races

The read

Debutants struggle at 0% (n=38, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 5.3% strike, Fair A/E 0.71 and −212.42 to a £1 stake over 414 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. William Carver rides 20% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (6.5%, A/E 0.84). The yard also reads well at trips under 6f (13.8%, n=152). The stable star of the record: Twilight Madness (GB) — 10 wins from 59 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Nov–Mar.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.7% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

7.5%−0.2

n=173 · A/E 1.51 · £1 −37.67

New recruits · first run for the yard

8.5%+0.8

n=82 · A/E 1.65 · £1 −30.17

Debutants · first career start

0%−7.7

n=38 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −38.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

5.3%−2.4

n=38 · A/E 1.18 · £1 −8.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

3.1%−4.6

n=64 · A/E 0.64 · £1 −47.50

When favourite

28.3%

n=53 · A/E 0.88 · £1 −7.13

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

5.3%−2.4

n=414 · A/E 0.71 · £1 −212.42

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−7.7

n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 23.4% vs 7.7% · n=77

With Alistair Rawlinson 18.4% vs 7.7% · n=38

At trips under 6f 13.8% vs 7.7% · n=152

With debutants 0% vs 7.7% · n=38

With C&D winners 13.1% vs 7.7% · n=168

With James Davies 15.6% vs 7.7% · n=32

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 845 66 7.8% −360.13

Hurdle 119 5 4.2% −59.50

Chase 20 3 15% +47.50

NH Flat 20 3 15% +19.50

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 511 44 8.6% −192.59

Good 155 11 7.1% −71.87

Good to Firm 130 7 5.4% −45.50

Soft 81 4 4.9% −46.50

Good to Soft 61 6 9.8% −19.25

Firm 37 3 8.1% −13.92

Heavy 29 2 6.9% +37.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Lingfield (AW) 157 17 10.8% −34.46

Kempton (AW) 146 7 4.8% −67.09

Wolverhampton (AW) 98 8 8.2% −52.25

Bath 83 6 7.2% −41.82

Chelmsford City (AW) 55 5 9.1% −20.17

Windsor 52 1 1.9% −43.50

Southwell (AW) 48 4 8.3% −27.62

Salisbury 37 5 13.5% +7.50

Brighton 34 3 8.8% −14.30

Wincanton 28 2 7.1% +38.00

Lingfield 23 0 0% −23.00

Worcester 22 0 0% −22.00

Fontwell 20 1 5% −8.00

Newbury 20 2 10% −3.00

Exeter 12 1 8.3% +3.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 458 31 6.8% −205.79

Class 5 291 20 6.9% −133.21

Class 4 165 17 10.3% +5.29

Class 3 50 6 12% −15.42

Class 2 26 1 3.8% −17.00

Class 7 12 2 16.7% +15.50

Class 1 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 62 17 27.4% 0.90 −5.63

2nd–3rd fav 148 26 17.6% 1.10 −9.00

4th–6th fav 317 24 7.6% 1.04 −39.00

7th+ in betting 477 10 2.1% 0.77 −299.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Twilight Madness (GB) 59 10 22 22 Oct 26

Villalobos (IRE)from Richard Hughes 41 5 12 5 Apr 26

Quality Art (USA)from Richard Guest 39 6 15 13 Apr 17

Tralee Hills (GB)from Peter Hedger 31 4 11 26 Jul 23

Total Commitment (IRE)from Peter Hedger 28 2 13 15 Dec 22

Senor George (IRE)from Mark Loughnane 27 1 6 2 May 17

Thank The Lord (GB)from Michael Attwater · then Keiran Burke 25 6 9 6 Mar 24

Trakeur (FR)from Mark Gillard 24 0 0 23 Oct 16

Mr Mac (GB)from Peter Hedger 23 2 5 14 Jan 23

C'est No Mour (GER)from Peter Hedger 22 8 10 16 Sep 22

Angelica K (GB) 21 2 6 25 Feb 26

Kylies Wild Card (GB) 21 0 3 4 Oct 16

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 120 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 6 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 45 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Michael Attwater (5) and Peter Hedger (4); 15 had their first archived run for this yard.

17 have since run for another yard, most often for Mark Loughnane (4) and Robyn Brisland (3); 43 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

2 from 7

Only 7 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

10121163594651014

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderWilliam Carver

20% of all rides
6.5% SR · A/E 0.84

RiderRWSR£1

William Carver 199 13 6.5% −105.17

Rob Hornby 64 9 14.1% +18.00

Nick Scholfield 45 2 4.4% −19.00

Adam Farragher 41 4 9.8% +5.00

Alistair Rawlinson 38 7 18.4% −6.32

James Davies 32 5 15.6% +32.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2012→

Archived wins

£640k

Prize money

2021

Best season · 16 wins

C'est No Mour (GER) — Betway Handicap Lingfield (AW) · Dec 2021 · Class 2

£10,468

Clearpoint (GB) — Midnite Aint Your Grandads Bookie Handicap Wolverhampton (AW) · Nov 2025 · Class 3

£7,956

Total Commitment (IRE) — Bombardier British-Hopped Amber Beer Handicap Lingfield (AW) · Feb 2021 · Class 3

£7,246

Notable horses

Twilight Madness (GB) C'est No Mour (GER) Quality Art (USA) Thank The Lord (GB) Villalobos (IRE) Tralee Hills (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Twilight Son (GB) 15.6% · 10–64

Progeny have won 9.6% of 3,660 runs since 2020 (283 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 12.8% from 619.

Coach House (IRE) 19.5% · 8–41

Progeny have won 8.6% of 2,478 runs since 2018 (145 horses).

Footstepsinthesand (GB) 12.2% · 5–41

Progeny have won 10.2% of 12,804 runs since 2009 (937 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.9% from 320.

Elusive Quality (USA) 15.4% · 6–39

Progeny have won 12.3% of 3,387 runs since 2008 (333 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 7.9% from 280. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 16% from 319.

Mount Nelson (GB) 12.9% · 4–31

Progeny have won 9.9% of 6,274 runs since 2012 (538 horses).

Norse Dancer (IRE) 0% · 0–29

Progeny have won 9.4% of 1,800 runs since 2010 (157 horses). Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 14.7% from 278. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 6.3% from 207.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 2 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,004 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,004 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 23 May 2012 to 29 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

29 Oct 26 Bath Jenny Jerome (GB)J: Kieran Shoemark Mj Church Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Soft · 15 ran 10th 11/1

29 Oct 26 Bath Two And Two (IRE)J: Hector Crouch Mj Church Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Soft · 15 ran 8th 22/1

28 Oct 26 Huntingdon No Mean Feat (IRE)J: Harry Reed Hospitality At Huntingdon Racecourse Novices' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 16f · Good · 9 ran 1st 12/1

22 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Twilight Madness (GB)J: Charlie Tucker Midnite A Next Generation Betting App Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 11 ran 7th 9/2

21 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Jenny Jerome (GB)J: Charlie Tucker Try Unibet's Improved Acca Boosts Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Standard / Slow · 11 ran 10th 16/1

20 Oct 26 Yarmouth Rory's Royale (GB)J: Sean Levey Brandford Restaurants & Bar Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 6f · Soft · 8 ran 1st 5/1

20 Oct 26 Yarmouth Lady Of Killarney (GB)J: Sean Levey Graham & Alison's 15th Wedding Aniversary Novice Stakes (gbb Race)Class 4 · 5f · Soft · 6 ran 6th 50/1

19 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Kiss For An Angel (IRE)J: Jason Hart bettingsites.co.uk New Betting Sites Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 14 ran 13th 22/1

19 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Two And Two (IRE)J: Marco Ghiani Cavani Tailored Champion Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 13 ran 4th 9/1

14 Oct 26 Nottingham Jenny Jerome (GB)J: Alistair Rawlinson Racedays For £9 At Nottingham Racecourse Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 3rd 13/2

12 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Rory's Royale (GB)J: Sean Levey Unibet More Extra Place Races Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard / Slow · 10 ran 3rd 11/4J

07 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Tralee Bay (GB)J: Alistair Rawlinson Unibet More Extra Place Races Fillies' Novice Stakes (gbb/gbbplus Race)Class 3 · 11f · Standard / Slow · 8 ran 5th 200/1

05 Oct 26 Yarmouth Two And Two (IRE)J: Charlie Tucker White Swan Fish & Seafood Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 7th 12/1

03 Oct 26 Fontwell No Mean Feat (IRE)J: James Davies Attheraces.com Novices' Limited Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 19f · Good · 9 ran 6th 7/2

30 Sep 26 Kempton (AW) Big Time Rascal (GB)J: Benoit de la Sayette Get Best Odds Guaranteed At Unibet Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard / Slow · 11 ran 11th 17/2

22 Sep 26 Fontwell No Mean Feat (IRE)J: James Davies Free Race Replays On attheraces.com Novices' Limited Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 17.5f · Good · 9 ran 1st 11/1

14 Sep 26 Kempton (AW) Athena's War (IRE)J: Alfie Redman Unibet Supports Safer Gambling Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard / Slow · 12 ran 11th 100/1

13 Sep 26 Bath Big Time Rascal (GB)J: Benoit de la Sayette Loud Hire Production Services Bath Summer Sprint Series Final Handicap Stakes (Series Final - Qualified Horses Only)Class 2 · 5.5f · Good To Soft · 17 ran 14th 7/1

11 Sep 26 Salisbury Jenny Jerome (GB)J: William Carver MJG Group Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Soft · 12 ran 4th 50/1

07 Sep 26 Windsor Reporter (GB)J: William Carver Bet £20 Get £40 In Free Bets At matchbook.com Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Good · 11 ran 7th 22/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 7 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 1 run (won 0) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 2 runs (won 1) · fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 0) · to 20 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Simon Hodgson's strike rate?: Simon Hodgson has won 77 of 1,004 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.7% (as at 2 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Simon Hodgson do best at?: Salisbury by strike rate: 5 wins from 37 runners (13.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Simon Hodgson?: William Carver, with 199 runners since 2008 — 20% of the total. That pairing has won 13 (6.5%).
Is Simon Hodgson in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 7 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Simon Hodgson's Fair A/E?: 0.98, from 995 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.