What is Alice Haynes's strike rate?

Alice Haynes has won 214 of 2,086 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 10.3% (as at 9 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Alice Haynes do best at?

Bath by strike rate: 6 wins from 42 runners (14.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Alice Haynes?

Kieran O'Neill, with 1,137 runners since 2008 — 55% of the total. That pairing has won 115 (10.1%).

What is Alice Haynes's Fair A/E?

1.00, from 2,075 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Alice Haynes

2,086 runners in the lifetime window · 287 individual horses

As at 9 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 340 days ago 100% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2021→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

214–2,086

Wins / Runs

10.3%

Strike rate

n=2,086

563 (27%)

Placed

1.00

Fair A/E

n=2,075 · 0.86 incl. margin

−451.54

£1 level stake

n=2,086 at SP · −21.6%

£2.40m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

6.3%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 110 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 10% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.00).

Deterministic profile computed from 2,086 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 9 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Mar–May 39.2% when favourite Kieran O'Neill: 10.1% from 1,137 Sends off the favourite in 7% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Thirsk (21.2%, n=33), clear of the yard's 10.3% baseline. A horse in first-time headgear has been a poor signal at 3.4% (n=146, Fair A/E 0.42). The market has consistently overbet new recruits from other stables on their first run: 8.9% strike, Fair A/E 0.82 and −34.84 to a £1 stake over 112 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Kieran O'Neill rides 55% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (10.1%, A/E 0.95). 4 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Prix d'Arenberg at Longchamp (FR) (Sep 2022, £33,613). The stable star of the record: Aspire To Glory (IRE) — 6 wins from 35 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Mar–May.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10.3% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

8.2%−2.1

n=232 · A/E 0.87 · £1 −36.41

New recruits · first run for the yard

8.9%−1.4

n=112 · A/E 0.82 · £1 −34.84

Debutants · first career start

7.9%−2.4

n=177 · A/E 0.92 · £1 −55.15

First-time headgear · true-first definition

3.4%−6.9

n=146 · A/E 0.42 · £1 −79.95

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

8.1%−2.2

n=86 · A/E 0.89 · £1 +10.50

When favourite

39.2%

n=153 · A/E 1.25 · £1 +13.37

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

8.6%−1.7

n=361 · A/E 0.98 · £1 −14.56

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

5.5%−4.8

n=73 · A/E 0.79 · £1 −42.44

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Thirsk 21.2% vs 10.3% · n=33

With first-time headgear 3.4% vs 10.3% · n=146

With Hollie Doyle 20% vs 10.3% · n=30

On last-time-out winners 16.4% vs 10.3% · n=201

With Rossa Ryan 18.9% vs 10.3% · n=37

With Rowan Scott 17.5% vs 10.3% · n=57

This filter uses derived form angles computed for 65.1% of the archive so far (as at 9 Nov 2026); the sample will grow as sequencing completes.

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 2,081 214 10.3% −446.54

Hurdle 5 0 0% −5.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 1,088 117 10.8% −117.12

Good to Firm 328 29 8.8% −88.71

Good 317 23 7.3% −195.93

Soft 153 18 11.8% −50.71

Good to Soft 145 17 11.7% +2.26

Heavy 50 7 14% −6.79

Firm 5 3 60% +5.46

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Wolverhampton (AW) 283 35 12.4% +50.81

Chelmsford City (AW) 222 24 10.8% −50.75

Lingfield (AW) 178 24 13.5% −8.79

Kempton (AW) 166 12 7.2% −47.75

Southwell (AW) 143 12 8.4% −53.47

Yarmouth 101 7 6.9% −3.25

Newcastle (AW) 92 10 10.9% −3.17

Leicester 66 5 7.6% −10.25

Doncaster 58 5 8.6% −26.75

Nottingham 50 3 6% −37.79

Lingfield 45 5 11.1% −21.71

Brighton 45 3 6.7% +6.50

Bath 42 6 14.3% −11.04

Goodwood 38 2 5.3% −21.00

Windsor 37 3 8.1% +4.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 773 86 11.1% −141.78

Class 6 705 78 11.1% −121.14

Class 4 351 33 9.4% −59.35

Class 2 99 6 6.1% −37.75

Class 3 78 5 6.4% −46.88

Class 1 73 4 5.5% −42.44

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 182 69 37.9% 1.26 +16.75

2nd–3rd fav 453 70 15.5% 0.93 −120.29

4th–6th fav 770 53 6.9% 0.87 −262.00

7th+ in betting 681 22 3.2% 0.93 −86.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Maysong (GB)from Ed Dunlop 53 3 20 23 Oct 24

Josies Kid (IRE) 47 4 12 24 Jun 24

Capuchinero (GB)from Joseph Patrick O'Brien 39 4 9 29 Nov 25

Aspire To Glory (IRE)then Dylan Cunha 35 6 12 21 Aug 25

Mashaan (GB)from Richard Fahey 31 4 13 1 Dec 25

Strong Power (IRE)from George Scott · then Brian Ellison 29 4 7 8 Jul 23

Vitesse Du Son (GB)from Mark Pattinson 27 2 6 12 Aug 25

Cavalluccio (IRE)from Richard Hughes 26 4 12 26 Jun 24

Amasova (GB)from T J Kent · then Jessica Macey 25 3 13 24 Sep 22

Keen Interest (IRE)from William Haggas 24 2 8 5 Apr 25

Parisiac (IRE)from Bryan Smart · then Iain Jardine 24 2 6 6 Jul 24

Goldsmith (IRE)from David Menuisier · then H D McGuigan 24 5 10 28 Apr 24

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 287 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 10 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 26 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from James Ferguson (2) and Luke McJannet (2); 34 had their first archived run for this yard.

30 have since run for another yard, most often for Grace Harris (3) and Iain Jardine (2); 30 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

891512121012798158

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderKieran O'Neill

55% of all rides
10.1% SR · A/E 0.95

RiderRWSR£1

Kieran O'Neill 1,137 115 10.1% −278.14

Christian Howarth 201 16 8% +43.58

Thore Hammer Hansen 79 8 10.1% −30.67

Rowan Scott 57 10 17.5% −7.00

Darragh Keenan 40 2 5% −31.00

Rossa Ryan 37 7 18.9% +4.76

Hollie Doyle 30 6 20% −6.25

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2021→

214

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£2.40m

Prize money

2024

Best season · 57 wins

Lady Hollywood (GB) — Prix d'Arenberg (2yo) (Sprint Course) (Turf) Longchamp (FR) · Sep 2022 · Group 3

£33,613

Fix You (GB) — Goffs Irish EBF Polonia Stakes (Fillies' Listed) Cork · May 2023 · Listed

£30,975

Mr Professor (IRE) — British Stallion Studs EBF Silver Tankard Stakes (Listed) Pontefract · Oct 2021 · Listed

£28,355

Notable horses

Aspire To Glory (IRE) Goldsmith (IRE) She's Centimental (USA) Girl Magic (GB) Josies Kid (IRE) Capuchinero (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Kodiac (GB) 10.8% · 20–185

Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,603 runs since 2010 (1,666 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 254.

Ardad (IRE) 7.1% · 7–98

Progeny have won 8.7% of 3,550 runs since 2021 (352 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 5% from 100.

Havana Grey (GB) 24.1% · 19–79

Progeny have won 13.2% of 4,611 runs since 2022 (420 horses). Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 16.2% from 105. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 9.9% from 424.

Mehmas (IRE) 2.9% · 2–69

Progeny have won 11.5% of 8,233 runs since 2020 (754 horses).

Cotai Glory (GB) 16.4% · 10–61

Progeny have won 11.4% of 3,965 runs since 2021 (390 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 14.5% from 1,427. Weakest on Soft going: 7% from 429.

Mayson (GB) 7% · 4–57

Progeny have won 10.7% of 7,394 runs since 2016 (442 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.7% from 1,731. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 2.8% from 106.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 9 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,086 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,086 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 22 February 2021 to 4 December 2025.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

04 Dec 25 Chelmsford City (AW) Rosemary's Rose (IRE)J: Rossa Ryan Flutter Proudly Supporting Pancreatic Cancer UK HandicapClass 6 · 10f · Standard · 12 ran 9th 16/1

04 Dec 25 Chelmsford City (AW) Clipsham Noble (IRE)J: Oliver Carmichael Flutter Proudly Supporting Pancreatic Cancer UK HandicapClass 6 · 10f · Standard · 12 ran 5th 50/1

04 Dec 25 Chelmsford City (AW) Beachborough Girl (GB)J: Kieran O'Neill Flutter Proudly Supporting Pancreatic Cancer UK HandicapClass 6 · 10f · Standard · 12 ran 3rd 14/1

04 Dec 25 Chelmsford City (AW) Brave Byreflection (IRE)J: Kieran O'Neill Sky Bet Build A Bet Fillies' HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Standard · 12 ran 9th 9/1

04 Dec 25 Chelmsford City (AW) Tam Lin (IRE)J: Kieran O'Neill 'Seamus Hazlett 25 Not Out' HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 6th 4/1

04 Dec 25 Chelmsford City (AW) Love Me Bae (GB)J: Kieran O'Neill British Stallion Studs EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 2 · 8f · Standard · 9 ran 9th 150/1

04 Dec 25 Chelmsford City (AW) Filly Foden (IRE)J: Kieran O'Neill Sky Bet For The Fans NurseryClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 7 ran 2nd 9/2

03 Dec 25 Kempton (AW) Space Alexander (IRE)J: Tyler Heard Unibet/EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div 2)Class 5 · 8f · Standard To Slow · 10 ran 10th 200/1

03 Dec 25 Kempton (AW) My Mate Mackley (GB)J: Tyler Heard Unibet/EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div 1)Class 5 · 8f · Standard To Slow · 8 ran 8th 100/1

03 Dec 25 Lingfield (AW) Exquisite Skye (GB)J: Kieran O'Neill Win 250,000 With BetMGM's Golden Goals EBF Restricted Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 8f · Standard · 12 ran 10th 18/1

01 Dec 25 Wolverhampton (AW) Mashaan (GB)J: Kieran O'Neill Best Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 10th 10/1

01 Dec 25 Wolverhampton (AW) Filly Foden (IRE)J: Kieran O'Neill Read Meg Nicholls' Blog At betmgm.co.uk NurseryClass 4 · 5f · Standard · 6 ran 2nd 33/1

29 Nov 25 Wolverhampton (AW) Liberty Bird (GB)J: Kieran O'Neill Safer Gambling Week 2024 At Betmgm HandicapClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 8 ran 7th 11/1

29 Nov 25 Wolverhampton (AW) Capuchinero (GB)J: Kieran O'Neill 30 In Free Bets With Betuk HandicapClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 6th 16/1

28 Nov 25 Southwell (AW) Trust No One (GB)J: Kieran O'Neill AtTheRaces.com/Marketmovers Nursery HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 8th 28/1

27 Nov 25 Chelmsford City (AW) Pretty Ambitious (IRE)J: Kieran O'Neill Flutter Proudly Supporting Pancreatic Cancer UK confined Maiden Fillies' Stakes (For Fillies Which Have Run No More ThaClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 8th 10/1

26 Nov 25 Chelmsford City (AW) Tam Lin (IRE)J: Kieran O'Neill Betfair Exchange Beacons HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 1st 11/4

26 Nov 25 Chelmsford City (AW) Mashaan (GB)J: Kieran O'Neill Betting.Betfair.Com Fillies' HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 4th 6/1

25 Nov 25 Lingfield (AW) Blue Eclipse (GB)J: Kieran O'Neill Tips For Every Race At Raceday-Ready.Com HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Standard · 9 ran 7th 66/1

25 Nov 25 Lingfield (AW) Nibras Angel (GB)J: Kieran O'Neill Get The Inside Track With Raceday-Ready.Com Ebf Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 10f · Standard · 8 ran 5th 11/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Alice Haynes's strike rate?: Alice Haynes has won 214 of 2,086 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 10.3% (as at 9 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Alice Haynes do best at?: Bath by strike rate: 6 wins from 42 runners (14.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Alice Haynes?: Kieran O'Neill, with 1,137 runners since 2008 — 55% of the total. That pairing has won 115 (10.1%).
What is Alice Haynes's Fair A/E?: 1.00, from 2,075 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.