Peter Hiatt
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sent out around 150 runners a season, winning with 9% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.08). Horses with headgear back on after a bare run strike at 11% (64 runs).
It is weakest at Leicester (1.6% over 64 runners) — the widest gap in the record. New recruits from other stables on their first run struggle at 0% (n=67, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 3.4% strike, Fair A/E 0.75 and −40.25 to a £1 stake over 205 runners — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Chris Catlin rode 17% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (10.5%, A/E 1.02) — the market has that partnership priced right. The yard also read well on Firm going (17.5%, n=40). The record read poorly on Good to Soft going — 2.8% over 144 runners, 6pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record was Very Well Red (GB) — 15 wins from 111 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fired Dec–Mar.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 8.8% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 2,744 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 2,744 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 5 January 2005 to 27 November 2019.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Peter Hiatt's strike rate?
- Peter Hiatt has won 163 of 1,843 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.8% (as at 2 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Peter Hiatt do best at?
- Warwick by strike rate: 4 wins from 32 runners (12.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for Peter Hiatt?
- Chris Catlin, with 315 runners since 2008 — 17% of the total. That pairing has won 33 (10.5%).
- What is Peter Hiatt's Fair A/E?
- 1.08, from 1,831 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.