What is Sophie Leech's strike rate?

Sophie Leech has won 200 of 2,607 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.7% (as at 7 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Sophie Leech do best at?

Newton Abbot by strike rate: 24 wins from 180 runners (13.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Sophie Leech?

Paul Moloney, with 430 runners since 2008 — 16% of the total. That pairing has won 39 (9.1%).

Is Sophie Leech in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Sophie Leech's Fair A/E?

0.98, from 2,593 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Sophie Leech

2,607 runners in the lifetime window · 317 individual horses

As at 7 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 3 days ago

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

200–2,607

Wins / Runs

7.7%

Strike rate

n=2,607

609 (23%)

Placed

0.98

Fair A/E

n=2,593 · 0.84 incl. margin

−814.17

£1 level stake

n=2,598 at SP · −31.3%

£2.84m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

9.3%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 140 runners a season, winning with 8% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.98). Horses with headgear back on after a bare run strike at 13% (112 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 2,607 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 7 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Jul–Sep 25.7% when favourite Paul Moloney: 9.1% from 430 New recruits: 8.2% Headgear returns: 12.5% Sends off the favourite in 4% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Leicester (16.7%, n=36) and Newton Abbot (13.3%, n=180) — all clear of the yard's 7.7% baseline. It is weakest at Kempton (AW) (0% over 48 runners) — the widest gap in the record. A horse having headgear put back on after a bare run has been a positive signal at 12.5% (n=112, Fair A/E 1.69), but debutants struggle at 0% (n=40, Fair A/E 0.00). In Group and Graded company the record are the standout value angle: 5.6% strikes only just below baseline, but Fair A/E 1.42 and +6.10 to a £1 stake over 179 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Paul Moloney rides 16% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (9.1%, A/E 0.97) — the market has that partnership priced right. 10 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Grande Course de Haies de Printemps Handicap) at Auteuil (FR) (Apr 2023, £69,292). The stable star of the record: Tamarillo Grove (IRE) — 11 wins from 66 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jul–Sep.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.7% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

5.6%−2.1

n=537 · A/E 0.89 · £1 −251.58

New recruits · first run for the yard

8.2%+0.5

n=282 · A/E 1.22 · £1 −59.76

Debutants · first career start

0%−7.7

n=40 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −40.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

9%+1.3

n=78 · A/E 1.28 · £1 −34.60

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

12.5%+4.8

n=112 · A/E 1.69 · £1 +64.87

When favourite

25.7%

n=113 · A/E 0.89 · £1 −32.34

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

7.5%−0.2

n=776 · A/E 1.05 · £1 −158.77

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

5.6%−2.1

n=179 · A/E 1.42 · £1 +6.10

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 14.5% vs 7.7% · n=221

With Killian Moore 14.7% vs 7.7% · n=102

At Leicester 16.7% vs 7.7% · n=36

With C&D winners 13.4% vs 7.7% · n=268

At Kempton (AW) 0% vs 7.7% · n=48

At Newton Abbot 13.3% vs 7.7% · n=180

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 1,510 116 7.7% −435.43

Chase 695 61 8.8% −195.44

Flat 355 22 6.2% −140.05

NH Flat 47 1 2.1% −43.25

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 869 72 8.3% −320.20

Soft 563 44 7.8% −117.20

Good to Soft 412 21 5.1% −195.40

Heavy 301 30 10% +0.43

Good to Firm 239 21 8.8% −55.13

Standard (AW) 216 12 5.6% −119.67

Firm 7 0 0% −7.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Newton Abbot 180 24 13.3% +22.62

Chepstow 162 14 8.6% −21.15

Wolverhampton (AW) 118 11 9.3% −27.17

Auteuil (FR) 111 6 5.4% −42.00

Uttoxeter 107 11 10.3% −20.50

Ludlow 105 4 3.8% −70.00

Cheltenham 99 3 3% −57.00

Worcester 97 7 7.2% +0.13

Stratford 92 7 7.6% −39.00

Cartmel 82 8 9.8% −36.20

Southwell 81 6 7.4% −25.38

Exeter 64 2 3.1% −53.50

Fontwell 63 6 9.5% −18.50

Warwick 62 2 3.2% −48.00

Bangor-on-Dee 61 6 9.8% −4.62

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 895 64 7.2% −421.44

Class 5 648 62 9.6% −166.48

Class 3 320 19 5.9% −134.88

Class 6 193 18 9.3% −23.17

Class 1 186 10 5.4% −0.90

Class 2 120 3 2.5% −51.50

Class 7 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 151 34 22.5% 0.85 −47.59

2nd–3rd fav 401 73 18.2% 1.15 −3.88

4th–6th fav 816 63 7.7% 1.02 −108.30

7th+ in betting 1,230 28 2.3% 0.75 −654.40

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

2m1f – 2m4f 917 77 8.4% −190.60

2m5f – 3m 621 53 8.5% −240.79

1m5f – 2m 620 39 6.3% −222.15

Over 3m 149 11 7.4% −64.58

1m2f – 1m4f 136 11 8.1% −17.63

6f – 7f 76 7 9.2% +0.08

1m – 1m1f 70 1 1.4% −65.50

Under 6f 18 1 5.6% −13.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 96 5 5.2% −48.00

2009 94 4 4.3% −74.25

2010 127 8 6.3% −60.08

2011 129 9 7% −39.00

2012 160 16 10% −51.00

2013 172 19 11% +38.13

2014 155 20 12.9% −40.40

2015 174 9 5.2% −108.50

2016 241 17 7.1% −75.45

2017 179 13 7.3% −58.45

2018 174 17 9.8% −38.00

2019 194 12 6.2% −66.24

2020 130 10 7.7% −36.40

2021 146 8 5.5% −62.53

2022 152 8 5.3% −61.60

2023 120 14 11.7% +8.70

2024 55 3 5.5% −30.60

2025 66 4 6.1% +6.50

2026 43 4 9.3% −17.00

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 1,924 145 7.5% −531.93

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 830 75 9% −98.95

11-13 runners 700 44 6.3% −269.39

5-7 runners 514 48 9.3% −212.35

14-16 runners 390 16 4.1% −184.70

17+ runners 119 3 2.5% −49.20

2-4 runners 54 14 25.9% +0.42

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

81% completed · 2,205 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 695 73.7% 27 18 135 1 2

Hurdle 1,510 84.4% 33 16 180 2 5

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Tamarillo Grove (IRE)from Bryan Smart 66 11 22 27 Jul 20

Anteros (IRE)from Seamus Mullins 59 8 20 5 Jul 21

Man Of Plenty (GB)from Ed Dunlop 49 4 13 3 Dec 20

Yasir (USA)from Conor Dore 44 6 20 8 Jan 21

Olympian Boy (IRE)from Anabel K Murphy 43 6 14 1 Jul 16

Garo De Juilley (FR)from Paul Nicholls 40 3 9 19 Feb 23

Le Grand Chene (FR)from M Rolland · then Gordon Elliott 37 6 11 23 Jan 15

Old Magic (IRE)from David Martin Kelly 34 2 10 28 Apr 17

Clondaw Cian (IRE)from Suzy Smith 33 2 6 13 Nov 22

Kapricorne (FR)from Michael Scudamore · then Dan Skelton 32 3 10 28 Apr 17

Dun Scaith (IRE)from T Hogan 31 3 7 11 Oct 18

Applesandpierres (IRE)from Dan Skelton 30 4 8 17 Nov 22

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 317 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 12 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 55 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Dan Skelton (3) and Conor Dore (2); 5 had their first archived run for this yard.

14 have since run for another yard, most often for Katy Price (2); 46 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

1 from 3

Only 3 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

87467791312766

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderPaul Moloney

16% of all rides
9.1% SR · A/E 0.97

RiderRWSR£1

Paul Moloney 430 39 9.1% −169.45

James Best 129 9 7% −46.37

Richie McLernon 122 6 4.9% −63.50

Paddy Brennan 121 12 9.9% −19.00

Killian Moore 102 15 14.7% +25.35

James Reveley 94 13 13.8% +42.40

Ciaran Gethings 94 5 5.3% −40.80

Miss Roisin Leech 94 4 4.3% −54.50

A P Heskin 80 9 11.3% −21.90

Sean Houlihan 74 5 6.8% −35.50

Patrick Cowley 60 2 3.3% −48.75

Charlie Poste 52 1 1.9% −48.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2007→

200

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£2.84m

Prize money

2014

Best season · 20 wins

This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Lucky One (FR) — Grande Course de Haies de Printemps (Hurdle) Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · Apr 2023 · Grade 3

£69,292

Madara (FR) — Ryanair Handicap Chase (0-150) (Listed) Leopardstown · Feb 2024 · Listed

£59,000

Mcgroarty (IRE) — Prix Pmu le Meeting de Deauville - Grande Course de Haies (Hurdle) (Listed Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf) Clairefontaine (FR) · Jul 2023 · Listed

£43,805

Notable horses

Tamarillo Grove (IRE) Anteros (IRE) Yasir (USA) Olympian Boy (IRE) Le Grand Chene (FR) Man Of Plenty (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Milan (GB) 9.5% · 11–116

Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,877 runs since 2008 (1,463 horses).

Cape Cross (IRE) 15.8% · 12–76

Progeny have won 13.3% of 12,754 runs since 2008 (988 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 8.4% from 477. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.8% from 230.

Manduro (GER) 7% · 5–71

Progeny have won 10.5% of 4,220 runs since 2011 (411 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.8% from 1,097. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.5% from 402.

Flemensfirth (USA) 10.7% · 6–56

Progeny have won 11.9% of 17,288 runs since 2008 (1,595 horses).

Kapgarde (FR) 10.2% · 5–49

Progeny have won 12.4% of 6,637 runs since 2008 (725 horses).

King's Theatre (IRE) 2.1% · 1–48

Progeny have won 14.4% of 12,129 runs since 2008 (746 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.8% from 125. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 7.9% from 203.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 7 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,613 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,613 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 19 October 2007 to 4 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

04 Nov 26 Nottingham Christmas Is Comin (GB)J: Josephine Gordon EBF Desert Crown Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 5f · Soft · 4 ran 4th 4/1

02 Nov 26 Southwell Inca (FR)J: Roisin Leech Christmas Jumper Day Sunday 13th December Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 20.5f · Good · 11 ran 2nd 13/8

26 Oct 26 Hereford Inca (FR)J: Roisin Leech BETTING.BET Free Racing Tips 'hands And Heels' Handicap Hurdle Race(conditional & Amateur Jockeys') (Part Of The Racing Excellence Series)Class 5 · 19.5f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 1st 2/1F

19 Oct 26 Bath Christmas Is Comin (GB)J: Josephine Gordon Mj Church Nursery Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 3rd 14/1

15 Oct 26 Fontwell Maillot Vert (GB)J: Roisin Leech BETTING.BET Free Racing Tips Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 19f · Good To Soft · 5 ran 4th 50/1

14 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Marhaba The Champ (GB)J: Roisin Leech Try Unibet's New Smartview Racecards Handicap Stakes (London Middle Distance Qualifier) (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 11f · Standard / Slow · 13 ran 13th 200/1

08 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Christmas Is Comin (GB)J: Josephine Gordon Free Bets On Attheraces.com Ebf Restricted Maiden Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 6f · Standard · 11 ran 3rd 28/1

06 Oct 26 Huntingdon Inca (FR)J: Harry Reed 2026/2027 Annual Badges Now On Sale At Huntingdon Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 19.5f · Good · 7 ran 1st 7/2J

06 Oct 26 Huntingdon Stiletto (GB)J: Sean Bowen Agri Day At Huntingdon Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 25f · Good · 5 ran 4th 3/1

15 Sep 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Christmas Is Comin (GB)J: Josephine Gordon Free Digital Racecard At raceday-ready.com "Confined" Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D, Which Have Run No More Than Twice) (Div I) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 2nd 10/1

10 Sep 26 Worcester Inca (FR)J: Harry Reed CopyBet Bog Now For Doncaster Tomorrow Handicap Hurdle Race (Div II)Class 5 · 20f · Good · 9 ran 4th 6/1

04 Sep 26 Worcester Stiletto (GB)J: Harry Kimber Copybet Bog Now For Saturday's Racing Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 23f · Good · 10 ran 5th 7/1

21 Aug 26 Salisbury Christmas Is Comin (GB)J: Josephine Gordon Robert Gilbert Birthday Celebration Irish EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (EBF Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 6f · Good · 12 ran 5th 50/1

19 Aug 26 Worcester Stiletto (GB)J: Harry Cobden Copybet Overnight Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 23f · Good · 15 ran 3rd 10/1

19 Aug 26 Worcester Warner's Cross (IRE)J: Harry Reed CopyBet Follow Us On X Handicap Hurdle Race (Div I)Class 5 · 20f · Good · 9 ran 2nd 100/30J

26 Jul 26 Uttoxeter Warner's Cross (IRE)J: Harry Reed QuinnBet Handicap Hurdle Race (Div I)Class 5 · 20f · Good · 10 ran 1st 11/2

10 Jul 26 Worcester Stiletto (GB)J: Sean Bowen CopyBet Overnight Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 23f · Good · 9 ran 1st 11/1

23 Jun 26 Newton Abbot Demoiselle Kap (FR)J: Paul O'Brien St. Austell Brewery Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 21f · Good · 5 ran 5th 14/1

23 Jun 26 Newton Abbot Marhaba The Champ (GB)J: Roisin Leech EBCS Hideout Novices' Limited Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 18.5f · Good · 10 ran PU 22/1

12 Jun 26 Newton Abbot Minnie Belle (GB)J: Sean Houlihan Olympus Plant & Tool Hire Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 17f · Good · 6 ran UR 12/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 6 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 1 run (won 0) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 1 run (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 5 runs (won 1) · to 4 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Sophie Leech's strike rate?: Sophie Leech has won 200 of 2,607 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.7% (as at 7 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Sophie Leech do best at?: Newton Abbot by strike rate: 24 wins from 180 runners (13.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Sophie Leech?: Paul Moloney, with 430 runners since 2008 — 16% of the total. That pairing has won 39 (9.1%).
Is Sophie Leech in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Sophie Leech's Fair A/E?: 0.98, from 2,593 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.