Charlie Wallis
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 90 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.84).
The record is strongest at Southwell (AW) (13.1%, n=175), clear of the yard's 6.8% baseline. A horse in first-time headgear has been a poor signal at 2% (n=49, Fair A/E 0.50). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 2.5% strike, Fair A/E 0.49 and −121.00 to a £1 stake over 198 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. William Carson rides 12% of the entries and edges the yard's average (10.1% vs 6.8%, A/E 1.14) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well off a 0-7-day break (13.3%, n=150) and in Class 7 (13.3%, n=30). The record reads poorly over 1m2f – 1m4f — 1.2% over 86 runners, 5.6pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: Zac Brown (IRE) — 9 wins from 63 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jan–Apr.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 6.8% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2015→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 1,683 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 1,683 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 28 January 2015 to 5 November 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
KTB’s figures
the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 8 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 3 runs (won 0) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 1 run (won 0) · to 2 Nov 2026.
Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.
Quick answers
- What is Charlie Wallis's strike rate?
- Charlie Wallis has won 114 of 1,683 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.8% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Charlie Wallis do best at?
- Southwell (AW) by strike rate: 23 wins from 175 runners (13.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for Charlie Wallis?
- William Carson, with 208 runners since 2008 — 12% of the total. That pairing has won 21 (10.1%).
- Is Charlie Wallis in form?
- Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 2 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is Charlie Wallis's Fair A/E?
- 0.84, from 1,676 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.