What is Dai Burchell's strike rate?

Dai Burchell has won 120 of 1,352 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.9% (as at 1 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Dai Burchell do best at?

Cartmel by strike rate: 4 wins from 30 runners (13.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Dai Burchell?

Robert Dunne, with 291 runners since 2008 — 22% of the total. That pairing has won 33 (11.3%).

What is Dai Burchell's Fair A/E?

1.16, from 1,345 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Dai Burchell

1,352 runners in the lifetime window · 171 individual horses

As at 1 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Jan 2022

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

120–1,352

Wins / Runs

8.9%

Strike rate

n=1,352

319 (24%)

Placed

1.16

Fair A/E

n=1,345 · 1.00 incl. margin

−283.15

£1 level stake

n=1,352 at SP · −20.9%

£720k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

20%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 70 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 9% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.16). Horses with headgear back on after a bare run strike at 11% (105 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,352 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 1 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Mar–Jun 30.8% when favourite Robert Dunne: 11.3% from 291 Headgear returns: 11.4% Claiming riders: 10.9% Sends off the favourite in 5% of races

The read

Debutants struggle at 0% (n=33, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 2.9% strike, Fair A/E 0.57 and −172.40 to a £1 stake over 277 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Robert Dunne rides 22% of the entries and edges the yard's average (11.3% vs 8.9%, A/E 1.34) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well in Chase races (14.1%, n=326). The record reads poorly off a break of 180+ days — 1.7% over 121 runners, 7.2pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard on Standard (AW) going: Fair A/E 0.78 across 215 runners (3.7% strike, −148.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. The stable star of the record: King Alfonso (GB) — 9 wins from 41 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Mar–Jun.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.9% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

2.9%−6.0

n=277 · A/E 0.57 · £1 −172.40

New recruits · first run for the yard

4.6%−4.3

n=130 · A/E 0.95 · £1 −32.50

Debutants · first career start

0%−8.9

n=33 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −33.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

0%−8.9

n=24 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −24.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

11.4%+2.5

n=105 · A/E 1.46 · £1 −28.25

When favourite

30.8%

n=65 · A/E 1.13 · £1 +3.03

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

10.9%+2.0

n=598 · A/E 1.33 · £1 −168.95

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−8.9

n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 17.4% vs 8.9% · n=115

Off a break of 180+ days 1.7% vs 8.9% · n=121

With debutants 0% vs 8.9% · n=33

In Chase races 14.1% vs 8.9% · n=326

With Ben Jones 16.1% vs 8.9% · n=56

On Standard (AW) going 3.7% vs 8.9% · n=215

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 598 48 8% −217.50

Flat 403 26 6.5% −115.88

Chase 326 46 14.1% +75.23

NH Flat 25 0 0% −25.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 444 42 9.5% +3.46

Good to Soft 236 26 11% −9.63

Standard (AW) 215 8 3.7% −148.00

Soft 209 22 10.5% −36.78

Good to Firm 155 18 11.6% −40.20

Heavy 79 4 5.1% −38.00

Firm 14 0 0% −14.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Chepstow 181 18 9.9% +1.37

Wolverhampton (AW) 135 6 4.4% −84.00

Uttoxeter 111 13 11.7% +64.42

Stratford 100 9 9% −23.00

Worcester 88 9 10.2% −34.00

Ffos Las 88 10 11.4% −17.00

Ludlow 76 5 6.6% −21.12

Newton Abbot 63 4 6.3% −39.00

Hereford 63 4 6.3% −36.00

Kempton (AW) 51 2 3.9% −35.00

Bath 42 5 11.9% +25.50

Taunton 32 3 9.4% −13.00

Cartmel 30 4 13.3% −3.00

Huntingdon 28 2 7.1% −21.57

Warwick 27 3 11.1% +30.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 498 50 10% −52.64

Class 5 452 41 9.1% −145.76

Class 6 212 16 7.5% −21.00

Class 3 150 11 7.3% −49.75

Class 2 23 2 8.7% +3.00

Class 7 11 0 0% −11.00

Class 1 6 0 0% −6.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 77 24 31.2% 1.21 +10.53

2nd–3rd fav 207 42 20.3% 1.35 +24.32

4th–6th fav 445 37 8.3% 1.09 −70.00

7th+ in betting 623 17 2.7% 0.93 −248.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

1m5f – 2m 522 44 8.4% −192.33

2m1f – 2m4f 295 35 11.9% −40.32

2m5f – 3m 163 18 11% +45.88

1m2f – 1m4f 138 6 4.3% −62.88

1m – 1m1f 107 8 7.5% +3.00

6f – 7f 77 5 6.5% −35.50

Over 3m 30 3 10% +6.00

Under 6f 20 1 5% −7.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 109 6 5.5% −69.25

2009 102 12 11.8% +20.00

2010 117 11 9.4% −29.37

2011 145 10 6.9% −67.50

2012 130 13 10% −10.88

2013 130 9 6.9% −53.63

2014 110 14 12.7% +1.60

2015 108 7 6.5% −59.87

2016 100 15 15% +50.50

2017 89 3 3.4% −65.75

2018 51 7 13.7% +64.75

2019 48 4 8.3% −15.00

2020 49 2 4.1% −33.50

2021 54 5 9.3% −15.75

2022 10 2 20% +0.50

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 972 106 10.9% −8.20

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

11-13 runners 428 34 7.9% −127.45

8-10 runners 425 30 7.1% −217.05

5-7 runners 245 32 13.1% −49.87

14-16 runners 196 15 7.7% +108.50

17+ runners 35 2 5.7% −18.00

2-4 runners 23 7 30.4% +20.72

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

85.8% completed · 924 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 326 85% 7 9 31 0 2

Hurdle 598 86.3% 18 10 49 1 4

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Acapulco Bay (GB)from Julie Camacho 47 6 15 24 Mar 16

Cruchain (IRE)from Jonjo O'Neill 45 6 15 27 Oct 16

King Alfonso (GB)from Michael O'Hare · then Rebecca Curtis 41 9 13 31 May 21

Rebeccas Choice (IRE)from Mark Rimell 38 5 13 13 Mar 17

Spinning Waters (GB)from Eve Johnson Houghton 34 4 10 12 Dec 13

Fact Flow (IRE)from Noel Henley 31 3 8 10 Dec 21

Turbo Shandy (GB)from Mark Rimell · then John Flint 31 3 7 21 Jul 11

One For The Boss (IRE)from Brendan Powell 29 5 10 24 Sep 17

Feeling (IRE)from Terry Clement 29 2 6 6 Jun 13

Watch Out (GB)from Gerald Ham 27 2 7 6 Oct 11

Guanciale (GB)from Brendan Powell 24 3 7 27 Jun 17

Mister Fantastic (GB)from Sarah Humphrey 24 3 6 17 May 14

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 171 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 8 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 53 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Brendan Powell (5) and Alan Swinbank (2); 7 had their first archived run for this yard.

27 have since run for another yard, most often for John Flint (8) and Bernard Llewellyn (3); 33 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

641113101461010872

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderRobert Dunne

22% of all rides
11.3% SR · A/E 1.34

RiderRWSR£1

Robert Dunne 291 33 11.3% +56.60

Ben Jones 56 9 16.1% +0.25

Christian Williams 46 5 10.9% +28.00

Kelly Harrison 39 5 12.8% +13.50

Miss Jodie Hughes 39 1 2.6% −33.50

Mr Byron Moorcroft 35 5 14.3% +1.75

Robert Williams 35 4 11.4% −13.88

David Probert 32 1 3.1% −17.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

146

Archived wins

£920k

Prize money

2016

Best season · 15 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Rebeccas Choice (IRE) — Norfolk National (Handicap Chase) Fakenham · May 2016 · Class 3

£12,996

Rebeccas Choice (IRE) — Coral Welsh Grand National Trial (Handicap Chase) Chepstow · Dec 2014 · Class 2

£12,660

King Alfonso (GB) — William Hill Extra Places Every Day Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Cartmel · Aug 2020 · Class 2

£9,747

Notable horses

King Alfonso (GB) Acapulco Bay (GB) Cruchain (IRE) Rebeccas Choice (IRE) One For The Boss (IRE) Ratify (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Religiously (USA) 11.9% · 7–59

Progeny have won 10.6% of 236 runs since 2008 (18 horses).

Pursuit of Love (GB) 11.3% · 6–53

Progeny have won 6.7% of 929 runs since 2008 (74 horses).

Shernazar (GB) 13.3% · 6–45

Progeny have won 8.7% of 1,462 runs since 2008 (150 horses).

Desert King (IRE) 22% · 9–41

Progeny have won 9% of 1,142 runs since 2008 (104 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 13.4% from 157.

Groom Dancer (USA) 10% · 4–40

Progeny have won 7% of 1,020 runs since 2008 (94 horses).

Vettori (IRE) 11.8% · 4–34

Progeny have won 7.2% of 1,775 runs since 2008 (163 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 1 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,852 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,852 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 30 January 2022.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

30 Jan 22 Fontwell Adherence (GB)J: Ben Jones Virgin Bet Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 21.5f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 5th 7/1

29 Jan 22 Uttoxeter Akkapenko (FR)J: Ben Jones Cazoo Search Drive Smile Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 20f · Good · 15 ran 11th 10/1

29 Jan 22 Uttoxeter Good Impression (GB)J: Ellis Collier Cazoo Training Series Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Good · 8 ran 1st 9/2

20 Jan 22 Ludlow Just Deegeeteebee (GB)J: Conor Ring Try RacingTV For Free Now Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 14f · Soft · 10 ran 10th 50/1

20 Jan 22 Ludlow Take Em Out (IRE)J: Conor Ring Watch RacingTV With FreeTrial Now Conditional Jockeys' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Soft · 10 ran 9th 16/1

17 Jan 22 Fakenham Good Impression (GB)J: Ben Jones Visit attheraces.com Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 1st 4/1

14 Jan 22 Huntingdon Adherence (GB)J: Ellis Collier Racing Tv Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 19.5f · Soft · 13 ran 7th 28/1

06 Jan 22 Chepstow Akkapenko (FR)J: Ben Jones Peter Michael Dixon Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 19.5f · Heavy · 11 ran 8th 14/1

05 Jan 22 Ffos Las Dawnslittlediamond (GB)J: Conor Ring Cazoo Mares' Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Heavy · 9 ran PU 200/1

04 Jan 22 Hereford Take Em Out (IRE)J: Ben Jones Read Kevin Blake On attheraces.com Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 21f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 4th 40/1

31 Dec 21 Uttoxeter Good Impression (GB)J: Ben Jones Richard Oldham Memorial Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Heavy · 13 ran 9th 11/1

10 Dec 21 Bangor-on-Dee Just Deegeeteebee (GB)J: Conor Ring Merry Christmas And Happy New Year Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16.5f · Soft · 11 ran 10th 28/1

10 Dec 21 Bangor-on-Dee Fact Flow (IRE)J: Conor Ring R W Hough & Sons Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 17.5f · Soft · 11 ran PU 18/1

02 Dec 21 Leicester Good Impression (GB)J: Ben Jones Leicester Racecourse Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 15.5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 4th 12/1

25 Nov 21 Taunton Akkapenko (FR)J: Conor Ring Short Run Press - The Proper Book Binders Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 19f · Good · 14 ran 11th 25/1

24 Nov 21 Hereford Dawnslittlediamond (GB)J: Conor Ring Read Davy Russell On starsportsbet.co.uk Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16f · Good · 6 ran 5th 150/1

13 Nov 21 Uttoxeter Akkapenko (FR)J: Ben Jones Brakspear Gravity Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 20f · Good · 11 ran 1st 13/2

12 Nov 21 Worcester Vivre Pour Vivre (IRE)J: Ben Jones Read Kevin Blake On attheraces.com Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 10 ran PU 200/1

11 Nov 21 Market Rasen Fact Flow (IRE)J: Ben Jones Racing TV Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 21.5f · Good · 9 ran 8th 9/1

16 Oct 21 Stratford Fact Flow (IRE)J: Conor Ring Philip Smith Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 22.5f · Good · 10 ran 3rd 33/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Dai Burchell's strike rate?: Dai Burchell has won 120 of 1,352 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.9% (as at 1 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Dai Burchell do best at?: Cartmel by strike rate: 4 wins from 30 runners (13.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Dai Burchell?: Robert Dunne, with 291 runners since 2008 — 22% of the total. That pairing has won 33 (11.3%).
What is Dai Burchell's Fair A/E?: 1.16, from 1,345 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.