What is Ian Williams's strike rate?

Ian Williams has won 1,282 of 11,050 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 11.6% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Ian Williams do best at?

Chelmsford (AW) by strike rate: 52 wins from 327 runners (15.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Ian Williams?

Stevie Donohoe, with 811 runners since 2008 — 7% of the total. That pairing has won 90 (11.1%).

Is Ian Williams in form?

In the last 14 days: 30 runners, 3 winners, a strike rate of 10%. That is in line with the baseline of 11.6% since 2008.

What is Ian Williams's Fair A/E?

1.03, from 10,995 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Ian Williams

11,050 runners in the lifetime window · 999 individual horses

As at 5 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 11.6% of 882 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 5 Nov 2026.

Last runner yesterday

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

1,282–11,050

Wins / Runs

11.6%

Strike rate

n=11,050

3,294 (30%)

Placed

1.03

Fair A/E

n=10,995 · 0.88 incl. margin

−2,574.18

£1 level stake

n=11,049 at SP · −23.3%

£15.2m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

10.2%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 580 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 12% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.03).

Deterministic profile computed from 11,050 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 5 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Jan–Mar 35.4% when favourite Stevie Donohoe: 11.1% from 811 Claiming riders: 12% Sends off the favourite in 11% of races

The read

In Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 5.4% (n=241, Fair A/E 0.73). The market has consistently overbet a horse having headgear put back on after a bare run: 8.8% strike, Fair A/E 0.85 and −180.86 to a £1 stake over 624 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Stevie Donohoe rides 7% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (11.1%, A/E 1.07) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well off a 0-7-day break (21.7%, n=812) and on Firm going (25.5%, n=47). The record reads poorly off a break of 180+ days — 5.4% over 821 runners, 6.2pts below the baseline. 14 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the 188bet Chester Cup Handicap at Chester (May 2018, £92,385). The stable star of the record: Beauzon (GB) — 13 wins from 57 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jan–Mar.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 11.6% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

7.3%−4.3

n=1,906 · A/E 0.88 · £1 −616.69

New recruits · first run for the yard

8.4%−3.2

n=651 · A/E 0.99 · £1 −87.71

Debutants · first career start

5.5%−6.1

n=308 · A/E 1.07 · £1 −68.37

First-time headgear · true-first definition

11.9%+0.3

n=360 · A/E 1.10 · £1 −55.65

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

8.8%−2.8

n=624 · A/E 0.85 · £1 −180.86

When favourite

35.4%

n=1,231 · A/E 1.16 · £1 +32.23

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

12%+0.4

n=2,397 · A/E 1.03 · £1 −566.15

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

5.4%−6.2

n=241 · A/E 0.73 · £1 −102.65

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 11.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Off a 0-7-day break 21.7% vs 11.6% · n=812

On last-time-out winners 20.8% vs 11.6% · n=1,282

On Firm going 25.5% vs 11.6% · n=47

With Jamie Spencer 20.6% vs 11.6% · n=170

Off a break of 180+ days 5.4% vs 11.6% · n=821

With C&D winners 17.2% vs 11.6% · n=1,045

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 7,666 881 11.5% −1,559.17

Hurdle 2,168 234 10.8% −765.52

Chase 932 140 15% −224.90

NH Flat 284 27 9.5% −24.59

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 3,350 425 12.7% −729.45

Good 3,024 375 12.4% −520.51

Good to Firm 1,614 186 11.5% −317.34

Good to Soft 1,583 156 9.9% −354.85

Soft 1,166 104 8.9% −537.96

Heavy 266 24 9% −116.19

Firm 47 12 25.5% +2.12

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Wolverhampton (AW) 1,259 156 12.4% −179.90

Kempton (AW) 629 62 9.9% −239.48

Chester 499 46 9.2% −58.49

Lingfield (AW) 484 75 15.5% −16.19

Doncaster 453 56 12.4% −58.30

Southwell (AW) 393 51 13% −98.62

Haydock 376 40 10.6% −67.87

Ascot 345 27 7.8% −26.37

Chelmsford (AW) 327 52 15.9% −68.89

Warwick 313 30 9.6% −53.04

Newbury 276 22 8% −94.27

Uttoxeter 254 22 8.7% −134.71

Sandown 251 23 9.2% −74.60

Leicester 243 24 9.9% −133.97

Newcastle (AW) 238 24 10.1% −134.25

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 3,178 344 10.8% −1,083.12

Class 5 2,647 348 13.1% −337.53

Class 6 1,995 291 14.6% −410.78

Class 3 1,438 170 11.8% −210.37

Class 2 1,427 105 7.4% −362.75

Class 1 284 16 5.6% −131.57

Class 7 37 3 8.1% −23.21

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 1,458 489 33.5% 1.15 +28.03

2nd–3rd fav 2,598 420 16.2% 0.97 −410.71

4th–6th fav 3,277 262 8% 0.97 −722.50

7th+ in betting 3,716 111 3% 0.89 −1,469.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

1m5f – 2m 2,609 317 12.2% −527.05

1m2f – 1m4f 2,535 299 11.8% −599.71

1m – 1m1f 1,628 186 11.4% −339.58

6f – 7f 1,570 147 9.4% −531.37

2m1f – 2m4f 1,198 143 11.9% −217.93

2m5f – 3m 916 120 13.1% −204.40

Under 6f 313 42 13.4% −17.83

Over 3m 281 28 10% −136.31

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 388 32 8.2% −100.54

2009 511 62 12.1% −112.25

2010 432 58 13.4% −81.03

2011 455 69 15.2% −32.17

2012 569 79 13.9% −120.53

2013 446 62 13.9% −38.14

2014 520 62 11.9% −74.79

2015 459 49 10.7% −175.16

2016 519 78 15% −101.59

2017 613 87 14.2% −56.33

2018 706 102 14.4% −132.01

2019 792 72 9.1% −245.02

2020 497 46 9.3% −198.59

2021 706 82 11.6% −12.30

2022 540 53 9.8% −140.32

2023 696 59 8.5% −323.22

2024 811 79 9.7% −277.13

2025 711 82 11.5% −109.49

2026 679 69 10.2% −243.57

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 8,678 1030 11.9% −1,644.68

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 3,774 487 12.9% −597.87

11-13 runners 3,019 280 9.3% −613.53

5-7 runners 2,205 339 15.4% −623.65

14-16 runners 1,268 93 7.3% −476.85

17+ runners 583 26 4.5% −248.00

2-4 runners 201 57 28.4% −14.28

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Mokaatil (GB)from Owen Burrows 89 12 25 2 Dec 24

Boy In The Bar (GB)from Ed de Giles 63 10 20 1 Jan 22

Restorer (GB)from William Muir 61 5 17 10 Apr 24

Shady Mccoy (USA)from David Barron 59 9 20 31 Aug 20

Teak (IRE)from Adrian Maguire 59 8 19 16 Dec 17

Buxted Too (GB) 58 10 16 15 Oct 25

Beauzon (GB)from David O'Meara 57 13 18 28 Oct 26

Byron Flyer (GB) 57 12 23 26 Sep 21

Fredo (IRE) 54 6 21 1 Jul 16

Mr Trick (IRE)from Richard Hannon 51 3 14 12 Jan 26

Ferryview Place (GB)from Eoin Griffin 51 5 14 15 Feb 17

Night On Earth (IRE)from Michael Appleby 50 6 15 24 Oct 25

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 999 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 31 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 41 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from F-H Graffard (3) and Alan Swinbank (2); 19 had their first archived run for this yard.

13 have since run for another yard, most often for Patrick Morris (3) and B F Brookhouse (2); 47 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Steady

3 from 30 10% · −1.6pts vs baseline

Last 14 days10%

Lifetime base11.6%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

141314101112111212111011

Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderStevie Donohoe

7% of all rides
11.1% SR · A/E 1.07

RiderRWSR£1

Stevie Donohoe 811 90 11.1% −178.39

Charlie Todd 528 58 11% −174.55

Tom O'Brien 436 63 14.4% −84.91

Richard Kingscote 435 62 14.3% −18.08

William Kennedy 362 34 9.4% −179.42

Ryan Kavanagh 287 36 12.5% −120.16

David Egan 240 17 7.1% −86.29

Dougie Costello 229 22 9.6% −80.30

George Downing 228 16 7% −147.29

Jim Crowley 227 30 13.2% +49.20

Billy Loughnane 210 39 18.6% −46.86

Rob McCarth 190 18 9.5% −78.76

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

1,389

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£16.2m

Prize money

2018

Best season · 102 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Magic Circle (IRE) — 188bet Chester Cup Handicap Chester · May 2018 · Class 2

£92,385

Beylerbeyi (GB) — Club Godolphin Cesarewitch Handicap (Heritage Handicap) (GBBPlus Race) Newmarket · Oct 2025 · Class 2

£90,195

Bulwark (IRE) — totesport.com Chester Cup Heritage Handicap Chester · May 2008 · Class 2

£74,772

Notable horses

Beauzon (GB) Mokaatil (GB) Byron Flyer (GB) Boy In The Bar (GB) Buxted Too (GB) Lucky's Dream (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Kodiac (GB) 12% · 22–184

Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,595 runs since 2010 (1,666 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 254.

Invincible Spirit (IRE) 9.5% · 16–168

Progeny have won 11.9% of 20,862 runs since 2008 (1,574 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 16.1% from 161. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.8% from 844.

Muhaarar (GB) 11.7% · 18–154

Progeny have won 11.6% of 4,820 runs since 2019 (415 horses).

Oasis Dream (GB) 12.4% · 18–145

Progeny have won 11.8% of 18,032 runs since 2008 (1,511 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 17.3% from 150. Weakest on Heavy going: 8.5% from 484. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.1% from 791.

Frankel (GB) 7.4% · 10–135

Progeny have won 18% of 7,536 runs since 2016 (882 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 12.8% from 329. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 12.2% from 270.

Iffraaj (GB) 13.7% · 18–131

Progeny have won 10.5% of 13,987 runs since 2010 (1,092 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 5 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 12,317 · newest first

The latest 50 of 12,317 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 4 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

04 Nov 26 Kempton (AW) Sea Baaeed (GB)J: Edward Greatrex Bet £20 Get £20 With Unibet Handicap StakesClass 2 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 9 ran 6th 28/1

04 Nov 26 Kempton (AW) Cracksdown (IRE)J: Charles Bishop British EBF Future Stayers Maiden Stakes (Sire And Dam Restricted Race) (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 13 ran 13th 250/1

04 Nov 26 Nottingham Law Of Design (IRE)J: Harry Davies racingtv.com Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8.5f · Soft · 15 ran 9th 17/2

04 Nov 26 Nottingham Just Queen High (IRE)J: Toby Moore racingtv.com Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8.5f · Soft · 15 ran 8th 13/2

04 Nov 26 Nottingham Dhahabi (IRE)J: David Egan Watch Racing TV Now Handicap StakesClass 4 · 8.5f · Soft · 14 ran 2nd 20/1

04 Nov 26 Nottingham Maharajas Express (GB)J: Harry Davies Ladies Day 8th May On Sale Now Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Soft · 10 ran 3rd 7/2

03 Nov 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Jodhpur Blue (FR)J: Billy Loughnane Midnite: Built For 2026 Not 2006 Handicap StakesClass 5 · 12f · Standard · 7 ran 6th 6/1

03 Nov 26 Warwick Gallant Lion (GB)J: Sam Twiston-Davies Alder Demain & Akers Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 16f · Good · 11 ran 7th 16/1

02 Nov 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Watch The King (FR)J: Edward Greatrex Midnite: Built For 2026 Not 2006 Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 3 · 9.5f · Standard · 10 ran 1st 28/1

02 Nov 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Tonal (FR)J: Ryan Kavanagh All Weather Championship Is Back Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 4 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 2nd 10/1

02 Nov 26 Chelmsford (AW) Lady Ridgewood (GB)J: Conor Whiteley Make The Move To Midnite Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 13.5f · Standard · 6 ran 6th 5/1

31 Oct 26 Newmarket Supido (FR)J: Charles Bishop Dusseldorf's Henkel 169 German Oaks Handicap StakesClass 3 · 8f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 6th 25/1

31 Oct 26 Newmarket Purest Time (GB)J: David Probert Prestige Vehicles Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 4 · 6f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 2nd 100/30F

30 Oct 26 Newmarket Be Frank (GB)J: Ryan Kavanagh Munich's Grosser Dallmayr-preis Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 2nd 11/2

29 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Exotic Baby (GB)J: Paul Mulrennan All-Weather Championship Is Back Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 13 ran 5th 22/1

29 Oct 26 Bath Maharajas Express (GB)J: Harry Davies Oakenson Ltd Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5.5f · Soft · 12 ran 2nd 10/1

29 Oct 26 Bath Newtown Duke (IRE)J: Edward Greatrex Thank You To Our Loyal Annual Members Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 10f · Soft · 12 ran 1st 6/1

29 Oct 26 Bath Just Queen High (IRE)J: Edward Greatrex Disability Inc Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Soft · 14 ran 2nd 22/1

28 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Beauzon (GB)J: Ryan Kavanagh Unibet More Extra Place Races Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 13 ran 11th 100/1

28 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Shielas Well (IRE)J: Toby Moore Bet £20 Get £20 With Unibet Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard / Slow · 11 ran 10th 66/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 5 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 8 runs (won 0, 1 did not run) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 6 runs (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 5 runs (won 0) · to 4 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Ian Williams's strike rate?: Ian Williams has won 1,282 of 11,050 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 11.6% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Ian Williams do best at?: Chelmsford (AW) by strike rate: 52 wins from 327 runners (15.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Ian Williams?: Stevie Donohoe, with 811 runners since 2008 — 7% of the total. That pairing has won 90 (11.1%).
Is Ian Williams in form?: In the last 14 days: 30 runners, 3 winners, a strike rate of 10%. That is in line with the baseline of 11.6% since 2008.
What is Ian Williams's Fair A/E?: 1.03, from 10,995 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.