What is Adrian Wintle's strike rate?

Adrian Wintle has won 165 of 2,055 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8% (as at 31 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Adrian Wintle do best at?

Bath by strike rate: 42 wins from 296 runners (14.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Adrian Wintle?

Finley Marsh, with 541 runners since 2008 — 26% of the total. That pairing has won 64 (11.8%).

Is Adrian Wintle in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 14 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Adrian Wintle's Fair A/E?

0.95, from 2,044 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Adrian Wintle

2,055 runners in the lifetime window · 211 individual horses

As at 31 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 3.5% of 316 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 31 Oct 2026.

Last runner 2 days ago

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

165–2,055

Wins / Runs

Strike rate

n=2,055

478 (23%)

Placed

0.95

Fair A/E

n=2,044 · 0.81 incl. margin

−600.31

£1 level stake

n=2,055 at SP · −29.2%

£1.17m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

9.1%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 110 runners a season, winning with 8% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.95).

Deterministic profile computed from 2,055 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 31 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Jul–Aug 25.8% when favourite Finley Marsh: 11.8% from 541 Claiming riders: 8.7% Sends off the favourite in 6% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Bath (14.2%, n=296), clear of the yard's 8% baseline. Debutants struggle at 0% (n=46, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet new recruits from other stables on their first run: 1.8% strike, Fair A/E 0.33 and −115.00 to a £1 stake over 168 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Finley Marsh rides 26% of the entries and edges the yard's average (11.8% vs 8%, A/E 1.16) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well on Firm going (27.9%, n=68) and off a 0-7-day break (15.3%, n=72). The record reads poorly in NH Flat races — 0% over 49 runners, 8pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard off a break of 180+ days: Fair A/E 0.26 across 177 runners (1.1% strike, −145.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. The stable star of the record: Blue Hero (CAN) — 11 wins from 60 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jul–Aug.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

3.1%−4.9

n=384 · A/E 0.62 · £1 −196.00

New recruits · first run for the yard

1.8%−6.2

n=168 · A/E 0.33 · £1 −115.00

Debutants · first career start

0%−8.0

n=46 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −46.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

4.3%−3.7

n=46 · A/E 0.98 · £1 −29.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

4.4%−3.6

n=90 · A/E 0.60 · £1 −56.02

When favourite

25.8%

n=132 · A/E 0.98 · £1 −22.90

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

8.7%+0.7

n=725 · A/E 1.10 · £1 −63.52

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−8.0

n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On Firm going 27.9% vs 8% · n=68

Off a break of 180+ days 1.1% vs 8% · n=177

At Bath 14.2% vs 8% · n=296

With new recruits 1.8% vs 8% · n=168

Off a 0-7-day break 15.3% vs 8% · n=72

In NH Flat races 0% vs 8% · n=49

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 1,557 140 9% −404.68

Hurdle 349 18 5.2% −100.63

Chase 100 7 7% −46.00

NH Flat 49 0 0% −49.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 729 51 7% −262.53

Good 554 50 9% −49.51

Good to Firm 271 20 7.4% −96.13

Good to Soft 211 15 7.1% −114.85

Soft 146 6 4.1% −62.50

Heavy 76 4 5.3% −44.50

Firm 68 19 27.9% +29.71

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Wolverhampton (AW) 481 42 8.7% −102.53

Bath 296 42 14.2% −2.59

Chepstow 219 23 10.5% −26.75

Ffos Las 124 10 8.1% −75.44

Kempton (AW) 86 1 1.2% −69.00

Lingfield (AW) 68 6 8.8% −6.50

Uttoxeter 61 2 3.3% −31.50

Chelmsford City (AW) 57 2 3.5% −47.50

Worcester 50 2 4% −36.00

Windsor 45 2 4.4% −29.50

Stratford 45 6 13.3% +93.00

Bangor-on-Dee 40 3 7.5% +1.00

Southwell (AW) 36 0 0% −36.00

Leicester 35 3 8.6% −4.00

Hereford 35 0 0% −35.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 1,155 114 9.9% −293.25

Class 5 586 38 6.5% −122.68

Class 4 257 10 3.9% −159.88

Class 3 33 2 6.1% −13.50

Class 2 16 1 6.3% −3.00

Class 7 7 0 0% −7.00

Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 162 38 23.5% 0.92 −36.90

2nd–3rd fav 343 54 15.7% 0.98 −62.41

4th–6th fav 625 46 7.4% 0.94 −192.50

7th+ in betting 925 27 2.9% 0.96 −308.50

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

6f – 7f 565 52 9.2% −89.22

1m – 1m1f 524 42 8% −173.24

1m2f – 1m4f 235 24 10.2% −77.72

1m5f – 2m 205 10 4.9% −134.00

Under 6f 191 19 9.9% −41.50

2m1f – 2m4f 147 4 2.7% −90.38

2m5f – 3m 146 10 6.8% +19.00

Over 3m 42 4 9.5% −13.25

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2011 21 0 0% −21.00

2012 21 1 4.8% −16.00

2013 22 2 9.1% +9.00

2014 35 2 5.7% −21.50

2015 85 7 8.2% −39.38

2016 61 3 4.9% +58.00

2017 81 4 4.9% −36.50

2018 96 8 8.3% −23.50

2019 116 4 3.4% −56.00

2020 124 14 11.3% −18.17

2021 167 22 13.2% −4.13

2022 199 10 5% −62.97

2023 196 15 7.7% −97.92

2024 255 22 8.6% −37.28

2025 300 26 8.7% −137.37

2026 276 25 9.1% −95.59

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 1,756 149 8.5% −409.74

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

11-13 runners 770 63 8.2% −117.25

8-10 runners 752 56 7.4% −352.56

5-7 runners 290 31 10.7% −139.00

14-16 runners 202 11 5.4% +13.50

17+ runners 27 1 3.7% −18.50

2-4 runners 14 3 21.4% +13.50

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Kenstone (FR)from David Dennis 72 9 30 7 Jan 25

Blue Hero (CAN)from Michael Appleby 60 11 17 19 Oct 26

Ravenglass (IRE)from Richard Fahey 51 3 16 13 Oct 26

Diamondsinthesand (IRE)from John O'Shea 49 5 19 27 Aug 26

Pessoa (GB)from John Joseph Murphy 44 7 19 27 Apr 26

Flatley (GB) 44 5 10 13 Dec 25

Creek Harbour (IRE)from Milton Bradley 37 4 7 14 Mar 23

Wiff Waff (GB)from Chris Gordon 35 3 10 16 Sep 23

Tawaafoq (GB)from Mick Quinn 35 5 9 21 Dec 22

Aces Wild (IRE)from Thomas Gallagher 34 7 17 29 Sep 26

Savalas (IRE)from Geoffrey Harker 33 4 7 22 Sep 25

Plansina (GB)from Tom Symonds 33 7 15 6 Jul 22

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 211 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 12 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 55 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from David Dennis (3) and Mark Loughnane (3); 5 had their first archived run for this yard.

6 have since run for another yard; 54 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

1 from 14

Only 14 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

539812713128457

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderFinley Marsh

26% of all rides
11.8% SR · A/E 1.16

RiderRWSR£1

Finley Marsh 541 64 11.8% −54.81

Tyler Heard 125 11 8.8% −42.60

Ben Poste 123 3 2.4% +8.50

Hollie Doyle 97 8 8.2% −19.50

Taryn Langley 80 9 11.3% −5.25

David Probert 75 9 12% −15.26

Joe Leavy 75 7 9.3% −15.67

Billy Loughnane 44 6 13.6% −2.17

David Noonan 41 2 4.9% −32.38

Gina Mangan 37 2 5.4% −17.50

Richard Johnson 37 1 2.7% −32.00

Aidan Coleman 36 5 13.9% −6.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2007→

165

Archived wins

£1.17m

Prize money

2025

Best season · 26 wins

This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Vaunted (GB) — Betting.Bet Horse Racing Odds Bath Summer Sprint Series Final Handicap Bath · Sep 2024 · Class 2

£15,462

Kenstone (FR) — Boodles Roodee Challenge Cup Polo September Handicap Chester · Aug 2017 · Class 3

£12,450

Aces Wild (IRE) — Halliwell Jones Handicap (Div 1) Chester · Jul 2025 · Class 5

£7,731

Notable horses

Blue Hero (CAN) Kenstone (FR) Pessoa (GB) Aces Wild (IRE) Plansina (GB) Seaforth (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Kendargent (FR) 12.1% · 14–116

Progeny have won 9.6% of 5,233 runs since 2008 (580 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.9% from 254.

Dandy Man (IRE) 9.4% · 9–96

Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,957 runs since 2008 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 170.

Air Force Blue (USA) 16.7% · 12–72

Progeny have won 7.6% of 315 runs since 2008 (26 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 3.6% from 111.

Footstepsinthesand (GB) 7.4% · 5–68

Progeny have won 10.2% of 12,802 runs since 2008 (937 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.9% from 320.

Ardad (IRE) 15.2% · 10–66

Progeny have won 8.7% of 3,535 runs since 2008 (351 horses).

Kodiac (GB) 9.1% · 6–66

Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,580 runs since 2008 (1,665 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 254.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 31 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,057 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,057 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 28 March 2007 to 29 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

29 Oct 26 Bath Legendsoftheland (IRE)J: Finley Marsh Mj Church Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Soft · 15 ran 9th 100/30F

29 Oct 26 Bath Blue Point Express (IRE)J: Finley Marsh Bristol Motor Club Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5.5f · Soft · 16 ran 11th 20/1

29 Oct 26 Bath Gelato (IRE)J: Taryn Langley Oakenson Ltd Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5.5f · Soft · 12 ran 4th 20/1

29 Oct 26 Bath Don't Tempt Harry (GB)J: Finley Marsh David Cole Memorial EBF Novice Stakes (Div I) (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 8f · Soft · 12 ran 11th 66/1

27 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Ten Club (IRE)J: Finley Marsh AW Trials Day - Lingfield 2nd Jan 2027 Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 9th 22/1

27 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Dappled Light (GB)J: Molly Keegan-Price All Weather Championship Is Back "Hands And Heels" Apprentice Handicap Stakes (Part Of The Racing Excellence Series)Class 6 · 8.5f · Standard · 10 ran 7th 18/1

26 Oct 26 Leicester Revich (IRE)J: Harry Davies Fireworks Festival Here Saturday 7th November Handicap StakesClass 6 · 10f · Soft · 16 ran 11th 20/1

26 Oct 26 Leicester Elora Prince (IRE)J: Finley Marsh Fireworks Festival Here Saturday 7th November Handicap StakesClass 6 · 10f · Soft · 16 ran 1st 16/1

21 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Manhattan Mirage (IRE)J: Luke Morris Unibet 3 Uniboosts A Day Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 10 ran 9th 33/1

21 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Marlborough Place (IRE)J: Taryn Langley Unibet More Extra Place Races Handicap Stakes (London Sprint Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 6f · Standard / Slow · 12 ran 2nd 25/1

19 Oct 26 Bath Blue Hero (CAN)J: Joe Leavy Elite Racing Club Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 8f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 10th 8/1

19 Oct 26 Bath Redhot Whisper (IRE)J: Finley Marsh Elite Racing Club Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 8f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 9th 4/1

19 Oct 26 Bath Blue Point Express (IRE)J: Joe Leavy Elite Racing Club Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 8f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 10th 33/1

19 Oct 26 Bath Mooretown Lad (IRE)J: Jack Callan Elite Racing Club Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 8f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 2nd 22/1

14 Oct 26 Nottingham Legendsoftheland (IRE)J: Joe Leavy Racedays For £9 At Nottingham Racecourse Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 4th 11/4F

13 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Yokkell (IRE)J: Harry Davies Cavani Raceday Style Handicap StakesClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 11 ran 8th 40/1

13 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Ravenglass (IRE)J: Ashley Lewis Download The Raceday Ready App Apprentice Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 7th 14/1

13 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Havana Club (GB)J: Donagh Murphy Download The Raceday Ready App Apprentice Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 3rd 11/1

13 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Uncle Albert (IRE)J: Taryn Langley Download The Raceday Ready App Apprentice Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 9th 40/1

08 Oct 26 Bath Eutropia (GB)J: Edward Greatrex Find My Hospitality Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 5 · 10f · Good · 8 ran 7th 7/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 8 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 4 runs (won 0) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 3 runs (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 5 runs (won 0) · to 29 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Adrian Wintle's strike rate?: Adrian Wintle has won 165 of 2,055 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8% (as at 31 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Adrian Wintle do best at?: Bath by strike rate: 42 wins from 296 runners (14.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Adrian Wintle?: Finley Marsh, with 541 runners since 2008 — 26% of the total. That pairing has won 64 (11.8%).
Is Adrian Wintle in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 14 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Adrian Wintle's Fair A/E?: 0.95, from 2,044 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.