What is Ed de Giles's strike rate?

Ed de Giles has won 254 of 2,537 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 10% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Ed de Giles do best at?

Chepstow by strike rate: 22 wins from 131 runners (16.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Ed de Giles?

Callum Shepherd, with 224 runners since 2008 — 9% of the total. That pairing has won 25 (11.2%).

Is Ed de Giles in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Ed de Giles's Fair A/E?

1.05, from 2,521 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Ed de Giles

2,537 runners in the lifetime window · 170 individual horses

As at 5 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 4 days ago 94% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2011→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

254–2,537

Wins / Runs

10%

Strike rate

n=2,537

688 (27%)

Placed

1.05

Fair A/E

n=2,521 · 0.89 incl. margin

−648.36

£1 level stake

n=2,537 at SP · −25.6%

£1.97m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

2.4%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 130 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 10% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.05).

Deterministic profile computed from 2,537 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 5 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Dec–Mar 29.1% when favourite Callum Shepherd: 11.2% from 224 New recruits: 10.4% Sends off the favourite in 8% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Chepstow (16.8%, n=131), clear of the yard's 10% baseline. Debutants struggle at 3.2% (n=93, Fair A/E 1.02). Callum Shepherd rides 9% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (11.2%, A/E 1.22) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well on Firm going (22.9%, n=48) and off a 0-7-day break (18.1%, n=138). One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the William Hill Scottish Sprint Cup at Musselburgh (Jun 2013, £43,575). The stable star of the record: Treacherous (GB) — 15 wins from 100 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Dec–Mar.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

8.7%−1.3

n=345 · A/E 1.16 · £1 −23.75

New recruits · first run for the yard

10.4%+0.4

n=77 · A/E 1.14 · £1 +0.00

Debutants · first career start

3.2%−6.8

n=93 · A/E 1.02 · £1 −33.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

8%−2.0

n=75 · A/E 0.98 · £1 +7.75

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

11%+1.0

n=73 · A/E 1.45 · £1 +37.83

When favourite

29.1%

n=206 · A/E 1.09 · £1 −14.85

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

8.5%−1.5

n=624 · A/E 0.92 · £1 −179.48

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

4.8%−5.2

n=21 · A/E 0.82 · £1 +30.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On Firm going 22.9% vs 10% · n=48

With Shane Gray 24.2% vs 10% · n=33

On last-time-out winners 18.7% vs 10% · n=251

With Jim Crowley 21.1% vs 10% · n=57

Off a 0-7-day break 18.1% vs 10% · n=138

At Chepstow 16.8% vs 10% · n=131

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 2,397 241 10.1% −622.24

Hurdle 88 6 6.8% −40.50

Chase 33 5 15.2% +1.38

NH Flat 19 2 10.5% +13.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 941 84 8.9% −388.10

Good 514 46 8.9% −127.93

Good to Firm 476 67 14.1% −10.03

Good to Soft 272 21 7.7% −151.68

Soft 229 21 9.2% −33.25

Heavy 57 4 7% +20.00

Firm 48 11 22.9% +42.63

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Kempton (AW) 351 31 8.8% −152.14

Wolverhampton (AW) 269 26 9.7% −76.42

Bath 151 22 14.6% +9.08

Lingfield (AW) 146 15 10.3% −62.67

Windsor 132 14 10.6% −21.92

Chepstow 131 22 16.8% +28.12

Nottingham 99 12 12.1% −0.18

Ffos Las 98 9 9.2% −54.05

Newbury 74 5 6.8% −7.50

Salisbury 69 8 11.6% −2.00

Chelmsford (AW) 65 6 9.2% −28.50

Southwell (AW) 63 4 6.3% −36.87

Haydock 63 5 7.9% −1.05

Doncaster 61 4 6.6% −29.50

Brighton 58 5 8.6% −16.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 854 92 10.8% −227.71

Class 6 800 86 10.8% −135.50

Class 4 551 57 10.3% −191.56

Class 3 158 9 5.7% −77.09

Class 2 118 5 4.2% −42.50

Class 7 23 4 17.4% +8.00

Class 1 22 1 4.5% +29.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 250 68 27.2% 1.06 −19.60

2nd–3rd fav 527 96 18.2% 1.14 −38.76

4th–6th fav 781 65 8.3% 1.03 −136.00

7th+ in betting 979 25 2.6% 0.80 −454.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

6f – 7f 753 68 9% −271.48

1m – 1m1f 656 60 9.1% −219.57

1m2f – 1m4f 568 56 9.9% −176.22

1m5f – 2m 313 39 12.5% +46.45

Under 6f 200 27 13.5% −8.79

2m1f – 2m4f 40 4 10% −11.75

2m5f – 3m 6 0 0% −6.00

Over 3m 1 0 0% −1.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2011 141 13 9.2% −24.37

2012 160 13 8.1% −92.62

2013 158 19 12% −17.77

2014 176 27 15.3% −35.84

2015 203 26 12.8% −13.13

2016 206 31 15% +20.40

2017 218 23 10.6% −31.12

2018 207 18 8.7% −50.75

2019 167 15 9% −20.25

2020 126 12 9.5% −39.16

2021 149 14 9.4% −52.75

2022 143 11 7.7% −61.68

2023 172 10 5.8% −76.43

2024 90 11 12.2% −14.59

2025 139 9 6.5% −65.92

2026 82 2 2.4% −72.38

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 2,074 233 11.2% −403.08

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 898 97 10.8% −151.24

11-13 runners 873 54 6.2% −406.87

5-7 runners 398 74 18.6% −5.11

14-16 runners 273 20 7.3% −83.75

17+ runners 67 5 7.5% +15.00

2-4 runners 28 4 14.3% −16.39

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Treacherous (GB) 100 15 37 10 Dec 25

Zlatan (IRE) 74 5 24 13 Oct 22

Croquembouche (IRE)from Sir Michael Stoute 60 9 19 16 Sep 18

Swanton Blue (IRE) 56 5 17 10 Feb 21

Chifa (IRE) 53 9 19 14 Jun 26

Racing Demon (GB) 51 5 19 21 Aug 26

Wind In My Sails (GB) 48 6 13 1 Jun 21

Overhaugh Street (GB)from Keith Dalgleish 47 7 13 12 Oct 22

Trojan Truth (GB) 46 7 15 1 Nov 26

Go Nani Go (GB)from Bryan Smart 43 5 13 13 Oct 16

Fitzrovia (GB)then Deborah Faulkner 42 6 10 15 May 23

Quantum Dot (IRE)from Lisa Williamson 42 9 9 26 Jul 19

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 170 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 15 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 20 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Sir Michael Stoute (2); 40 had their first archived run for this yard.

14 have since run for another yard; 46 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 3

Only 3 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

1114139131391078812

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderCallum Shepherd

9% of all rides
11.2% SR · A/E 1.22

RiderRWSR£1

Callum Shepherd 224 25 11.2% −13.25

Liam Keniry 201 23 11.4% −49.24

Pat Cosgrave 170 16 9.4% −37.67

Trevor Whelan 108 13 12% −19.38

Luke Morris 78 5 6.4% −55.80

Kieran O'Neill 65 8 12.3% +19.50

William Cox 62 2 3.2% −44.00

Frederik Tylicki 57 8 14% −20.75

Jim Crowley 57 12 21.1% −5.63

David Probert 54 6 11.1% −23.75

Oisin Murphy 51 8 15.7% −13.54

Felix De Giles 48 5 10.4% −13.62

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2011→

254

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£1.97m

Prize money

2016

Best season · 31 wins

Kingsgate Choice (IRE) — William Hill Scottish Sprint Cup (Handicap) Musselburgh · Jun 2013 · Class 2

£43,575

Kingsgate Choice (IRE) — 32Red.com Sprint (Handicap) York · May 2013 · Class 2

£31,125

Frosty Berry (GB) — totepool EBF Stallions Barry Hills Further Flight Stakes (Listed) Nottingham · Apr 2016 · Listed

£22,684

Notable horses

Treacherous (GB) Croquembouche (IRE) Chifa (IRE) Quantum Dot (IRE) Akavit (IRE) Overhaugh Street (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Kodiac (GB) 12.9% · 18–140

Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,595 runs since 2010 (1,666 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 254.

Paco Boy (IRE) 12.6% · 17–135

Progeny have won 9.2% of 3,450 runs since 2014 (269 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 3.9% from 103.

Dark Angel (IRE) 8.3% · 8–96

Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,934 runs since 2011 (1,595 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.

Kyllachy (GB) 10.5% · 9–86

Progeny have won 9.9% of 13,847 runs since 2008 (800 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.8% from 468.

Cape Cross (IRE) 12.2% · 9–74

Progeny have won 13.3% of 12,754 runs since 2008 (988 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 8.4% from 477. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.8% from 230.

Poet's Voice (GB) 8.8% · 6–68

Progeny have won 10% of 6,046 runs since 2015 (384 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 13.3% from 264. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13% from 494. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.3% from 142.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 5 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,537 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,537 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 6 January 2011 to 1 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

01 Nov 26 Huntingdon Trojan Truth (GB)J: Philip Armson CopyBet For Football Profit Boosts Novices' Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 10 ran 6th 125/1

29 Oct 26 Stratford Fancymeetinguhere (GB)J: David Bass Charlotte Cole And Becky Rowland Memorial Fillies' "Junior" National Hunt Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 9th 12/1

27 Oct 26 Catterick Two Plus Two (IRE)J: Dylan Hogan Bet At racingtv.com Handicap StakesClass 6 · 16f · Soft · 12 ran 8th 14/1

12 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Two Plus Two (IRE)J: Rossa Ryan Try Unibet's New Improved Acca Boosts Handicap Stakes (London Stayers' Series Qualifier)Class 6 · 16f · Standard / Slow · 9 ran 5th 6/1

01 Oct 26 Nottingham Lady Lauren (IRE)J: Gina Mangan Watch Racing TV Handicap StakesClass 6 · 18f · Good · 10 ran 7th 66/1

29 Sep 26 Bath Two Plus Two (IRE)J: Rossa Ryan Mj Church Handicap StakesClass 5 · 13f · Good To Firm · 13 ran 7th 8/1

28 Sep 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Trojan Truth (GB)J: Luke Morris Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap StakesClass 6 · 14f · Standard · 10 ran 6th 15/2

21 Sep 26 Ffos Las Counting Cards (GB)J: Tom Marquand BETTING.BET Play Champion Tipster Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Soft · 7 ran 7th 22/1

18 Sep 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Trojan Truth (GB)J: Luke Morris Dave Hill, Mental Health Ambassador Handicap StakesClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 7 ran 5th 8/1

17 Sep 26 Southwell (AW) Mad Jack (IRE)J: Luke Morris Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (EBF Restricted Race Qualifier) (Div I) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 10th 200/1

13 Sep 26 Bath Two Plus Two (IRE)J: Darragh Keenan Loud Hire Staging Hire Bath Summer Stayers' Series Final Handicap Stakes (Series Final - Qualified Horses Only) (GBBPlus Race)Class 2 · 14f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 9th 25/1

03 Sep 26 Salisbury Mad Jack (IRE)J: David Egan Al Basti Equiworld, Dubai Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands A, B, C And D) (Div II) (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 8f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 8th 150/1

02 Sep 26 Bath Trojan Truth (GB)J: Luke Morris Compare Betting Sites At gambling.com Handicap StakesClass 6 · 11.5f · Good · 6 ran 3rd 18/1

02 Sep 26 Bath Lady Lauren (IRE)J: Gina Mangan Bath Country Race Day, Running 9 Till 5 Handicap StakesClass 6 · 14f · Good · 10 ran 8th 50/1

21 Aug 26 Ffos Las Beau Chevalier (GB)J: Rose Dawes Ascona Ladies Race Day Elegance Handicap StakesClass 6 · 12f · Good · 10 ran 10th 150/1

21 Aug 26 Ffos Las Racing Demon (GB)J: Luke Morris Ascona Fabulous Ladies Classified StakesClass 6 · 10f · Good · 10 ran 9th 5/1

18 Aug 26 Chepstow Counting Cards (GB)J: Ashley Lewis Trade Centre Wales Handicap Stakes (Chepstow Mile Series Qualifier)Class 6 · 8f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 7th 80/1

17 Aug 26 Windsor Trojan Truth (GB)J: Owen Lewis Matchbook Handicap StakesClass 6 · 11.5f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 5th 10/1

15 Aug 26 Ripon Mad Jack (IRE)J: Jason Watson Juddmonte EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (EBF Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 2 · 8f · Good · 13 ran 8th 28/1

10 Aug 26 Windsor Dayna (IRE)J: Clifford Lee Fitzdares Restricted Maiden Fillies' Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 8f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 7th 125/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Ed de Giles's strike rate?: Ed de Giles has won 254 of 2,537 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 10% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Ed de Giles do best at?: Chepstow by strike rate: 22 wins from 131 runners (16.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Ed de Giles?: Callum Shepherd, with 224 runners since 2008 — 9% of the total. That pairing has won 25 (11.2%).
Is Ed de Giles in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Ed de Giles's Fair A/E?: 1.05, from 2,521 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.