John Gallagher
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 130 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 8% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.01). With a claiming rider up the record reads 11% (662 runs).
The record is strongest at Brighton (14.6%, n=369) and Epsom (16.4%, n=61) — all clear of the yard's 8.4% baseline. In Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 0% (n=47, Fair A/E 0.00). Runners with a claiming rider up are the standout value angle: 10.9% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.24 and +253.43 to a £1 stake over 662 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. The market has consistently overbet debutants: 0.8% strike, Fair A/E 0.34 and −109.00 to a £1 stake over 118 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Darragh Keenan rides 8% of the entries and edges the yard's average (10.5% vs 8.4%, A/E 1.17) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The record reads poorly in Class 1 — 0% over 47 runners, 8.4pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: Rivas Rob Roy (GB) — 12 wins from 103 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jan–Feb.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 8.4% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 2,870 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 2,870 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 4 January 2005 to 29 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is John Gallagher's strike rate?
- John Gallagher has won 207 of 2,479 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.4% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does John Gallagher do best at?
- Epsom by strike rate: 10 wins from 61 runners (16.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for John Gallagher?
- Darragh Keenan, with 191 runners since 2008 — 8% of the total. That pairing has won 20 (10.5%).
- Is John Gallagher in form?
- Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is John Gallagher's Fair A/E?
- 1.01, from 2,465 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.