What is Grace Harris's strike rate?

Grace Harris has won 173 of 2,308 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.5% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Grace Harris do best at?

Newton Abbot by strike rate: 7 wins from 44 runners (15.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Grace Harris?

Conor Ring, with 198 runners since 2008 — 9% of the total. That pairing has won 14 (7.1%).

Is Grace Harris in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 10 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Grace Harris's Fair A/E?

0.94, from 2,297 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Grace Harris

2,308 runners in the lifetime window · 172 individual horses

As at 5 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 5.7% of 331 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 5 Nov 2026.

Runners today

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2011→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

173–2,308

Wins / Runs

7.5%

Strike rate

n=2,308

524 (23%)

Placed

0.94

Fair A/E

n=2,297 · 0.81 incl. margin

−732.28

£1 level stake

n=2,308 at SP · −31.7%

£1.45m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

12.7%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 120 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 8% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.94).

Deterministic profile computed from 2,308 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 5 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires May–Jul 27.4% when favourite Conor Ring: 7.1% from 198 Claiming riders: 8.5% Sends off the favourite in 5% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Newton Abbot (15.9%, n=44) and Stratford (16.2%, n=37) — all clear of the yard's 7.5% baseline. Debutants struggle at 0% (n=48, Fair A/E 0.00). Horses returning fresh after 61+ days are the standout value angle: 5.9% strikes only just below baseline, but Fair A/E 1.21 and +50.75 to a £1 stake over 271 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Conor Ring rides 9% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (7.1%, A/E 0.93). The yard also reads well off a 0-7-day break (14.9%, n=168) and in Chase races (15.2%, n=132). The stable star of the record: Connie's Rose (GB) — 11 wins from 78 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires May–Jul.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.5% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

5.9%−1.6

n=271 · A/E 1.21 · £1 +50.75

New recruits · first run for the yard

5.6%−1.9

n=126 · A/E 1.07 · £1 −26.67

Debutants · first career start

0%−7.5

n=48 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −48.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

6.4%−1.1

n=47 · A/E 1.14 · £1 −31.17

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

4.9%−2.6

n=61 · A/E 0.89 · £1 +42.50

When favourite

27.4%

n=106 · A/E 1.03 · £1 −11.26

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

8.5%+1.0

n=866 · A/E 1.05 · £1 −239.12

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−7.5

n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Joe Anderson 17.8% vs 7.5% · n=90

Off a 0-7-day break 14.9% vs 7.5% · n=168

In Chase races 15.2% vs 7.5% · n=132

With Rossa Ryan 14.1% vs 7.5% · n=128

At Newton Abbot 15.9% vs 7.5% · n=44

At Stratford 16.2% vs 7.5% · n=37

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 1,583 112 7.1% −528.77

Hurdle 562 40 7.1% −232.45

Chase 132 20 15.2% +18.94

NH Flat 31 1 3.2% +10.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 619 48 7.8% −245.70

Standard (AW) 473 29 6.1% −140.92

Good to Firm 394 37 9.4% −8.20

Good to Soft 350 26 7.4% −143.49

Soft 256 13 5.1% −107.25

Heavy 128 10 7.8% −46.42

Firm 88 10 11.4% −40.30

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Chepstow 457 42 9.2% −99.80

Bath 320 29 9.1% −97.05

Wolverhampton (AW) 278 16 5.8% −69.25

Ffos Las 168 15 8.9% −90.57

Kempton (AW) 108 6 5.6% −46.17

Windsor 79 1 1.3% −74.50

Taunton 68 3 4.4% −41.00

Salisbury 63 2 3.2% −53.00

Lingfield (AW) 53 7 13.2% +8.50

Exeter 51 4 7.8% −27.75

Uttoxeter 46 4 8.7% −14.00

Warwick 44 2 4.5% −26.00

Newton Abbot 44 7 15.9% +1.59

Leicester 43 3 7% −8.00

Hereford 42 2 4.8% −33.25

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 985 77 7.8% −360.01

Class 5 739 57 7.7% −192.57

Class 4 467 35 7.5% −129.61

Class 3 62 3 4.8% −21.09

Class 2 36 0 0% −36.00

Class 1 9 0 0% −9.00

Class 7 7 1 14.3% +19.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 146 37 25.3% 1.03 −17.26

2nd–3rd fav 359 63 17.5% 1.03 −27.52

4th–6th fav 699 50 7.2% 0.91 −194.50

7th+ in betting 1,104 23 2.1% 0.72 −493.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

6f – 7f 612 43 7% −249.84

Under 6f 418 37 8.9% −124.26

1m – 1m1f 313 21 6.7% −47.67

1m5f – 2m 258 10 3.9% −126.75

2m5f – 3m 248 28 11.3% −30.73

2m1f – 2m4f 223 19 8.5% −60.67

1m2f – 1m4f 196 10 5.1% −69.50

Over 3m 40 5 12.5% −22.86

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2011 1 0 0% −1.00

2012 1 0 0% −1.00

2014 63 3 4.8% −41.50

2015 92 9 9.8% −8.25

2016 156 5 3.2% −105.00

2017 155 9 5.8% −46.67

2018 117 10 8.5% +15.25

2019 192 13 6.8% −70.09

2020 142 8 5.6% −41.17

2021 163 9 5.5% −71.26

2022 176 7 4% −142.92

2023 228 21 9.2% −62.10

2024 237 18 7.6% −72.29

2025 301 25 8.3% −78.87

2026 284 36 12.7% −5.41

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 1,971 162 8.2% −526.86

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 796 66 8.3% −245.66

11-13 runners 736 44 6% −133.59

5-7 runners 443 43 9.7% −208.00

14-16 runners 246 11 4.5% −102.25

17+ runners 57 1 1.8% −40.00

2-4 runners 30 8 26.7% −2.78

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Connie's Rose (GB)from William Jarvis 78 11 34 29 Oct 26

Sisters In The Sky (GB)from Roger Teal 75 7 20 5 Oct 26

Karakoram (GB)from William Muir 68 6 22 24 Oct 24

Grams And Ounces (GB)from Adrian Wintle 65 7 21 21 Jul 20

Living Leader (GB)from Nick Littmoden 60 7 17 6 Sep 18

Savannah Smiles (IRE)from Tom Ward 57 7 20 29 Oct 26

The Cola Kid (GB)from Alice Haynes 55 4 14 6 Jan 26

Tally's Son (GB)then Neil Mulholland 47 1 2 2 Dec 21

Air Of York (IRE)from John Flint 45 2 7 19 Apr 22

Tally's Song (GB)from Milton Bradley 45 0 2 17 Aug 19

So Smart (IRE)from David Evans 43 5 10 14 Sep 26

Diminutive (IRE)from Jamie Osborne 43 1 10 17 Sep 17

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 172 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 13 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 47 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Adrian Wintle (2) and Alice Haynes (2); 13 had their first archived run for this yard.

7 have since run for another yard, most often for Robert Stephens (2); 53 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

2 from 10

Only 10 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

61075119976965

Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderConor Ring

9% of all rides
7.1% SR · A/E 0.93

RiderRWSR£1

Conor Ring 198 14 7.1% −58.81

Kieran O'Neill 142 9 6.3% −46.17

Rossa Ryan 128 18 14.1% +33.25

Callum Hutchinson 98 8 8.2% −46.17

Ray Dawson 90 12 13.3% −19.00

Joe Anderson 90 16 17.8% +55.75

Ben Jones 81 11 13.6% −34.65

Luke Morris 61 2 3.3% −43.67

Stevie Donohoe 58 2 3.4% −38.00

Ashley Lewis 56 6 10.7% +9.00

Finley Marsh 52 5 9.6% +39.50

Trevor Whelan 40 0 0% −40.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2011→

173

Archived wins

£1.45m

Prize money

2026

Best season · 36 wins

Exclamation (IRE) — Irish Thoroughbred Marketing Handicap Chester · May 2026 · Class 3

£15,462

So Smart (IRE) — William Hill More Top Prices Handicap Lingfield · May 2025 · Class 5

£11,515

Field Exhibition (IRE) — Sri Lanka Paradise Island Mares' Handicap Chase Hereford · Oct 2019 · Class 3

£9,634

Notable horses

Connie's Rose (GB) Sisters In The Sky (GB) Grams And Ounces (GB) Living Leader (GB) Savannah Smiles (IRE) Karakoram (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Adaay (IRE) 13.7% · 17–124

Progeny have won 9.1% of 2,968 runs since 2020 (192 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 6% from 499.

Showcasing (GB) 7% · 8–115

Progeny have won 10.2% of 11,640 runs since 2014 (998 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.5% from 109.

Dandy Man (IRE) 10.1% · 10–99

Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,978 runs since 2013 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 170.

Royal Applause (GB) 9% · 7–78

Progeny have won 8.6% of 12,434 runs since 2008 (774 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 3.4% from 323.

Excelebration (IRE) 8.8% · 6–68

Progeny have won 9% of 3,605 runs since 2016 (244 horses).

Oasis Dream (GB) 11.5% · 7–61

Progeny have won 11.8% of 18,034 runs since 2008 (1,511 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 17.3% from 150. Weakest on Heavy going: 8.5% from 484. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.1% from 791.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 5 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,308 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,308 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 4 May 2011 to 5 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

05 Nov 26 Chelmsford (AW) Nakaaha (GB)J: Rossa Ryan AWC Season 14 Has Begun Handicap StakesClass 4 · 7.5f · Standard · 11 ran 7th 10/1

02 Nov 26 Wolverhampton (AW) The Feminine Urge (IRE)J: Callum Shepherd Make The Move To Midnite Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 8th 18/1

02 Nov 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Macarone (GB)J: Ben Ffrench Davis Make The Move To Midnite Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 1st 11/4F

29 Oct 26 Stratford Maria's Double (GB)J: Joe Anderson Charlotte Cole And Becky Rowland Memorial Fillies' "Junior" National Hunt Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 7th 28/1

29 Oct 26 Bath Savannah Smiles (IRE)J: Callum Hutchinson Mj Church Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Soft · 15 ran 4th 50/1

29 Oct 26 Bath Connie's Rose (GB)J: Kieran O'Neill Mj Church Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Soft · 15 ran 1st 20/1

29 Oct 26 Bath Over Spiced (GB)J: Ashley Lewis Oakenson Ltd Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5.5f · Soft · 12 ran 6th 9/1

29 Oct 26 Stratford Maria's Joy (GB)J: Joe Anderson EBF And Charlie Longsdon Racing 'National Hunt' Novices' Hurdle Race (Qualifier) (Div II) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 9th 200/1

29 Oct 26 Stratford Vajra (IRE)J: Joe Anderson 4 X 4 Tyres Mares' Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 22f · Good To Soft · 9 ran PU 300/1

28 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Rating (IRE)J: Darragh Keenan Set Your Limits With Unibet Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 9 ran 7th 25/1

22 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Nakaaha (GB)J: Kevin Stott AWC Finals Day At Newcastle 26th March Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 11 ran 4th 16/1

21 Oct 26 Fontwell Inion Tiogair (IRE)J: Joe Anderson BETTING.BET Play Champion Tipster Mares' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 19f · Soft · 6 ran 3rd 11/2

19 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Pull The Rug (IRE)J: Ashley Lewis Book Now At wolverhampton-racecourse.co.uk Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Standard · 6 ran 4th 12/1

19 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Sheik Yerbouti (GB)J: Ashley Lewis Follow @attheraces On Instagram Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 11 ran 11th 15/2

19 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Savannah Smiles (IRE)J: Ashley Lewis Cavani Tailored Champion Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 13 ran 10th 25/1

19 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) The Feminine Urge (IRE)J: Seamus Cronin Cavani Tailored Champion Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 13 ran 7th 22/1

19 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Macarone (GB)J: Ben Ffrench Davis Cavani Tailored Champion Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 13 ran 1st 11/1

19 Oct 26 Bath Over Spiced (GB)J: Tom Marquand Big Stage Hire Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 1st 6/1

15 Oct 26 Brighton Who Is Alice (GB)J: George Bass Position Payout At bet365 Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Good · 13 ran 3rd 16/1

13 Oct 26 Hereford Canteeny Benny (IRE)J: Joe Anderson Betting.Bet Play Champion Tipster Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 25.5f · Good To Firm · 8 ran PU 28/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 6 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 2 runs (won 0) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 2 runs (won 1) · fastest on KTB Speed in 7 runs (won 0, 1 did not run) · to 29 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Grace Harris's strike rate?: Grace Harris has won 173 of 2,308 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.5% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Grace Harris do best at?: Newton Abbot by strike rate: 7 wins from 44 runners (15.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Grace Harris?: Conor Ring, with 198 runners since 2008 — 9% of the total. That pairing has won 14 (7.1%).
Is Grace Harris in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 10 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Grace Harris's Fair A/E?: 0.94, from 2,297 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.