What is Henry Spiller's strike rate?

Henry Spiller has won 98 of 1,184 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.3% (as at 7 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Henry Spiller do best at?

Newcastle (AW) by strike rate: 10 wins from 50 runners (20%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Henry Spiller?

Stevie Donohoe, with 74 runners since 2008 — 6% of the total. That pairing has won 8 (10.8%).

What is Henry Spiller's Fair A/E?

0.95, from 1,181 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Henry Spiller

1,184 runners in the lifetime window · 169 individual horses

As at 7 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Feb 2024 98% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2015→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

98–1,184

Wins / Runs

8.3%

Strike rate

n=1,184

295 (25%)

Placed

0.95

Fair A/E

n=1,181 · 0.81 incl. margin

−217.06

£1 level stake

n=1,184 at SP · −18.3%

£806k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 60 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 8% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.95). Horses with headgear back on after a bare run strike at 13% (53 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,184 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 7 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Nov–Mar 27.8% when favourite Stevie Donohoe: 10.8% from 74 New recruits: 11.3% Headgear returns: 13.2% Claiming riders: 9.7% Sends off the favourite in 6% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Newcastle (AW) (20%, n=50), clear of the yard's 8.3% baseline. It is weakest at Southwell (AW) (0% over 36 runners) — the widest gap in the record. A horse having headgear put back on after a bare run has been a positive signal at 13.2% (n=53, Fair A/E 1.57), but debutants struggle at 3.9% (n=102, Fair A/E 1.08). Runners with a claiming rider up are the standout value angle: 9.7% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.17 and +52.21 to a £1 stake over 318 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Stevie Donohoe rides 6% of the entries and edges the yard's average (10.8% vs 8.3%, A/E 1.22) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well off a 0-7-day break (21.2%, n=33). The record reads poorly on Good to Firm going — 3% over 169 runners, 5.3pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: Herringswell (FR) — 6 wins from 25 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Nov–Mar.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.3% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

7.1%−1.2

n=183 · A/E 1.00 · £1 +29.85

New recruits · first run for the yard

11.3%+3.0

n=71 · A/E 1.57 · £1 −6.50

Debutants · first career start

3.9%−4.4

n=102 · A/E 1.08 · £1 −57.20

First-time headgear · true-first definition

4.5%−3.8

n=66 · A/E 0.74 · £1 −45.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

13.2%+4.9

n=53 · A/E 1.57 · £1 +80.50

When favourite

27.8%

n=72 · A/E 0.98 · £1 −11.87

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

9.7%+1.4

n=318 · A/E 1.17 · £1 +52.21

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−8.3

n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Newcastle (AW) 20% vs 8.3% · n=50

Off a 0-7-day break 21.2% vs 8.3% · n=33

On last-time-out winners 16.9% vs 8.3% · n=83

At Southwell (AW) 0% vs 8.3% · n=36

On Good to Firm going 3% vs 8.3% · n=169

With Christian Howarth 14.8% vs 8.3% · n=54

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 1,161 97 8.4% −199.06

Hurdle 17 1 5.9% −12.00

NH Flat 6 0 0% −6.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 771 76 9.9% −33.47

Good to Firm 169 5 3% −134.47

Good 103 9 8.7% −21.12

Good to Soft 74 4 5.4% +9.00

Soft 48 3 6.3% −25.00

Heavy 15 1 6.7% −8.00

Firm 4 0 0% −4.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Chelmsford City (AW) 342 41 12% +69.33

Kempton (AW) 132 9 6.8% −82.40

Wolverhampton (AW) 124 8 6.5% −35.00

Yarmouth 102 12 11.8% +21.41

Lingfield (AW) 72 6 8.3% −21.50

Newmarket 56 3 5.4% −24.00

Newcastle (AW) 50 10 20% +78.50

Southwell (AW) 36 0 0% −36.00

Newmarket 28 0 0% −28.00

Leicester 28 1 3.6% +6.00

Lingfield 16 0 0% −16.00

Brighton 16 0 0% −16.00

Nottingham 15 0 0% −15.00

Windsor 13 0 0% −13.00

Bath 12 0 0% −12.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 523 50 9.6% +9.26

Class 5 372 30 8.1% −84.00

Class 4 184 12 6.5% −83.22

Class 3 25 1 4% −20.00

Class 2 20 1 5% −9.00

Class 7 10 1 10% +1.00

Class 1 7 0 0% −7.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 88 23 26.1% 0.99 −14.87

2nd–3rd fav 198 30 15.2% 0.91 −22.99

4th–6th fav 390 28 7.2% 0.92 −96.20

7th+ in betting 508 17 3.3% 1.04 −83.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Irish Times (GB) 43 5 12 14 Aug 22

Royal Mezyan (IRE)from William Haggas 42 3 9 3 Oct 19

The Third Man (GB)from John Gosden 27 1 4 31 May 19

Parknacilla (IRE) 26 2 9 17 Feb 21

Herringswell (FR) 25 6 8 28 Dec 20

Legende D'art (IRE)from H-F Devin 24 3 10 13 Jan 24

Crack Regiment (FR)from H-F Devin 23 2 7 13 Dec 23

Picture Poet (IRE) 22 0 4 20 Feb 20

Expert Opinion (GB)from Andrew Balding · then Michael Appleby 20 2 9 3 Aug 22

Rochford (IRE) 20 2 5 18 Mar 21

Chakrii (IRE) 20 1 6 26 Oct 19

Mcqueen (IRE)from Mark Loughnane 19 3 9 21 Jun 23

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 169 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 7 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 32 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Richard Hannon (3) and Willie Musson (3); 28 had their first archived run for this yard.

23 have since run for another yard, most often for E Libaud (3) and Michael Appleby (2); 37 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

1012113678678159

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderStevie Donohoe

6% of all rides
10.8% SR · A/E 1.22

RiderRWSR£1

Stevie Donohoe 74 8 10.8% −33.50

Ray Dawson 72 6 8.3% −25.17

Hayley Turner 61 5 8.2% +14.45

Christian Howarth 54 8 14.8% +87.25

Louis Steward 44 4 9.1% +8.75

Fran Berry 43 3 7% −10.00

Dylan Hogan 40 3 7.5% −18.00

Ben Curtis 36 3 8.3% +8.00

Jack Mitchell 30 2 6.7% −13.75

Cieren Fallon 30 2 6.7% −19.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2015→

Archived wins

£806k

Prize money

2021

Best season · 19 wins

Leader Writer (FR) — Weatherbys Handicap (Str) Ascot · Sep 2017 · Class 2

£18,675

Marinara (IRE) — Sky Bet Sunday Series Fillies' Handicap Sandown · Aug 2023 · Class 4

£18,039

Amy C (GB) — Prix de Saint-Valery (Maiden) (3yo Fillies) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack) Deauville (FR) · Mar 2021

£12,054

Notable horses

Herringswell (FR) Irish Times (GB) Royal Mezyan (IRE) Legende D'art (IRE) Mcqueen (IRE) Dark Design (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Mukhadram (GB) 7.6% · 5–66

Progeny have won 10.7% of 2,444 runs since 2018 (199 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.2% from 302.

Royal Applause (GB) 8.6% · 5–58

Progeny have won 8.6% of 12,434 runs since 2008 (774 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 3.4% from 323.

Swiss Spirit (GB) 10.9% · 5–46

Progeny have won 9.5% of 3,649 runs since 2017 (243 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 4.5% from 245. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 3.7% from 136.

Siyouni (FR) 10% · 4–40

Progeny have won 13% of 8,361 runs since 2014 (978 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 9.2% from 457.

Zoffany (IRE) 7.5% · 3–40

Progeny have won 9.9% of 10,780 runs since 2015 (799 horses).

Acclamation (GB) 7.9% · 3–38

Progeny have won 10% of 19,714 runs since 2008 (1,327 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15.2% from 151. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.7% from 195.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 7 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,184 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,184 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 24 January 2015 to 9 February 2024.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

09 Feb 24 Chelmsford City (AW) Bitcoin Profit (IRE)J: Jack Mitchell Betsi HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 6 ran 5th 10/3

13 Jan 24 Chelmsford City (AW) High Court Judge (USA)J: Ross Coakley Ccr HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 9 ran 9th 15/2

13 Jan 24 Chelmsford City (AW) Legende D'art (IRE)J: Jack Mitchell Ccr HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 9 ran 3rd 15/2

11 Jan 24 Chelmsford City (AW) Sirius White (IRE)J: Joe Leavy Ladies Day 2024 With Beverley Knight Apprentice HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 8 ran 6th 16/1

11 Jan 24 Southwell (AW) Bitcoin Profit (IRE)J: Rossa Ryan Win 2,000,000 With BetMGM's Golden Goals HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 2nd 6/1

10 Jan 24 Kempton (AW) Majorelle Blue (IRE)J: Jack Mitchell Unibet Extra Place Offers Every Day HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard To Slow · 11 ran 5th 10/3F

30 Dec 23 Wolverhampton (AW) High Court Judge (USA)J: Tommie Jakes Bet 10 Get 40 At BetMGM 'Hands And Heels' Apprentice HandicapClass 6 · 8.5f · Standard · 8 ran 3rd 12/1

21 Dec 23 Chelmsford City (AW) Legende D'art (IRE)J: Jack Mitchell Support The Injured Jockeys Fund Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 6f · Standard · 9 ran 6th 4/1

21 Dec 23 Chelmsford City (AW) Come On You Spurs (GB)J: Trevor Whelan Private Events At Chelmsford City Racecourse NurseryClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 3rd 7/1

21 Dec 23 Chelmsford City (AW) Majorelle Blue (IRE)J: Jack Mitchell EBF Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 2nd 11/2

21 Dec 23 Chelmsford City (AW) Bitcoin Profit (IRE)J: Rossa Ryan 2024 Membership Available Now NurseryClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 10 ran 6th 2/1F

14 Dec 23 Chelmsford City (AW) Burlington House (FR)J: Jack Mitchell EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 10f · Standard · 14 ran 6th 11/1

13 Dec 23 Kempton (AW) Kodias Sangarius (IRE)J: Harry Davies Unibet More Boosts In More Races Fillies' HandicapClass 4 · 6f · Standard To Slow · 10 ran 10th 16/1

13 Dec 23 Kempton (AW) Crack Regiment (FR)J: Jack Mitchell Alexander Bienz Kindred Spirit HandicapClass 4 · 7f · Standard To Slow · 11 ran 7th 10/1

13 Dec 23 Kempton (AW) Afterthought (GB)J: Jack Mitchell Racing TV Restricted Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 8f · Standard To Slow · 13 ran 10th 22/1

07 Dec 23 Chelmsford City (AW) Legende D'art (IRE)J: Ross Coakley Racing Welfare Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 2nd 11/2

07 Dec 23 Chelmsford City (AW) High Court Judge (USA)J: Ross Coakley Racing Welfare Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 7th 7/1

05 Dec 23 Wolverhampton (AW) Bitcoin Profit (IRE)J: Rossa Ryan Win 2,000,000 With BetMGM's Golden Goals NurseryClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 11 ran 3rd 9/1

04 Dec 23 Wolverhampton (AW) Sirius White (IRE)J: Trevor Whelan Stay Golden With BetMGM Safer Gambling Handicap (Rider Restricted Race) (Div 2)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 10th 9/2

25 Nov 23 Lingfield (AW) Victoria Grove (GB)J: Grace McEntee Best Racing Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Fillies' HandicapClass 4 · 8f · Standard · 7 ran 5th 11/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Henry Spiller's strike rate?: Henry Spiller has won 98 of 1,184 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.3% (as at 7 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Henry Spiller do best at?: Newcastle (AW) by strike rate: 10 wins from 50 runners (20%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Henry Spiller?: Stevie Donohoe, with 74 runners since 2008 — 6% of the total. That pairing has won 8 (10.8%).
What is Henry Spiller's Fair A/E?: 0.95, from 1,181 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.