What is Michael Appleby's strike rate?

Michael Appleby has won 1,318 of 11,784 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 11.2% (as at 2 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Michael Appleby do best at?

Nottingham by strike rate: 94 wins from 621 runners (15.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Michael Appleby?

Alistair Rawlinson, with 2,321 runners since 2008 — 20% of the total. That pairing has won 261 (11.2%).

Is Michael Appleby in form?

In the last 14 days: 21 runners, 5 winners, a strike rate of 23.8%. That is above the baseline of 11.2% since 2008.

What is Michael Appleby's Fair A/E?

1.00, from 11,729 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Michael Appleby

11,784 runners in the lifetime window · 984 individual horses

As at 2 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 5.4% of 594 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 2 Nov 2026.

In form — 5 winners last 14 days Last runner 3 days ago 97% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

1,318–11,784

Wins / Runs

11.2%

Strike rate

n=11,784

3,469 (29%)

Placed

1.00

Fair A/E

n=11,729 · 0.86 incl. margin

−2,135.76

£1 level stake

n=11,784 at SP · −18.1%

£15.0m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

11.8%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 620 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 11% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.00). New recruits from other yards win at 17% first time out (649 runs). The yard is in form now — 5 winners in the last fortnight, above its own baseline.

Deterministic profile computed from 11,784 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 2 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Dec–Mar 29.3% when favourite Alistair Rawlinson: 11.2% from 2,321 New recruits: 16.9% Sends off the favourite in 11% of races

The read

New recruits from other stables on their first run win at 16.9% (n=649, Fair A/E 1.36), but debutants struggle at 3.9% (n=337, Fair A/E 0.87). Right now the yard is firing: 5 winners from 21 runners in the last 14 days (23.8%, 12.6pts above the 11.2% baseline). Alistair Rawlinson rides 20% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (11.2%, A/E 0.99) — the market has that partnership priced right. The yard also reads well off a 0-7-day break (16.5%, n=1,300). The record reads poorly in NH Flat races — 2.4% over 85 runners, 8.8pts below the baseline. 21 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Betfair Sprint Cup Stakes at Haydock (Sep 2025, £242,152). The stable star of the record: The Lock Master (IRE) — 17 wins from 136 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Dec–Mar.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 11.2% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

9.4%−1.8

n=1,563 · A/E 1.06 · £1 −234.84

New recruits · first run for the yard

16.9%+5.7

n=649 · A/E 1.36 · £1 +296.44

Debutants · first career start

3.9%−7.3

n=337 · A/E 0.87 · £1 −160.67

First-time headgear · true-first definition

9.1%−2.1

n=309 · A/E 1.14 · £1 −24.80

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

9.8%−1.4

n=562 · A/E 0.99 · £1 +47.13

When favourite

29.3%

n=1,354 · A/E 0.99 · £1 −198.52

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

10.5%−0.7

n=3,355 · A/E 1.01 · £1 −553.87

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

10.6%−0.6

n=199 · A/E 1.05 · £1 −53.78

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 11.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Silvestre De Sousa 19.9% vs 11.2% · n=261

On last-time-out winners 17.3% vs 11.2% · n=1,296

With debutants 3.9% vs 11.2% · n=337

With Oisin Murphy 19.7% vs 11.2% · n=117

In NH Flat races 2.4% vs 11.2% · n=85

Off a 0-7-day break 16.5% vs 11.2% · n=1,300

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 11,381 1291 11.3% −2,017.00

Hurdle 294 23 7.8% −84.76

NH Flat 85 2 2.4% −25.00

Chase 24 2 8.3% −9.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 6,664 789 11.8% −1,539.48

Good to Firm 1,702 173 10.2% −303.90

Good 1,622 153 9.4% −126.17

Good to Soft 803 85 10.6% −121.60

Soft 765 89 11.6% −20.29

Heavy 179 22 12.3% −33.07

Firm 48 7 14.6% +9.75

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Southwell (AW) 1,982 272 13.7% −520.93

Wolverhampton 1,775 195 11% −337.79

Chelmsford (AW) 1,138 132 11.6% −310.19

Kempton (AW) 686 75 10.9% −165.03

Nottingham 621 94 15.1% +147.06

Lingfield (AW) 544 61 11.2% −135.31

Newcastle (AW) 537 54 10.1% −68.23

Doncaster 405 38 9.4% −38.65

Leicester 370 36 9.7% +19.52

Yarmouth 360 34 9.4% −91.15

Pontefract 218 21 9.6% −70.58

York 205 10 4.9% −126.68

Catterick 201 25 12.4% −5.29

Beverley 196 24 12.2% −32.84

Haydock 192 19 9.9% −62.17

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 3,612 419 11.6% −401.99

Class 6 3,560 407 11.4% −796.43

Class 4 2,367 258 10.9% −358.01

Class 3 1,017 120 11.8% −195.86

Class 2 945 83 8.8% −282.20

Class 1 200 21 10.5% −54.78

Class 7 74 9 12.2% −41.99

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 1,564 449 28.7% 1.01 −183.40

2nd–3rd fav 2,631 431 16.4% 1.00 −371.36

4th–6th fav 3,851 307 8% 0.98 −733.00

7th+ in betting 3,738 131 3.5% 1.01 −848.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

6f – 7f 4,376 505 11.5% −712.48

1m – 1m1f 2,684 289 10.8% −404.44

1m2f – 1m4f 2,070 208 10% −616.20

Under 6f 1,593 233 14.6% +14.59

1m5f – 2m 865 70 8.1% −315.73

2m1f – 2m4f 134 7 5.2% −82.00

2m5f – 3m 55 6 10.9% −12.50

Over 3m 7 0 0% −7.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 28 0 0% −28.00

2010 41 3 7.3% +94.00

2011 232 20 8.6% −28.40

2012 387 45 11.6% +126.00

2013 507 64 12.6% −106.52

2014 607 91 15% −63.90

2015 842 100 11.9% −187.76

2016 824 73 8.9% −209.27

2017 881 93 10.6% −284.28

2018 809 95 11.7% −172.00

2019 935 99 10.6% −299.33

2020 999 99 9.9% −184.59

2021 984 109 11.1% −59.50

2022 895 107 12% −226.75

2023 876 108 12.3% −165.93

2024 835 80 9.6% −216.53

2025 612 74 12.1% −56.81

2026 490 58 11.8% −66.19

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 9,734 1122 11.5% −1,619.56

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 4,368 457 10.5% −828.87

11-13 runners 3,404 327 9.6% −682.90

5-7 runners 2,478 389 15.7% −300.79

14-16 runners 979 70 7.2% −194.48

17+ runners 356 23 6.5% −119.25

2-4 runners 199 52 26.1% −9.47

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

The Lock Master (IRE)from M Halford 136 17 45 12 Mar 19

Intervention (GB)from Charles O'Brien 110 16 46 23 Oct 26

It Must Be Faith (GB) 98 10 34 4 Nov 21

Zapper Cass (FR)from Tony Coyle 77 13 27 29 Sep 22

Baldomero (IRE)from Joseph Patrick O'Brien 69 7 26 17 Oct 26

Channel Packet (GB) 69 6 19 27 Jun 24

Eponina (IRE)from Ben Haslam 62 10 21 25 Sep 23

Danzeno (GB) 60 10 33 3 Sep 22

Maggie Pink (GB) 60 9 18 4 Dec 17

Starsong (IRE)from J A Stack 58 7 21 2 Sep 26

Art Scholar (IRE)from Gary Moore 57 9 16 17 Aug 17

Michele Strogoff (GB)from Tony Coyle 56 4 18 25 Feb 21

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 984 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 34 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 49 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Joseph Patrick O'Brien (4) and Charles Hills (2); 11 had their first archived run for this yard.

11 have since run for another yard, most often for Michael Attwater (2); 49 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

In form

5 from 21 23.8% · +12.6pts vs baseline

Last 14 days23.8%

Lifetime base11.2%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

12131210811111111101013

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderAlistair Rawlinson

20% of all rides
11.2% SR · A/E 0.99

RiderRWSR£1

Alistair Rawlinson 2,321 261 11.2% −504.10

Andrew Mullen 1,554 179 11.5% −255.20

Theodore Ladd 792 73 9.2% −57.29

Luke Morris 693 78 11.3% −148.53

Frederick Larson 615 69 11.2% −186.96

Ben Curtis 269 38 14.1% −80.92

Silvestre De Sousa 261 52 19.9% +13.69

Tom Marquand 246 40 16.3% +86.19

Jason Watson 239 31 13% −50.01

Rossa Ryan 167 27 16.2% −35.45

Ray Dawson 163 20 12.3% −16.88

Erika Parkinson 141 20 14.2% +112.13

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

1,326

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£15.1m

Prize money

2021

Best season · 109 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Big Mojo (IRE) — Betfair Sprint Cup Stakes (Group 1) Haydock · Sep 2025 · Group 1

£242,152

Big Evs (IRE) — King George Qatar Stakes (Group 2) Goodwood · Aug 2024 · Group 2

£179,771

Coul Angel (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms EBF Bold Lad Sprint Handicap Curragh (IRE) · Sep 2026

£90,000

Notable horses

The Lock Master (IRE) Intervention (GB) Zapper Cass (FR) Guishan (GB) It Must Be Faith (GB) Eponina (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Showcasing (GB) 11.5% · 34–296

Progeny have won 10.2% of 11,633 runs since 2014 (998 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.5% from 109.

Equiano (FR) 10.8% · 30–277

Progeny have won 9.1% of 7,541 runs since 2014 (549 horses).

Dark Angel (IRE) 11.6% · 23–199

Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,921 runs since 2011 (1,595 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.

Acclamation (GB) 7.8% · 14–180

Progeny have won 10% of 19,704 runs since 2008 (1,327 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15.2% from 151. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.7% from 194.

Starspangledbanner (AUS) 12% · 19–158

Progeny have won 11.1% of 7,197 runs since 2014 (663 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 14.6% from 1,195.

Invincible Spirit (IRE) 13.9% · 21–151

Progeny have won 11.9% of 20,854 runs since 2008 (1,574 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 16.1% from 161. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.8% from 844.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 2 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 12,183 · newest first

The latest 50 of 12,183 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 6 January 2005 to 30 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

30 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Juan Les Pins (GB)J: Joanna Mason Midnite A Next Generation Betting App Handicap StakesClass 3 · 5f · Standard · 12 ran 7th 12/1

29 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Ardaddy (GB)J: Kevin Stott AWC Season 14 Has Begun Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 13 ran 13th 6/1

27 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Arkenforce (GB)J: Alistair Rawlinson AWC Season 14 Has Begun Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 8.5f · Standard · 12 ran 11th 12/1

27 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) What A Go I've Had (GB)J: Jason Watson AWC Season 14 Has Begun Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 8.5f · Standard · 12 ran 10th 4/1

27 Oct 26 Catterick Flag Of Eva (GB)J: Kevin Stott Bet At racingtv.com Handicap StakesClass 6 · 16f · Soft · 12 ran 2nd 20/1

26 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Overbudget (IRE)J: Andrew Mullen Midnite: Built For 2026 Not 2006 Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 8 ran 3rd 15/2

26 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Fantasy Obsessor (GB)J: Andrew Mullen Awc Season 14 Has Begun Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 4 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 3rd 12/1

26 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Big Money (GB)J: Tom Marquand Midnite A Next Generation Betting App Novice Stakes (gbb Race)Class 4 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 2nd 8/11F

26 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) New Bay Star (IRE)J: Jason Watson Midnite Aint Your Grandads Bookie Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 9 ran 7th 12/1

26 Oct 26 Redcar Rascal Recknell (FR)J: P. J. McDonald Bowel Cancer Screening Programme Saves Lives Selling Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Heavy · 12 ran 7th 5/1

24 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Bona Fortuna (IRE)J: Luke Morris Midnite Are Upping The Betting Game Handicap StakesClass 4 · 5f · Standard · 12 ran 2nd 3/1F

24 Oct 26 Doncaster Al Shabab Storm (GB)J: Harry Vigors Richard James Hone Memorial Handicap StakesClass 2 · 5f · Heavy · 10 ran 1st 2/1F

23 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) R P Mcmurphy (GB)J: Jason Watson Midnite Aint Your Grandads Bookie Selling Handicap StakesClass 6 · 9.5f · Standard · 10 ran 1st 7/2

23 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Way To Dubai (IRE)J: Jason Watson Make The Move To Midnite Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 7 ran 7th 10/1

23 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Intervention (GB)J: Harry Davies Make The Move To Midnite Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 7 ran 1st 100/30

23 Oct 26 Doncaster Kodi Lion (IRE)J: Cieren Fallon William Hill Epic Boosts Handicap StakesClass 2 · 6f · Soft · 15 ran 7th 16/1

22 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Ay Up Duck (GB)J: Kevin Stott Make The Move To Midnite Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 4 · 6f · Standard · 9 ran 4th 7/2

22 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Beatrice Briannie (GB)J: Luke Morris Trials Day - Lingfield 2nd Jan 2027 Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 6f · Standard · 8 ran 5th 22/1

22 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Mimime (IRE)J: Jude Maher Midnite A Next Generation Betting App Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 11 ran 1st 11/4

21 Oct 26 Newmarket Washington Royale (GB)J: Tom Marquand Copybet Overnight Best Odds Guaranteed Nursery Handicap StakesClass 4 · 7f · Soft · 13 ran 1st 4/1J

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 8 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 3 runs (won 0, 1 did not run) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 5 runs (won 2) · fastest on KTB Speed in 2 runs (won 1) · to 26 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Michael Appleby's strike rate?: Michael Appleby has won 1,318 of 11,784 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 11.2% (as at 2 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Michael Appleby do best at?: Nottingham by strike rate: 94 wins from 621 runners (15.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Michael Appleby?: Alistair Rawlinson, with 2,321 runners since 2008 — 20% of the total. That pairing has won 261 (11.2%).
Is Michael Appleby in form?: In the last 14 days: 21 runners, 5 winners, a strike rate of 23.8%. That is above the baseline of 11.2% since 2008.
What is Michael Appleby's Fair A/E?: 1.00, from 11,729 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.