Robert Cowell
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 250 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 11% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.97).
It is weakest at Epsom (3.4% over 59 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Debutants struggle at 5.7% (n=298, Fair A/E 0.67). The market has consistently overbet a horse in first-time headgear: 6.7% strike, Fair A/E 0.65 and −123.94 to a £1 stake over 238 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Luke Morris rides 7% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (10.9%, A/E 0.95). The yard also reads well on Firm going (21.3%, n=47) and off a 0-7-day break (17.7%, n=220). 27 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the King's Stand Stakes at Ascot (Jun 2015, £212,663). The stable star of the record: Canadian Danehill (IRE) — 18 wins from 127 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jan–Mar.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 10.6% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 5,345 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 5,345 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 4 November 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
KTB’s figures
the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 5 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 1 run (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 4 runs (won 1) · to 2 Nov 2026.
Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.
Quick answers
- What is Robert Cowell's strike rate?
- Robert Cowell has won 508 of 4,803 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 10.6% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Robert Cowell do best at?
- Newcastle (AW) by strike rate: 18 wins from 134 runners (13.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for Robert Cowell?
- Luke Morris, with 329 runners since 2008 — 7% of the total. That pairing has won 36 (10.9%).
- Is Robert Cowell in form?
- Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 10 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is Robert Cowell's Fair A/E?
- 0.97, from 4,777 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.