David O'Meara
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 770 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 12% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.99). Horses in first-time headgear strike at 14% (447 runs, true-first definition).
It is weakest at Ascot (4.2% over 449 runners) — the widest gap in the record. In Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 7.3% (n=853, Fair A/E 0.84). A horse in first-time headgear are the standout value angle: 13.6% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.21 and +28.99 to a £1 stake over 447 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. The market has consistently overbet a horse having headgear put back on after a bare run: 9% strike, Fair A/E 0.85 and −139.93 to a £1 stake over 545 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Daniel Tudhope rides 33% of the entries and edges the yard's average (15.2% vs 12.1%, A/E 1.03) — the market has that partnership priced right. The record reads poorly in Class 2 — 7% over 2,283 runners, 5.1pts below the baseline. 62 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Queen Anne Stakes at Ascot (Jun 2019, £340,260). The stable star of the record: Muscika (GB) — 18 wins from 130 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jul–Aug.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 12.1% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 12.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
SteadyWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2010→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 14,634 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 14,634 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 12 June 2010 to 2 November 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
KTB’s figures
the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 6 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 9 runs (won 1, 1 did not run) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 9 runs (won 5) · fastest on KTB Speed in 9 runs (won 2, 1 did not run) · to 30 Oct 2026.
Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.
Quick answers
- What is David O'Meara's strike rate?
- David O'Meara has won 1,764 of 14,634 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 12.1% (as at 3 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does David O'Meara do best at?
- Hamilton by strike rate: 73 wins from 427 runners (17.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for David O'Meara?
- Daniel Tudhope, with 4,859 runners since 2008 — 33% of the total. That pairing has won 739 (15.2%).
- Is David O'Meara in form?
- In the last 14 days: 23 runners, 3 winners, a strike rate of 13%. That is in line with the baseline of 12.1% since 2008.
- What is David O'Meara's Fair A/E?
- 0.99, from 14,560 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.