Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
KTB Yard Profile
Sent out around 50 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.88).
Deterministic profile computed from 753 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 5 Nov 2026
KTB at a glanceFired Oct–Nov24.2% when favouriteDanny Cook: 13.8% from 94New recruits: 7.6%Claiming riders: 7.3%Sent off the favourite in 4% of races
The read
The record is strongest at Huntingdon (12.5%, n=32), clear of the yard's 6.9% baseline. It is weakest at Wolverhampton (AW) (1.6% over 64 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Danny Cook rode 12% of the entries and beats the yard's average (13.8% vs 6.9%, A/E 1.48) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The record read poorly over 1m – 1m1f — 0% over 33 runners, 6.9pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard on Standard (AW) going: Fair A/E 0.45 across 93 runners (2.2% strike, −82.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied. The stable star of the record was King Zeal (IRE) — 7 wins from 49 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fired Oct–Nov.
Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 6.9% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
4.9%−2.0
n=164 · A/E 0.87 · £1 −90.78
New recruits · first run for the yard
7.6%+0.7
n=79 · A/E 1.27 · £1 −25.78
Debutants · first career start
0%−6.9
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−6.9
n=16 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −16.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
4.8%−2.1
n=42 · A/E 0.70 · £1 −27.00
When favourite
24.2%
n=33 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −8.52
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
7.3%+0.4
n=411 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −178.37
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−6.9
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.
Notable angles
vs their own baseline
With Danny Cook13.8% vs 6.9% · n=94
On last-time-out winners14% vs 6.9% · n=57
Over 1m – 1m1f0% vs 6.9% · n=33
At Wolverhampton (AW)1.6% vs 6.9% · n=64
On Standard (AW) going2.2% vs 6.9% · n=93
At Huntingdon12.5% vs 6.9% · n=32
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Race type
TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle426327.5%−165.02
Flat221125.4%−136.00
Chase9488.5%−35.00
NH Flat1200%−12.00
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Good243156.2%−111.00
Soft13696.6%−72.57
Good to Soft1321410.6%−54.78
Standard (AW)9322.2%−82.00
Good to Firm7867.7%−8.50
Heavy7068.6%−18.17
Firm100%−1.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Uttoxeter18984.2%−113.60
Wolverhampton (AW)6411.6%−58.00
Leicester5758.8%−19.00
Bangor-on-Dee50510%−11.50
Market Rasen34411.8%−17.25
Huntingdon32412.5%+6.50
Haydock2926.9%−19.75
Wetherby2627.7%−13.67
Nottingham2528%−13.75
Southwell (AW)2414.2%−19.00
Stratford23313%−3.50
Chepstow2129.5%−4.00
Warwick18211.1%+3.00
Towcester18211.1%−1.50
Southwell1715.9%−11.00
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 5290258.6%−143.49
Class 4239145.9%−107.78
Class 614896.1%−76.75
Class 36746%−11.00
Class 7600%−6.00
Class 2200%−2.00
Class 1100%−1.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite461226.1%1.02−6.02
2nd–3rd fav1241915.3%1.03−1.00
4th–6th fav244166.6%0.87−93.00
7th+ in betting33951.5%0.47−248.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
1m5f – 2m316216.6%−142.37
2m1f – 2m4f1401410%−30.03
1m2f – 1m4f11697.8%−54.00
2m5f – 3m8244.9%−52.62
1m – 1m1f3300%−33.00
6f – 7f2813.6%−20.00
Over 3m2528%−13.00
Under 6f1317.7%−3.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
20088225%+6.00
20098167.4%−10.50
20101051211.4%−27.50
20115858.6%−10.00
20127279.7%−9.95
20135535.5%−31.00
20144736.4%−29.17
20154748.5%−17.50
20165723.5%−34.00
20176945.8%−50.62
20185300%−53.00
20193500%−35.00
20202314.3%−15.50
20214337%−30.28
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps588386.5%−289.49
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
8-10 runners256228.6%−71.87
11-13 runners220104.5%−142.75
5-7 runners1441510.4%−46.62
14-16 runners9922%−85.00
17+ runners2414.2%−3.00
2-4 runners10220%+1.22
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 84 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 4 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next
Of the 60 horses listed, 58 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from John Stimpson (3) and Denis Quinn (2); 2 had their first archived run for this yard.
13 have since run for another yard, most often for Jim Best (2); 47 have no later run for another yard in our archive.
Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.
When the yard fires
strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
08539794311127
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".
Career highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→
61
Archived wins
£343k
Prize money
2010
Best season · 12 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Rojabaa (GB) — Betfairgames.com Handicap Hurdle Stratford · Mar 2006 · Class 3
£10,021
Elaala (USA) — Herefordshire Handicap Hurdle Hereford · Jun 2009 · Class 3
£9,393
Mohi Rahrere (IRE) — Anne Duchess Of Westminster Memorial Handicap Chase Bangor-on-Dee · Nov 2011 · Class 3
Progeny have won 9.8% of 2,562 runs since 2008 (191 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 16% from 244. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 3.8% from 104.
King's Best (USA)14.3% · 7–49
Progeny have won 9.9% of 7,763 runs since 2008 (574 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.8% from 249.
Progeny have won 10.6% of 4,647 runs since 2014 (262 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.8% from 147.
Grand Lodge (USA)5.7% · 2–35
Progeny have won 8.3% of 1,359 runs since 2008 (104 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 11.6% from 250. Weakest on Soft going: 4.4% from 182.
New Frontier (IRE)11.8% · 4–34
Progeny have won 9.1% of 857 runs since 2008 (62 horses).
Firebreak (GB)3.7% · 1–27
Progeny have won 8.4% of 2,474 runs since 2009 (150 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 5 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 879 · newest first
The latest 50 of 879 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 12 January 2005 to 9 December 2021.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is Barry Leavy's strike rate?
Barry Leavy has won 52 of 753 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.9% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Barry Leavy do best at?
Huntingdon by strike rate: 4 wins from 32 runners (12.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Barry Leavy?
Danny Cook, with 94 runners since 2008 — 12% of the total. That pairing has won 13 (13.8%).
What is Barry Leavy's Fair A/E?
0.88, from 752 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Barry Leavy·SR 6.9%·A/E 0.88
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