James Owen
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 150 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 18% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.08). New recruits from other yards win at 21% first time out (243 runs). The yard is in form now — 15 winners in the last fortnight, above its own baseline.
It is weakest at York (5% over 40 runners) — the widest gap in the record. New recruits from other stables on their first run win at 21% (n=243, Fair A/E 1.14), but debutants struggle at 8.8% (n=114, Fair A/E 0.96). A horse in first-time headgear are the standout value angle: 20.7% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.52 and +13.98 to a £1 stake over 111 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Right now the yard is firing: 15 winners from 57 runners in the last 14 days (26.3%, 8.5pts above the 17.8% baseline). Alex Chadwick rides 8% of the entries and edges the yard's average (22.1% vs 17.8%, A/E 1.12) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well off a 0-7-day break (28.5%, n=270). The record reads poorly in Class 2 — 9.2% over 251 runners, 8.6pts below the baseline. 12 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Royal Hunt Cup at Ascot (Jun 2026, £90,195). The stable star of the record: Enthused (IRE) — 9 wins from 57 runs for the yard.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 17.8% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 17.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
In formWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2022→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 2,942 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 2,942 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 22 December 2022 to 4 November 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
KTB’s figures
the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 5 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 17 runs (won 3, 1 did not run) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 22 runs (won 7, 1 did not run) · fastest on KTB Speed in 13 runs (won 4, 1 did not run) · to 4 Nov 2026.
Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.
Quick answers
- What is James Owen's strike rate?
- James Owen has won 524 of 2,942 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 17.8% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does James Owen do best at?
- Uttoxeter by strike rate: 17 wins from 64 runners (26.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for James Owen?
- Alex Chadwick, with 222 runners since 2008 — 8% of the total. That pairing has won 49 (22.1%).
- Is James Owen in form?
- In the last 14 days: 57 runners, 15 winners, a strike rate of 26.3%. That is above the baseline of 17.8% since 2008.
- What is James Owen's Fair A/E?
- 1.08, from 2,933 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.