What is Alexandra Dunn's strike rate?

Alexandra Dunn has won 199 of 2,638 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.5% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Alexandra Dunn do best at?

Fontwell by strike rate: 17 wins from 96 runners (17.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Alexandra Dunn?

Adam Wedge, with 305 runners since 2008 — 12% of the total. That pairing has won 25 (8.2%).

What is Alexandra Dunn's Fair A/E?

1.02, from 2,629 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Alexandra Dunn

2,638 runners in the lifetime window · 302 individual horses

As at 5 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 20 days ago

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2012→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

199–2,638

Wins / Runs

7.5%

Strike rate

n=2,638

531 (20%)

Placed

1.02

Fair A/E

n=2,629 · 0.88 incl. margin

−732.08

£1 level stake

n=2,633 at SP · −27.8%

£1.51m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

24.3%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 140 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 8% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.02). Horses with headgear back on after a bare run strike at 11% (140 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 2,638 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 5 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires May–Jun 30.3% when favourite Adam Wedge: 8.2% from 305 Headgear returns: 10.7% Claiming riders: 8.1% Sends off the favourite in 4% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Fontwell (17.7%, n=96), clear of the yard's 7.5% baseline. A horse having headgear put back on after a bare run has been a positive signal at 10.7% (n=140, Fair A/E 1.55), but debutants struggle at 1.6% (n=63, Fair A/E 0.65). The market has consistently overbet new recruits from other stables on their first run: 4.1% strike, Fair A/E 0.74 and −164.87 to a £1 stake over 241 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Adam Wedge rides 12% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (8.2%, A/E 1.07) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well beyond 3m (18.2%, n=88) and in Chase races (12.6%, n=500). The stable star of the record: Thahab Ifraj (IRE) — 10 wins from 66 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires May–Jun.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.5% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

5.3%−2.2

n=513 · A/E 1.06 · £1 −182.33

New recruits · first run for the yard

4.1%−3.4

n=241 · A/E 0.74 · £1 −164.87

Debutants · first career start

1.6%−5.9

n=63 · A/E 0.65 · £1 −46.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

2.6%−4.9

n=77 · A/E 0.61 · £1 −52.75

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

10.7%+3.2

n=140 · A/E 1.55 · £1 −1.37

When favourite

30.3%

n=109 · A/E 1.01 · £1 −17.89

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

8.1%+0.6

n=852 · A/E 0.99 · £1 −370.89

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−7.5

n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 17.6% vs 7.5% · n=205

Beyond 3m 18.2% vs 7.5% · n=88

At Fontwell 17.7% vs 7.5% · n=96

With Mrs Alex Dunn 15.6% vs 7.5% · n=77

In Chase races 12.6% vs 7.5% · n=500

With Rossa Ryan 13.6% vs 7.5% · n=147

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 1,091 77 7.1% −385.23

Hurdle 993 57 5.7% −282.37

Chase 500 63 12.6% −38.48

NH Flat 54 2 3.7% −26.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 819 67 8.2% −93.66

Standard (AW) 682 41 6% −288.88

Soft 359 30 8.4% −173.40

Good to Soft 352 24 6.8% −164.57

Good to Firm 237 22 9.3% +82.93

Heavy 164 13 7.9% −77.25

Firm 24 2 8.3% −16.25

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Wolverhampton 224 15 6.7% −90.38

Taunton 222 13 5.9% −88.25

Newton Abbot 171 9 5.3% −68.50

Kempton (AW) 142 4 2.8% −96.25

Chepstow 137 18 13.1% +10.43

Lingfield 130 5 3.8% −70.00

Wincanton 122 6 4.9% +67.00

Worcester 107 7 6.5% −24.25

Southwell (AW) 102 12 11.8% −3.25

Fontwell 96 17 17.7% +13.40

Exeter 96 5 5.2% −9.50

Stratford 95 7 7.4% −38.42

Ffos Las 80 8 10% −30.25

Chelmsford City (AW) 75 4 5.3% −28.00

Brighton 70 8 11.4% −15.88

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 941 83 8.8% −152.84

Class 4 796 48 6% −355.12

Class 6 655 54 8.2% −237.22

Class 3 183 12 6.6% +60.25

Class 2 30 0 0% −30.00

Class 7 10 1 10% −6.25

Class 1 8 0 0% −8.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 127 38 29.9% 1.04 −14.64

2nd–3rd fav 366 66 18% 1.10 −17.94

4th–6th fav 869 70 8.1% 1.08 −108.50

7th+ in betting 1,271 25 2% 0.74 −591.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

1m5f – 2m 763 60 7.9% −187.87

2m1f – 2m4f 590 39 6.6% −186.92

1m2f – 1m4f 369 24 6.5% −117.65

2m5f – 3m 316 23 7.3% −93.88

6f – 7f 258 21 8.1% −87.88

1m – 1m1f 229 15 6.6% −110.95

Over 3m 88 16 18.2% +61.07

Under 6f 25 1 4% −8.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2012 2 0 0% −2.00

2013 50 7 14% −17.52

2014 132 11 8.3% −36.25

2015 154 15 9.7% −19.25

2016 224 21 9.4% −68.92

2017 217 15 6.9% −101.12

2018 338 26 7.7% −17.00

2019 464 37 8% −182.93

2020 215 11 5.1% −23.00

2021 183 6 3.3% −76.67

2022 197 22 11.2% −54.87

2023 230 12 5.2% −91.00

2024 137 5 3.6% −86.92

2025 58 2 3.4% −44.50

2026 37 9 24.3% +89.87

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 2,103 178 8.5% −386.04

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 905 59 6.5% −291.45

11-13 runners 730 44 6% −303.37

5-7 runners 633 76 12% +6.09

14-16 runners 251 9 3.6% −78.50

17+ runners 62 1 1.6% −51.00

2-4 runners 57 10 17.5% −13.85

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Thahab Ifraj (IRE)from Ismail Mohammed 66 10 19 14 Jul 25

Helium (FR)from Sophie Leech 51 6 18 6 Dec 18

Enmeshing (GB)from James Fanshawe 46 3 13 26 May 21

Minella Voucher (GB) 42 7 17 16 Apr 23

De Little Engine (IRE)from Jamie Osborne 41 6 15 27 Apr 21

Argus (IRE)from Ralph Beckett 39 5 8 12 May 23

French Mix (USA)from Joseph Patrick O'Brien 38 5 12 19 Aug 21

Cry Wolf (GB)from James Evans 36 6 10 1 Jul 22

Kapitaliste (FR)from F Head 35 2 12 26 May 24

Regulator (IRE)from Richard Fahey 34 1 4 10 Nov 22

Diamond Reflection (IRE)from Tom Weston 32 2 9 4 Sep 19

Black Narcissus (IRE) 31 6 9 18 Feb 19

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 302 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 14 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 48 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Harry & Roger Charlton (2) and Jamie Osborne (2); 12 had their first archived run for this yard.

13 have since run for another yard, most often for Michael Wigham (3) and Rebecca Menzies (2); 47 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

965610118910866

Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderAdam Wedge

12% of all rides
8.2% SR · A/E 1.07

RiderRWSR£1

Adam Wedge 305 25 8.2% −37.74

Richie McLernon 147 16 10.9% −21.92

Rossa Ryan 147 20 13.6% +8.62

Daniel Muscutt 110 8 7.3% −34.00

Rhys Flint 99 9 9.1% −54.05

Mrs Alex Dunn 77 12 15.6% −17.27

Philip Armson 75 9 12% −19.75

Nick Scholfield 66 3 4.5% −49.00

Robert Havlin 58 1 1.7% −55.38

Miss Hannah Welch 53 5 9.4% −15.50

Micheal Nolan 51 2 3.9% −8.00

Charlie Deutsch 42 2 4.8% +38.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2012→

199

Archived wins

£1.51m

Prize money

2019

Best season · 37 wins

Azari (GB) — Betway Casino Handicap Southwell (AW) · Jan 2019 · Class 3

£9,452

Swift Crusador (GB) — Pinsent Masons Handicap Chase Sandown · Dec 2018 · Class 3

£9,384

Rogue (GB) — Prix de Jaux (Claimer) (4yo+) (Turf) Compiegne (FR) · Oct 2019

£8,559

Notable horses

Thahab Ifraj (IRE) Minella Voucher (GB) Helium (FR) De Little Engine (IRE) Cry Wolf (GB) Black Narcissus (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Mastercraftsman (IRE) 4% · 3–75

Progeny have won 10.6% of 11,638 runs since 2013 (842 horses). Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 13.8% from 327.

Frozen Power (IRE) 15.2% · 10–66

Progeny have won 8.4% of 1,887 runs since 2015 (132 horses).

Power (GB) 9.1% · 6–66

Progeny have won 9.5% of 2,725 runs since 2016 (195 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 13.3% from 353. Weakest on Heavy going: 6.2% from 161.

Westerner (GB) 14.8% · 9–61

Progeny have won 12.2% of 11,857 runs since 2009 (945 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 8.5% from 188.

King's Theatre (IRE) 15.1% · 8–53

Progeny have won 14.4% of 12,129 runs since 2008 (746 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.8% from 125. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 7.9% from 203.

Dream Well (FR) 11.8% · 6–51

Progeny have won 11.6% of 1,165 runs since 2008 (135 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 15.2% from 210. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 0% from 111. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 16.3% from 190. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 6.5% from 185.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 5 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,638 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,638 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 1 March 2012 to 16 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

16 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Miss Raincloud (IRE)J: Luke Morris Central Employment & Training Partnership Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 8 ran 7th 33/1

16 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Stage Show (GB)J: Luke Morris quinnbet.com Handicap StakesClass 5 · 12.5f · Standard · 12 ran 12th 66/1

15 Oct 26 Fontwell Holy Legend (GB)J: James Best tigerbet.co.uk Download Our App Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)Class 4 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 1st 8/1

13 Oct 26 Leicester Oviedo (IRE)J: Millie Wonnacott Christmas Parties At Leicester Racecourse Book Now Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 5th 2/1F

04 Oct 26 Uttoxeter Holy Legend (GB)J: James Best F Ball Centre Of Excellence Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 16f · Good · 9 ran 4th 5/1

20 Sep 26 Plumpton Stage Show (GB)J: Isabelle Ryder Mansell McTaggart Mane Event Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 25f · Good · 6 ran 5th 7/1

13 Sep 26 Bath Oviedo (IRE)J: Millie Wonnacott Loud Hire Supporting Bath Racecourse Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 5 · 8f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 2nd 11/8F

04 Sep 26 Worcester Holy Legend (GB)J: James Best Kevin 'nasty' Turner Memorial Handicap Steeple Chase (ARC Summer Chase Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 16.5f · Good · 6 ran 1st 5/4F

21 Aug 26 Ffos Las Oviedo (IRE)J: Millie Wonnacott Ascona Ladies Chic Fashion Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7.5f · Good · 7 ran 1st 1/2F

20 Aug 26 Stratford Winning Paddy (IRE)J: Richie McLernon Happy Birthday Sue Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 27.5f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 4th 6/1

12 Aug 26 Ffos Las Oviedo (IRE)J: Millie Wonnacott Dandara Homes Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Good · 10 ran 1st 13/2

31 Jul 26 Newcastle (AW) Nana's Boy George (IRE)J: Barry McHugh Quinnbet Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Standard / Slow · 12 ran 12th 13/2

30 Jul 26 Epsom Stage Show (GB)J: Finley Marsh Spillers Handicap StakesClass 5 · 12f · Good To Firm · 5 ran 5th 28/1

22 Jul 26 Worcester Holy Legend (GB)J: James Best Widmer Handicap Steeple Chase (ARC Summer Chase Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 20f · Good · 7 ran 1st 2/1F

03 Jul 26 Newton Abbot Winning Paddy (IRE)J: Richie McLernon William Hill Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 26f · Good · 7 ran 4th 15/2

27 Jun 26 Lingfield Stage Show (GB)J: Pat Cosgrave Fabric First Past The Post HandicapClass 6 · 13f · Good To Firm · 4 ran 3rd 9/1

12 Jun 26 Newton Abbot Winning Paddy (IRE)J: James Davies William Hill Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 26.5f · Good · 5 ran 5th 10/3

06 Jun 26 Worcester Holy Legend (GB)J: James Best Law Without The Horsing Around Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 20f · Good · 9 ran 2nd 4/1

03 Jun 26 Newton Abbot Winning Paddy (IRE)J: James Davies Par Inn Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 26f · Good · 8 ran 1st 28/1

29 May 26 Chepstow Oviedo (IRE)J: Sean D Bowen DragonBet Welsh Racing Festival 9-11th October HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 9th 16/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 16 Oct 2026: fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 0) · to 16 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Alexandra Dunn's strike rate?: Alexandra Dunn has won 199 of 2,638 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.5% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Alexandra Dunn do best at?: Fontwell by strike rate: 17 wins from 96 runners (17.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Alexandra Dunn?: Adam Wedge, with 305 runners since 2008 — 12% of the total. That pairing has won 25 (8.2%).
What is Alexandra Dunn's Fair A/E?: 1.02, from 2,629 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.